AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 7:00 PM
Away
Chattanooga
—
8p
#12Home
Alabama
0-0 · AVR 74.0
54p
UTC 0%100% ALA
Spread
ALA -45.6
Total
62
Moneyline
UTC—ALA—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Alabama
DBBray Hubbard
87.623/1427
LBYhonzae Pierre
87.513/878
DBKeon Sabb
84.845/1427
DBDijon Lee Jr.
83.956/1427
LBJah-Marien Latham
82.836/878
WRRyan Coleman-Williams
78.526/777

also out — Alabama running back (RB), Ezavier Crowell (RB), RB (RB), another Alabama RB (RB), unknown (RB), Alabama Freshman Cornerback (CB), top recruit (CB), 5-star defensive back (DB) +9 more

Projected margin

80% between 29 and 63
-3+3+7+14PKALA +45.695% interval: 22.3 to 68.980% interval: 28.7 to 62.5+29+63UTC wins 0%ALA wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ ALA 56–7 UTCALA 53–32 UTC neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesALA 56–28 UTC neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesALA 60–25 UTC neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesALA 63–21 UTC neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesALA 67–18 UTC neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesALA 70–14 UTC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesALA 74–11 UTC neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesALA 77–7 UTC neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesALA 81–4 UTC neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesALA 49–28 UTC neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesALA 53–25 UTC neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesALA 56–21 UTC neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesALA 60–18 UTC neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesALA 63–14 UTC neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesALA 67–11 UTC neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesALA 70–7 UTC neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesALA 74–4 UTC neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesALA 77–0 UTC neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesALA 46–25 UTC neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesALA 49–21 UTC neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesALA 53–18 UTC neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesALA 56–14 UTC neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesALA 60–11 UTC neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesALA 63–7 UTC neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesALA 67–4 UTC neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesALA 70–0 UTC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)ALA 42–21 UTC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesALA 46–18 UTC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesALA 49–14 UTC neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesALA 53–11 UTC neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesALA 56–7 UTC neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesALA 60–4 UTC neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesALA 63–0 UTC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ALA 39–18 UTC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesALA 42–14 UTC neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesALA 46–11 UTC neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesALA 49–7 UTC neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesALA 53–4 UTC neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesALA 56–0 UTC neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ALA 35–14 UTC neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesALA 39–11 UTC neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesALA 42–7 UTC neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesALA 46–4 UTC neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesALA 49–0 UTC neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ALA 32–11 UTC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesALA 35–7 UTC neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesALA 39–4 UTC neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesALA 42–0 UTC neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalALA +21ALA +35ALA +49ALA +63ALA +77margin →