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SEC

Alabama

Crimson Tide5-11st in SEC
Bryant-Denny Stadium · Tuscaloosa, AL · 101,821
TeamComplete
OffenseEfficient and explosive · eliteweak point: avoiding disruption, 94th
DefenseHavoc-driven · strong · stout against the runweak point: big plays allowed, 122nd

The season

Best win
W 56-23 @ #35 Mississippi State
Wk 5 · Oct 3 · model had 62%
Worst loss
L 17-20 vs #6 Georgia
Wk 6 · Oct 10 · lost as a 67% favorite

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsEast Carolina
    W 48–10
    Win chance 93%Model margin +20.3Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atKentucky
    W 45–17
    Win chance 80%Model margin +11.5Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsFlorida State
    W 50–36
    Win chance 86%Model margin +14.3Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsSouth Carolina
    W 49–18
    Win chance 87%Model margin +15.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atMississippi State
    W 56–23
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.1Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsGeorgia
    L 17–20
    Win chance 67%Model margin +5.8Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atTennessee
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.2Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsTexas A&M
    Win chance 81%Model margin +11.9Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atLSU
    Win chance 69%Model margin +6.6Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atVanderbilt
    Win chance 84%Model margin +13.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsChattanooga
    Win chance >99%Model margin +63.1Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsAuburn
    Win chance 91%Model margin +18.0Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
89
#3 of 138
Defense efficiency
83
#21 of 138
Efficiency
#70.33
EPA / play
#17-0.06
#220.42
Pass
#550.10
#90.27
Rush
#8-0.17
#1550%
Success
#3035%
Big plays & havoc
#251.32
Explosive
#1221.37
#9416%
Havoc
#2220%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB3rd
RB12th
WR29th
TE17th
OL38th
DL17th
LB14th
DB69th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Keelon RussellSO
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.5
4th QB
RB
EJ CrowellFR
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.3
8th RB
WR
Noah RogersSR
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.8
44th WR
WR
Lotzeir BrooksSO
21 rec · 352 yds · 1 TD
75.6
117th WR
TE
Marshall PritchettSO
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
82.8
17th TE
Defense
LB
Luke MetzSO
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
87.2
23rd LB
LB
Desmond UmeozuluSR
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
78.7
98th LB
DB
Red MorganJR
21 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
76.1
154th DB
DB
Dijon Lee Jr.SO
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
75.3
183rd DB
DB
Zabien BrownJR
12 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
71.5
351st DB

Injury report

2 listed
Ques.
Josh FordTE

Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

57.410-11
Ques.
Aubrey WalkerWR

Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atTennessee
    Playoff chance if win
    98.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    92.5%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsTexas A&M
    Playoff chance if win
    97.5%
    Playoff chance if loss
    90.6%
  3. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atLSU
    Playoff chance if win
    97.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    92.1%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atVanderbilt
    Playoff chance if win
    97.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    90.4%
  5. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsAuburn
    Playoff chance if win
    97.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    88.8%

Past seasons

Year by year
-4.8 points since 2022
6070809010083.7202279.0202380.7202478.92025
2022 83.72023 79.02024 80.72025 78.9

2025

10-3
D-I rank
#7
Rating
78.9
Listed games · 13
LWWWWWWWWLWWL
406 pts scored226 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Florida StateL 17–31
  2. W2 vs UL MonroeW 73–0
  3. W3 vs WisconsinW 38–14
  4. W5 at GeorgiaW 24–21
  5. W6 vs VanderbiltW 30–14
  6. W7 at MissouriW 27–24
  7. W8 vs TennesseeW 37–20
  8. W9 at South CarolinaW 29–22
  9. W11 vs LSUW 20–9
  10. W12 vs OklahomaL 21–23
  11. W13 vs Eastern IllinoisW 56–0
  12. W14 at AuburnW 27–20
  13. W15 vs GeorgiaL 7–28

2024

9-3
D-I rank
#6
Rating
80.7
Listed games · 12
WWWWLWLWWWLW
426 pts scored207 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Western KentuckyW 63–0
  2. W2 vs South FloridaW 42–16
  3. W3 at WisconsinW 42–10
  4. W5 vs GeorgiaW 41–34
  5. W6 at VanderbiltL 35–40
  6. W7 vs South CarolinaW 27–25
  7. W8 at TennesseeL 17–24
  8. W9 vs MissouriW 34–0
  9. W11 at LSUW 42–13
  10. W12 vs MercerW 52–7
  11. W13 at OklahomaL 3–24
  12. W14 vs AuburnW 28–14

2023

12-1
D-I rank
#9
Rating
79.0
Listed games · 13
WLWWWWWWWWWWW
456 pts scored239 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Middle TennesseeW 56–7
  2. W2 vs TexasL 24–34
  3. W3 at South FloridaW 17–3
  4. W4 vs Ole MissW 24–10
  5. W5 at Mississippi StateW 40–17
  6. W6 at Texas A&MW 26–20
  7. W7 vs ArkansasW 24–21
  8. W8 vs TennesseeW 34–20
  9. W10 vs LSUW 42–28
  10. W11 at KentuckyW 49–21
  11. W12 vs ChattanoogaW 66–10
  12. W13 at AuburnW 27–24
  13. W14 vs GeorgiaW 27–24

2022

10-2
D-I rank
#3
Rating
83.7
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWLWLWWW
489 pts scored216 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Utah StateW 55–0
  2. W2 at TexasW 20–19
  3. W3 vs UL MonroeW 63–7
  4. W4 vs VanderbiltW 55–3
  5. W5 at ArkansasW 49–26
  6. W6 vs Texas A&MW 24–20
  7. W7 at TennesseeL 49–52
  8. W8 vs Mississippi StateW 30–6
  9. W10 at LSUL 31–32
  10. W11 at Ole MissW 30–24
  11. W12 vs Austin PeayW 34–0
  12. W13 vs AuburnW 49–27