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American Athletic

East Carolina

Pirates3-29th in American Athletic
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC · 50,000
TeamCarried by the defense
OffensePassing attack · poorweak point: avoiding disruption, 128th
DefenseHavoc-driven · strong · built to defend the pass

The season

Best win
W 20-17 @ #130 Old Dominion
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · model had 66%
Worst loss
L 24-27 vs #100 App State
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 48%

Schedule

model 5/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    L 10–48
    Win chance 7%Model margin -20.3Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    L 24–27
    Win chance 48%Model margin -0.8Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    W 20–17
    Win chance 66%Model margin +5.5Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    vsNorth Carolina Central
    W 42–9
    Win chance >99%Model margin +40.5Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 10
    W 28–12
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.7Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 15
    atUAB
    Win chance 68%Model margin +6.3Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 22
    Win chance 22%Model margin -10.7Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.1Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    Win chance 33%Model margin -5.9Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    Win chance 85%Model margin +13.8Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    Win chance 37%Model margin -4.4Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    Win chance 70%Model margin +7.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
27
#113 of 138
Defense efficiency
91
#7 of 138
Efficiency
#1100.04
EPA / play
#15-0.07
#920.13
Pass
#7-0.10
#116-0.02
Rush
#41-0.01
#11938%
Success
#1134%
Big plays & havoc
#751.22
Explosive
#821.24
#12819%
Havoc
#1221%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB137th
RB44th
WR52nd
TE106th
OL127th
DL36th
LB39th
DB33rd

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Mitch GriffisSR
425 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
56.8
332nd QB
RB
Ashton GrayJR
152 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
83.6
46th RB
WR
Jeremiah MelvinJR
11 rec · 154 yds · 1 TD
76.1
108th WR
WR
Jason DickersonJR
4 rec · 73 yds · 1 TD
70.8
230th WR
TE
Mason BrownSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
62.0
205th TE
Defense
LB
DJ Johnson Jr.SR
29 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
80.8
73rd LB
LB
LJ PorterFR
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
77.1
139th LB
DB
Myles PollardSR
9 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
83.7
33rd DB
DB
Ayden DuncansonSR
6 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
77.0
123rd DB
DB
Rae'mon MosbyJR
4 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
73.7
245th DB

Injury report

1 listed
Ques.
Jeremiah MelvinWR

Melvin is dealing with a back injury, and it is unknown if he will face UAB on Friday.

76.110-10

Past seasons

Year by year
-2.1 points since 2022
304355688062.7202247.2202354.8202460.62025
2022 62.72023 47.22024 54.82025 60.6

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#69
Rating
60.6
Listed games · 12
LWWLWLWWWWLW
402 pts scored244 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at NC StateL 17–24
  2. W2 vs CampbellW 56–3
  3. W3 at Coastal CarolinaW 38–0
  4. W4 vs BYUL 13–34
  5. W5 vs ArmyW 28–6
  6. W7 at TulaneL 19–26
  7. W8 vs TulsaW 41–27
  8. W10 at TempleW 45–14
  9. W11 vs CharlotteW 48–22
  10. W12 vs MemphisW 31–27
  11. W13 at UTSAL 24–58
  12. W14 at Florida AtlanticW 42–3

2024

7-5
D-I rank
#98
Rating
54.8
Listed games · 12
WWLLWLLWWWWL
390 pts scored334 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Norfolk StateW 42–3
  2. W2 at Old DominionW 20–14
  3. W3 vs App StateL 19–21
  4. W4 at LibertyL 24–35
  5. W5 vs UTSAW 30–20
  6. W6 at CharlotteL 24–55
  7. W8 at ArmyL 28–45
  8. W9 vs TempleW 56–34
  9. W11 vs Florida AtlanticW 49–14
  10. W12 at TulsaW 38–31
  11. W13 at North TexasW 40–28
  12. W14 vs NavyL 20–34

2023

2-10
D-I rank
#142
Rating
47.2
Listed games · 12
LLLWLLLLLWLL
208 pts scored269 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at MichiganL 3–30
  2. W2 vs MarshallL 13–31
  3. W3 at App StateL 28–43
  4. W4 vs Gardner-WebbW 44–0
  5. W5 at RiceL 17–24
  6. W7 vs SMUL 10–31
  7. W8 vs CharlotteL 7–10
  8. W9 at UTSAL 27–41
  9. W10 vs TulaneL 10–13
  10. W11 at Florida AtlanticW 22–7
  11. W12 at NavyL 0–10
  12. W13 vs TulsaL 27–29

2022

7-5
D-I rank
#63
Rating
62.7
Listed games · 12
LWWLWLWWWLLW
370 pts scored324 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs NC StateL 20–21
  2. W2 vs Old DominionW 39–21
  3. W3 vs CampbellW 49–10
  4. W4 vs NavyL 20–23
  5. W5 vs South FloridaW 48–28
  6. W6 at TulaneL 9–24
  7. W7 vs MemphisW 47–45
  8. W8 vs UCFW 34–13
  9. W9 at BYUW 27–24
  10. W11 at CincinnatiL 25–27
  11. W12 vs HoustonL 3–42
  12. W13 at TempleW 49–46