CFB
Model

Games

Win probability, projected score, and a calibrated margin for every game in Division I.

Updated: Week 7 - 10.11.26 21:57 EDT

Tuesday, Oct 13

7:00 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Delaware2-327p
Middle Tennessee2-324p
DEL 55%45% MTSU
MarginDEL by 1.8Total52

8:00 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Florida International3-224p
Jacksonville State4-228p
FIU 38%62% JXST
MarginJXST by 4.8Total50

Wednesday, Oct 14

7:30 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Kennesaw State1-427p
Missouri State1-424p
KENN 59%41% MOST
MarginKENN by 3.4Total52

8:00 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Western Kentucky2-431p
Sam Houston1-424p
WKU 65%35% SHSU
MarginWKU by 5.9Total56

Thursday, Oct 15

7:30 PM ET

2 games
Pregame forecast
Georgia Southern2-427p
Old Dominion2-428p
GASO 46%54% ODU
MarginODU by 1.8Total56
Pregame forecast
East Carolina3-231p
UAB3-324p
ECU 66%34% UAB
MarginECU by 6.3Total54

8:00 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Colorado State2-327p
Texas State2-335p
CSU 29%71% TXST
MarginTXST by 8.7Total64

Friday, Oct 16

7:00 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
#200Columbia3-120p
#199Pennsylvania2-231p
COLU 25%75% PENN
MarginPENN by 10.9Total50

7:30 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Memphis5-128p
Tulane2-327p
MEM 54%46% TULN
MarginMEM by 1.6Total54

8:00 PM ET

2 games
Pregame forecast
Washington3-334p
Purdue3-324p
WASH 75%25% PUR
MarginWASH by 10.2Total56
Pregame forecast
App State3-227p
Coastal Carolina2-424p
APP 58%42% CCU
MarginAPP by 3.0Total54

Saturday, Oct 17

12:00 AM ET

2 games
Pregame forecast
#209Central Connecticut2-331p
#239Mercyhurst1-527p
CCSU 58%42% MERC
MarginCCSU by 3.2Total56
Pregame forecast
#231Long Island University2-521p
#257Wagner1-520p
LIU 52%48% WAG
MarginLIU by 1.0Total42

12:00 PM ET

17 games
Pregame forecast
#186Rhode Island3-320p
#142Yale3-127p
URI 33%67% YALE
MarginYALE by 7.1Total46
Pregame forecast
#160Brown2-221p
#155Princeton3-127p
BRWN 36%64% PRIN
MarginPRIN by 5.8Total47
Pregame forecast
#259Hampton1-517p
#190Sacred Heart2-434p
HAMP 15%85% SHU
MarginSHU by 16.9Total49
Pregame forecast
#248New Haven1-517p
#224Robert Morris3-327p
NHVN 26%74% RMU
MarginRMU by 10.5Total42
Pregame forecast
#260Chicago State1-517p
#245North Carolina A&T2-528p
Chicago State 23%77% NCAT
MarginNCAT by 12.1Total47
Pregame forecast
Ohio State5-128p
Indiana6-027p
OSU 55%45% IU
MarginOSU by 1.9Total54
Pregame forecast
Mississippi State4-124p
LSU4-234p
MSST 26%74% LSU
MarginLSU by 10.0Total57
Pregame forecast
Florida4-220p
Texas4-131p
FLA 24%76% TEX
MarginTEX by 11.1Total54
Pregame forecast
Northwestern4-130p
Michigan State2-421p
NU 71%29% MSU
MarginNU by 8.9Total50
Pregame forecastGovernor's Cup (Kansas)
Kansas2-324p
Kansas State3-234p
KU 26%74% KSU
MarginKSU by 9.7Total56
Pregame forecast
Virginia4-224p
SMU4-134p
UVA 26%74% SMU
MarginSMU by 10.1Total58
Pregame forecast
Georgia State4-121p
James Madison6-038p
GAST 14%86% JMU
MarginJMU by 16.5Total57
Pregame forecast
Cincinnati4-130p
West Virginia3-331p
CIN 49%51% WVU
MarginWVU by 0.3Total59
Pregame forecast
Pittsburgh5-131p
Boston College2-320p
PITT 77%23% BC
MarginPITT by 11.7Total54
Pregame forecast
Florida Atlantic4-124p
Army3-234p
FAU 29%71% ARMY
MarginARMY by 8.8Total58
Pregame forecast
Charleston Southern2-310p
Clemson3-256p
CHSO <1%>99% CLEM
MarginCLEM by 46.4Total62
Pregame forecast
Ball State1-524p
Bowling Green2-428p
BALL 37%63% BGSU
MarginBGSU by 5.4Total52

12:30 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Rutgers1-427p
Maryland2-431p
RUTG 41%59% MD
MarginMD by 3.7Total59

1:00 PM ET

13 games
Pregame forecast
#216Holy Cross2-414p
#132Harvard4-031p
HC 14%86% HARV
MarginHARV by 17.7Total48
Pregame forecast
#250Georgetown1-413p
#147Colgate4-231p
GTWN 13%87% COLG
MarginCOLG by 18.3Total47
Pregame forecast
#221Merrimack2-417p
#177Dartmouth1-331p
MRMK 18%82% DART
MarginDART by 15.0Total48
Pregame forecast
#182Monmouth4-224p
#244New Hampshire2-523p
MONM 52%48% UNH
MarginMONM by 0.8Total50
Pregame forecast
#210Dayton4-124p
#192Butler5-127p
DAY 42%58% BTLR
MarginBTLR by 3.4Total49
Pregame forecast
#194McNeese2-435p
#258Northwestern State0-620p
MCN 82%18% NWST
MarginMCN by 14.9Total53
Pregame forecast
#240Duquesne1-424p
#219Stonehill2-423p
DUQ 51%49% STO
MarginDUQ by 0.2Total48
Pregame forecast
#220Bryant4-223p
#225Maine1-524p
BRY 47%53% ME
MarginME by 1.1Total46
Pregame forecast
#229Marist3-321p
#252Drake2-427p
MRST 35%65% DRKE
MarginDRKE by 6.3Total48
Pregame forecast
#265Morehead State1-527p
#266Davidson2-524p
MORE 57%43% DAV
MarginMORE by 2.8Total52
Pregame forecast
The Citadel2-47p
Texas A&M3-366p
CIT <1%>99% TA&M
MarginTA&M by 59.2Total75
Pregame forecastFlagship Cup
Massachusetts4-221p
Buffalo3-331p
MASS 26%74% BUF
MarginBUF by 10.2Total52
Pregame forecast
Charlotte0-621p
Temple2-438p
CLT 14%86% TEM
MarginTEM by 16.7Total56

1:30 PM ET

2 games
Pregame forecast
#263VMI0-66p
#166Wofford4-338p
VMI 2%98% WOF
MarginWOF by 32.5Total42
Pregame forecastMichigan MAC Trophy
Western Michigan4-224p
Central Michigan3-323p
WMU 50%50% CMU
MarginWMU by 0.1Total48

2:00 PM ET

4 games
Game of the weekPregame forecast
#75South Dakota State5-124p
#110North Dakota5-223p
SDST 51%49% UND
MarginSDST by 0.5Total50
Pregame forecast
#114Lehigh6-031p
#169Cornell2-217p
LEH 78%22% COR
MarginLEH by 12.4Total50
Pregame forecast
#116Austin Peay5-227p
#235West Georgia1-524p
APSU 59%41% WGA
MarginAPSU by 3.6Total50
Pregame forecast
#261Presbyterian3-335p
#264Stetson1-517p
PRES 87%13% STET
MarginPRES by 18.9Total50

2:30 PM ET

2 games
Pregame forecast
#196Eastern Kentucky2-417p
#146Tennessee Tech5-131p
EKU 19%81% TNTC
MarginTNTC by 14.6Total48
Pregame forecast
#212UAlbany3-317p
#175Stony Brook4-231p
UALB 20%80% STBK
MarginSTBK by 13.7Total50

3:00 PM ET

11 games
Pregame forecast
#159Idaho1-520p
#129Montana5-238p
IDHO 12%88% MONT
MarginMONT by 19.4Total59
Pregame forecast
#143Idaho State4-228p
#197Weber State4-327p
IDST 56%44% WEB
MarginIDST by 2.4Total56
Pregame forecast
#191Western Illinois3-317p
#165Southeast Missouri State3-327p
WIU 31%69% SEMO
MarginSEMO by 8.3Total44
Pregame forecast
#181Gardner-Webb2-520p
#188UT Martin2-424p
GWEB 40%60% UTM
MarginUTM by 4.1Total47
Pregame forecast
#255Florida A&M2-414p
#193Jackson State5-134p
FAMU 11%89% JKST
MarginJKST by 19.9Total48
Pregame forecast
#241Grambling4-224p
#203Alabama A&M5-228p
GRAM 39%61% AAMU
MarginAAMU by 4.4Total52
Pregame forecast
#206Alabama State3-334p
#223Arkansas-Pine Bluff3-220p
ALST 81%19% UAPB
MarginALST by 14.4Total52
Pregame forecast
#249Alcorn State4-320p
#208Prairie View A&M2-531p
ALCN 25%75% PV
MarginPV by 11.2Total54
Pregame forecast
#211Lindenwood1-427p
#215Eastern Illinois2-424p
LIN 53%47% EIU
MarginLIN by 1.3Total51
Pregame forecast
#217Lafayette1-424p
#232Bucknell1-517p
LAF 69%31% BUCK
MarginLAF by 8.0Total43
Pregame forecast
#253Bethune-Cookman3-327p
#262Mississippi Valley State3-417p
BCU 71%29% MVSU
MarginBCU by 9.0Total43

3:30 PM ET

13 games
Pregame forecast
#171Villanova2-431p
#234Fordham2-521p
VILL 72%28% FOR
MarginVILL by 9.6Total52
Pregame forecast
#205Towson0-724p
#174Campbell5-131p
TOW 31%69% CAM
MarginCAM by 8.3Total57
Pregame forecastThird Saturday in October
Alabama5-134p
Tennessee5-128p
ALA 62%38% TENN
MarginALA by 5.2Total61
Pregame forecast
Missouri5-128p
Ole Miss4-131p
MIZ 43%57% MISS
MarginMISS by 2.5Total60
Pregame forecastDeep South's Oldest Rivalry
Auburn3-220p
Georgia6-035p
AUB 15%85% UGA
MarginUGA by 15.9Total54
Pregame forecast
Penn State3-327p
Michigan3-224p
PSU 57%43% MICH
MarginPSU by 3.0Total49
Pregame forecast
Arizona State3-217p
Texas Tech5-038p
ASU 8%92% TTU
MarginTTU by 22.2Total57
Pregame forecastVictory Bell (Duke-UNC)
North Carolina3-217p
Duke4-131p
UNC 20%80% DUKE
MarginDUKE by 13.5Total52
Pregame forecast
Georgia Tech2-327p
Virginia Tech4-231p
GT 40%60% VT
MarginVT by 4.1Total57
Pregame forecast
UNLV4-231p
Air Force4-128p
UNLV 59%41% AF
MarginUNLV by 3.3Total59
Pregame forecast
Toledo4-234p
Eastern Michigan4-324p
TOL 75%25% EMU
MarginTOL by 10.8Total57
Pregame forecast
Akron1-521p
Miami (OH)3-334p
AKR 21%79% M-OH
MarginM-OH by 12.3Total54
Pregame forecast
Northern Illinois0-517p
Wyoming3-327p
NIU 26%75% WYO
MarginWYO by 10.0Total46

4:00 PM ET

3 games
Pregame forecast
#105Stephen F. Austin6-031p
#251Nicholls2-417p
SFA 81%19% NICH
MarginSFA by 14.6Total45
Pregame forecast
#117Illinois State4-227p
#136Southern Illinois3-428p
ILST 50%50% SIU
MarginSIU by 0.1Total52
Pregame forecast
#247Valparaiso3-320p
#243San Diego2-431p
VAL 22%78% USD
MarginUSD by 12.5Total50

4:30 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Tulsa3-327p
Rice1-524p
TLSA 50%50% RICE
MarginTLSA by 0.2Total50

5:00 PM ET

2 games
Pregame forecast
#112South Dakota5-238p
#242Murray State1-517p
SDAK 91%9% MUR
MarginSDAK by 21.6Total55
Pregame forecast
Troy3-221p
Louisiana4-231p
TROY 29%71% UL
MarginUL by 8.8Total52

6:00 PM ET

2 games
Pregame forecast
#158Northern Iowa3-220p
#82Youngstown State5-238p
UNI 13%87% YSU
MarginYSU by 18.4Total58
Pregame forecast
Washington State1-527p
Oregon State4-228p
WSU 46%54% ORST
MarginORST by 1.6Total54

6:30 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
#207Morgan State5-130p
#236Tennessee State1-524p
MORG 64%36% TNST
MarginMORG by 5.9Total53

7:00 PM ET

14 games
Pregame forecast
#78Montana State5-138p
#154Eastern Washington2-520p
MTST 86%14% EWU
MarginMTST by 17.9Total57
Pregame forecast
#201Central Arkansas2-417p
#128Tarleton State6-042p
CARK 6%94% TAR
MarginTAR by 25.2Total59
Pregame forecast
#226Portland State2-417p
#148Northern Arizona5-238p
PRST 12%88% NAU
MarginNAU by 19.6Total55
Pregame forecast
#151Mercer5-231p
#222Samford1-510p
MER 89%11% SAM
MarginMER by 20.1Total44
Pregame forecast
#152Lamar5-120p
#172SE Louisiana3-327p
LAM 34%66% SELA
MarginSELA by 6.7Total47
Pregame forecast
#157Abilene Christian3-428p
#176North Alabama4-221p
ACU 65%35% UNA
MarginACU by 6.5Total50
Pregame forecast
#162UT Rio Grande Valley3-324p
#179Incarnate Word2-427p
RGV 44%56% UIW
MarginUIW by 2.5Total48
Pregame forecast
#227East Texas A&M2-421p
#213Houston Christian3-320p
ETAM 52%48% HCU
MarginETAM by 1.0Total42
Pregame forecastFlorida State-Miami
Florida State3-324p
Miami5-034p
FSU 25%75% MIA
MarginMIA by 10.5Total57
Pregame forecastBluebonnet Shield
TCU2-327p
Baylor4-128p
TCU 48%52% BAY
MarginBAY by 0.7Total54
Pregame forecast
Arkansas2-421p
Vanderbilt3-334p
ARK 21%79% VAN
MarginVAN by 12.5Total57
Pregame forecast
Nevada2-317p
North Dakota State5-131p
NEV 17%83% NDSU
MarginNDSU by 14.8Total51
Pregame forecast
Kent State2-417p
South Florida4-238p
KENT 10%90% USF
MarginUSF by 20.5Total53
Pregame forecast
Arkansas State2-424p
Southern Miss1-427p
ARST 45%55% USM
MarginUSM by 2.0Total54

7:30 PM ET

5 games
Pregame forecast
Notre Dame6-034p
BYU5-024p
ND 74%26% BYU
MarginND by 9.8Total55
Pregame forecast
Kentucky5-120p
Oklahoma3-231p
UK 22%78% OU
MarginOU by 12.0Total51
Pregame forecast
Oklahoma State4-121p
Houston5-134p
OKST 20%80% HOU
MarginHOU by 13.1Total57
Pregame forecast
Louisville3-335p
Syracuse2-327p
LOU 70%30% SYR
MarginLOU by 8.3Total60
Pregame forecast
Elon3-313p
Stanford2-445p
ELON 2%98% STAN
MarginSTAN by 32.1Total56

8:00 PM ET

4 games
Pregame forecast
#156UC Davis4-227p
#178Southern Utah2-428p
UCD 47%53% SUU
MarginSUU by 1.1Total58
Pregame forecast
#173Cal Poly4-328p
#189Northern Colorado2-527p
CP 52%48% UNCO
MarginCP by 0.8Total56
Pregame forecast
Navy2-324p
UTSA5-131p
NAVY 31%69% UTSA
MarginUTSA by 7.7Total57
Pregame forecast
Louisiana Tech3-235p
UL Monroe0-524p
LT 77%23% ULM
MarginLT by 11.4Total58

9:00 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
San José State3-328p
UTEP1-527p
SJSU 53%47% UTEP
MarginSJSU by 1.6Total53

10:00 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Ohio4-231p
Sacramento State1-524p
OHIO 72%28% SAC
MarginOHIO by 8.9Total54

10:15 PM ET

1 game
Pregame forecast
Utah5-038p
Colorado2-317p
UTAH 91%9% COLO
MarginUTAH by 20.9Total52

10:30 PM ET

3 games
Pregame forecast
Wake Forest5-131p
California3-320p
WAKE 77%23% CAL
MarginWAKE by 11.4Total55
Pregame forecast
New Mexico4-131p
Hawai'i1-520p
UNM 78%22% HAW
MarginUNM by 11.9Total53
Pregame forecastOil Can
Fresno State4-224p
San Diego State2-427p
FRES 44%56% SDSU
MarginSDSU by 2.0Total51

Time TBA

2 games
Pregame forecast
Nebraska5-124p
Oregon3-235p
NEB 24%76% ORE
MarginORE by 10.7Total60
Pregame forecast
Wisconsin4-124p
UCLA5-031p
WIS 34%66% UCLA
MarginUCLA by 6.7Total53