CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TNST 0.1%99.9% UGA
Projected margin
UGA by 63.6
Projected total
78
80% outcome range
UGA 43 to UGA 84
Win probability
UGA 99.9%
FinalTNST 3 · UGA 63model had +63.6, off by 3.6

Current team profiles

Tennessee State
Georgia

When Tennessee State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TNST offense
—
UGA defense
#49
EPA comparison
—
0.08
#49
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TNST offense
—
UGA defense
#5
EPA comparison
—
-0.22
#5
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TNST offense
#102
UGA defense
#27
Success rates
40%
#102
35%
#27
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#109
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
0.20
#73
1.23
#76
Explosiveness
—
19%
#24
Havoc

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TNST defense
—
UGA offense
#3
EPA comparison
—
0.62
#3
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TNST defense
—
UGA offense
#12
EPA comparison
—
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TNST defense
#59
UGA offense
#6
Success rates
43%
#59
52%
#6
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#88
0.40
#3
EPA / play
0.22
#85
1.28
#38
Explosiveness
—
12%
#24
Havoc

Current key players

Tennessee State
QBByron McNair
29 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
81.931/370
DBJalen LaBranche
17 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
32
Passer rating allowed
25.7
Missed tackles
2
86.85/1765
WRAnthony Taylor
2 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
84.17/1229
DLBryce Gray
14 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
90
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
76.588/1549
WRCam Bulluck
24 rec · 269 yds · 2 TD
72.5102/1229
DBJoshua Malone
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
66.7
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.2322/1765
Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TNST
UGA
vs
Offense
81.9
#27 of 125
QB
92.5
#4 of 138
66.5
#106 of 126
RB
90.5
#2 of 138
75.3
#13 of 126
WR
82.8
#4 of 138
66.4
#53 of 124
TE
88.9
#4 of 138
58.7
#116 of 125
OL
75.5
#15 of 138
Defense
71.0
#58 of 126
DL
78.6
#20 of 138
54.1
#126 of 126
LB
81.2
#15 of 138
72.3
#50 of 126
DB
78.9
#5 of 138
Common opponents