CFB
Model
All rankings
American Athletic

Memphis

Tigers5-13rd in American Athletic
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN · 58,325
TeamMiddle of the pack
OffenseGrinding passing attack · strong
DefenseBuilt to defend the pass · averageweak point: run defense, 119th

The season

Best win
W 27-21 @ #83 UNLV
Wk 1 · Aug 29 · model had 62%
Worst loss
L 20-38 @ #29 Boise State
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 33%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Aug 29
    atUNLV
    W 27–21
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.0Game details
  2. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsArkansas State
    W 42–24
    Win chance 84%Model margin +13.7Game details
  3. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atBoise State
    L 20–38
    Win chance 33%Model margin -6.0Game details
  4. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsUT Martin
    W 45–21
    Win chance >99%Model margin +39.5Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atCharlotte
    W 59–8
    Win chance 90%Model margin +17.2Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    vsUAB
    W 38–13
    Win chance 94%Model margin +20.5Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 16
    atTulane
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.6Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 22
    vsEast Carolina
    Win chance 79%Model margin +10.7Game details
  9. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsArmy
    Win chance 75%Model margin +9.0Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 13
    atSouth Florida
    Win chance 41%Model margin -3.2Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atNavy
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.1Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsTemple
    Win chance 83%Model margin +13.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
79
#16 of 138
Defense efficiency
54
#60 of 138
Efficiency
#220.28
EPA / play
#720.06
#50.56
Pass
#260.01
#250.22
Rush
#1190.16
#1750%
Success
#6240%
Big plays & havoc
#501.26
Explosive
#1171.35
#1411%
Havoc
#5717%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB38th
RB5th
WR104th
TE32nd
OL75th
DL111th
LB57th
DB83rd

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Marcus StokesJR
1371 yds · 14 TD · 3 INT
85.4
41st QB
RB
Dallan HaydenSR
172 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
88.6
16th RB
WR
Jermane HayesSO
22 rec · 242 yds · 2 TD
74.8
130th WR
WR
Stonka BurnsideSO
8 rec · 143 yds · 2 TD
65.4
441st WR
TE
Hunter TiptonSR
19 rec · 367 yds · 5 TD
77.3
38th TE
Defense
LB
Tylon NashSR
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
84.3
48th LB
LB
Mike MontgomerySR
27 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
71.0
331st LB
CB
Ellis Ellis Jr.SR
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
76.4
147th DB
S
Chase PinkstonSO
— tkl · — PD · 0 INT
73.0
276th DB
S
Dylan SmithJR
22 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
72.9
279th DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 16
    atTulane
    Playoff chance if win
    7.3%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.1%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 22
    vsEast Carolina
    Playoff chance if win
    6.1%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.3%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsArmy
    Playoff chance if win
    6.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.7%
  4. Week 11 · Nov 13
    atSouth Florida
    Playoff chance if win
    8.6%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.3%
  5. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atNavy
    Playoff chance if win
    6.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    2.0%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsTemple
    Playoff chance if win
    5.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    1.1%

Past seasons

Year by year
-2.9 points since 2022
405060708062.8202258.8202363.8202459.92025
2022 62.82023 58.82024 63.82025 59.9

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#72
Rating
59.9
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWLWWLLL
415 pts scored270 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs ChattanoogaW 45–10
  2. W2 at Georgia StateW 38–16
  3. W3 at TroyW 28–7
  4. W4 vs ArkansasW 32–31
  5. W5 at Florida AtlanticW 55–26
  6. W6 vs TulsaW 45–7
  7. W8 at UABL 24–31
  8. W9 vs South FloridaW 34–31
  9. W10 at RiceW 38–14
  10. W11 vs TulaneL 32–38
  11. W12 at East CarolinaL 27–31
  12. W14 vs NavyL 17–28

2024

10-2
D-I rank
#58
Rating
63.8
Listed games · 12
WWWLWWWWLWWW
422 pts scored273 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs North AlabamaW 40–0
  2. W2 vs TroyW 38–17
  3. W3 at Florida StateW 20–12
  4. W4 at NavyL 44–56
  5. W5 vs Middle TennesseeW 24–7
  6. W7 vs South FloridaW 21–3
  7. W8 vs North TexasW 52–44
  8. W9 vs CharlotteW 33–28
  9. W10 at UTSAL 36–44
  10. W11 vs RiceW 27–20
  11. W12 vs UABW 53–18
  12. W14 at TulaneW 34–24

2023

9-3
D-I rank
#70
Rating
58.8
Listed games · 12
WWWLWLWWWWLW
476 pts scored348 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Bethune-CookmanW 56–14
  2. W2 at Arkansas StateW 37–3
  3. W3 vs NavyW 28–24
  4. W4 vs MissouriL 27–34
  5. W5 vs Boise StateW 35–32
  6. W7 vs TulaneL 21–31
  7. W8 at UABW 45–21
  8. W9 at North TexasW 45–42
  9. W10 vs South FloridaW 59–50
  10. W11 at CharlotteW 44–38
  11. W12 vs SMUL 34–38
  12. W13 at TempleW 45–21

2022

6-6
D-I rank
#62
Rating
62.8
Listed games · 12
LWWWWLLLLWWL
421 pts scored328 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Mississippi StateL 23–49
  2. W2 at NavyW 37–13
  3. W3 vs Arkansas StateW 44–32
  4. W4 vs North TexasW 44–34
  5. W5 vs TempleW 24–3
  6. W6 vs HoustonL 32–33
  7. W7 at East CarolinaL 45–47
  8. W8 at TulaneL 28–38
  9. W10 vs UCFL 28–35
  10. W11 vs TulsaW 26–10
  11. W12 vs North AlabamaW 59–0
  12. W13 at SMUL 31–34