AVRCFB Model
All rankings
American Athletic

Memphis

Tigers0-02nd in American Athletic
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN · 58,325
Rank —
63
Rating
50.4
TeamStrong roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: quarterback, 126th
DefenseExperienced secondary

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
at#70UNLV
28%
Aug 2925-33p›
1
vs#104Arkansas State
94%
Sep 538-17p›
2
at#60Boise State
39%
Sep 1228-31p›
3
vsUT Martin
97%
Sep 1941-16p›
5
at#135Charlotte
86%
Oct 335-21p›
6
vs#121UABThe Bones Trophy
83%
Oct 1037-24p›
7
at#88Tulane
53%
Oct 1628-27p›
8
vs#77East Carolina
63%
Oct 2230-25p›
9
vs#118Army
85%
Oct 3134-21p›
11
at#78South Florida
46%
Nov 1329-30p›
12
at#82Navy
54%
Nov 2129-28p›
13
vs#113Temple
80%
Nov 2734-23p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#3573
Talent
#3774
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB126th
RB94th
WR73rd
TE76th
OL48th
DL38th
LB62nd
DB20th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 namedavg 52.32025 ratings
X60.4
B. Kluse
WR · JR113th
LT79.2
B. Grant
OL · SR42nd
LG63.2
S. Grant
OL · SR93rd
C57.4
M. Woudsma
OL · SR115th
RG43.3
K. Keenum
OL · JR165th
RT23.0
A. Karas
OL · SR257th
TE50.6
H. Tipton
TE · SR126th
SL48.5
J. Davis
WR · JR360th
Z49.0
B. Dorsey
WR · SO340th
QB44.8
A. Noland
QB · SO222nd
RB55.7
M. Covey
RB · JR159th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Air NolandSO
44.8
222nd QB
RB
Manny CoveyJR
55.7
159th RB
WR
Brady KluseJR
60.4
113th WR
WR
Bryce DorseySO
49.0
340th WR
TE
Hunter TiptonSR
50.6
126th TE
Defense
LB
Mike MontgomerySR
71.4
130th LB
LB
Jayden ParrishSO
62.8
245th LB
S
Ian FosterJR
90.2
10th DB
CB
Anthony Richard Jr.SR
87.9
22nd DB
S
Ahmere FosterSR
79.6
94th DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

1%–9% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W11
at#78South Florida
2% lose9% win
±2.1
likely move
in odds
47% to win
W7
at#88Tulane
2% lose8% win
±1.9
likely move
in odds
53% to win
W8
vs#77East Carolina
1% lose8% win
±1.9
likely move
in odds
62% to win
W12
at#82Navy
2% lose8% win
±1.9
likely move
in odds
53% to win
W9
vs#118Army
1% lose6% win
±1.1
likely move
in odds
82% to win
W13
vs#113Temple
2% lose6% win
±1.0
likely move
in odds
78% to win
W2
at#60Boise State
3% lose8% win
±1.0
likely move
in odds
40% to win
W6
vs#121UAB
1% lose6% win
±1.0
likely move
in odds
81% to win