CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UTC 0.1%99.9% ALA
Projected margin
ALA by 63.1
Projected total
79
80% outcome range
ALA 45 to ALA 81
Win probability
ALA 99.9%

Current team profiles

Chattanooga
Alabama

When Chattanooga has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UTC offense
—
ALA defense
#55
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UTC offense
—
ALA defense
#8
EPA comparison
—
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UTC offense
#106
ALA defense
#30
Success rates
40%
#106
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#100
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
0.18
#118
1.37
#122
Explosiveness
—
20%
#22
Havoc

When Alabama has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UTC defense
—
ALA offense
#22
EPA comparison
—
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UTC defense
—
ALA offense
#9
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UTC defense
#20
ALA offense
#15
Success rates
40%
#20
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#12
0.33
#7
EPA / play
0.18
#23
1.32
#25
Explosiveness
—
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Chattanooga
DBD.J. Adams
13 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
85.0
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
15
Passer rating allowed
10.7
Missed tackles
0
84.216/1765
RBKevin Lalin
534 yds · 6 TD · 5.0 YPC
81.626/631
DLC.J. Smith
9 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.9
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
71
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.733/1549
DBJaden Nelson
25 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.7
Coverage
76.3
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
71.3
Missed tackles
2
77.782/1765
DLMyles Mays
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.9102/1549
DBKaden Edwards
2 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
75.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.0148/1765
Alabama
QBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.1
Coverage
84.7
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
25
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
74.2
Penalties
1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Coverage
62.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
30
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UTC
ALA
vs
Offense
60.0
#111 of 125
QB
92.5
#3 of 138
77.8
#20 of 126
RB
84.4
#12 of 138
66.2
#95 of 126
WR
76.3
#29 of 138
56.8
#111 of 124
TE
82.8
#17 of 138
67.1
#37 of 125
OL
71.7
#38 of 138
Defense
76.1
#18 of 126
DL
79.7
#17 of 138
69.8
#81 of 126
LB
81.5
#14 of 138
76.6
#9 of 126
DB
72.1
#69 of 138
Common opponents