Passing
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #92
- ALA defense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.10
#55
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ECU 10.2%89.8% ALA
- Projected margin
- ALA by 20.3
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- ECU 0 to ALA 41
- Win probability
- ALA 89.8%
FinalECU 10 · ALA 48model had +20.3, off by 17.7
Current team profiles
East CarolinaAlabamaWhen East Carolina has the ball
Rushing
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #116
- ALA defense
- #8
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
-0.17
#8
Rush EPA
Drive success
ALA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU offense
- #119
- ALA defense
- #30
Success rates
38%
#119
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#110
-0.06
#17
EPA / play
1.22
#75
1.37
#122
Explosiveness
19%
#128
20%
#22
Havoc
When Alabama has the ball
Passing
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #7
- ALA offense
- #22
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.42
#22
Pass EPA
Rushing
ALA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #41
- ALA offense
- #9
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.27
#9
Rush EPA
Drive success
ECU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ECU defense
- #11
- ALA offense
- #15
Success rates
34%
#11
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#15
0.33
#7
EPA / play
1.24
#82
1.32
#25
Explosiveness
21%
#12
16%
#94
Havoc
Current key players
East CarolinaQBMitch Griffis
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8332/729
DBMyles Pollard
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 88.3
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 41
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
83.733/2969
RBAshton Gray
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.646/1044
LBDJ Johnson Jr.
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.0
- Coverage
- 75.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 20
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.873/1796
LBLJ Porter
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.8
- Coverage
- 64.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1139/1796
DBAyden Duncanson
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.2
- Coverage
- 89.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 69.0
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.0123/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Jeremiah Melvin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.
AlabamaQBKeelon Russell
1414 yds · 11 TD · 2 INT
92.54/729
RBEJ Crowell
204 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
90.38/1044
LBLuke Metz
36 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.1
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 25
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.223/1796
TEMarshall Pritchett
7 rec · 148 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 73.8
- Run blocking
- 74.2
- Penalties
- 1
82.817/1017
WRNoah Rogers
3 rec · 55 yds · 0 TD
81.844/2069
LBDesmond Umeozulu
6 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 62.2
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.798/1796
Availability reports · 2
- Josh Ford · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ford is nursing with a arm injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Aubrey Walker · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Volunteers on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ECUEast Carolina
ALAAlabama
vs
Offense
56.8
#137 of 138
QB
Quarterback
92.5
#3 of 138
78.5
#44 of 138
RB
Running backs
84.4
#12 of 138
72.5
#52 of 138
WR
Receivers
76.3
#29 of 138
62.0
#106 of 138
TE
Tight ends
82.8
#17 of 138
61.1
#127 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.7
#38 of 138
Defense
77.0
#36 of 138
DL
Defensive line
79.7
#17 of 138
77.7
#39 of 138
LB
Linebackers
81.5
#14 of 138
75.0
#33 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.1
#69 of 138