AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Mountain West

UNLV

Rebels0-01st in Mountain West
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV · 65,000
Rank —
70
Rating
48.6
TeamOffense-leaning roster
OffenseUnproven
DefenseUnprovenweak point: linebacker, 133rd

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
vs#63Memphis
72%
Aug 2933-25p›
1
at#90Hawai'iIsland Showdown Trophy
28%
Sep 525-33p›
2
at#80North Texas
52%
Sep 1233-32p›
4
at#115Akron
77%
Sep 2634-24p›
5
vs#68California
64%
Oct 331-27p›
6
vs#81North Dakota State
69%
Oct 1033-27p›
7
at#98Air Force
61%
Oct 1735-31p›
9
vs#134Northern Illinois
95%
Nov 139-17p›
10
vs#119Wyoming
87%
Nov 836-21p›
11
at#86New Mexico
61%
Nov 1532-28p›
12
at#123San José State
83%
Nov 2236-24p›
13
vs#120NevadaFremont Cannon
88%
Nov 2937-21p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#5170
Talent
#12252
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB74th
RB27th
WR80th
TE50th
OL81st
DL85th
LB133rd
DB93rd

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 52.91 top-252025 ratings
X53.6
K. McGee
WR · SO202nd
LT60.0
G. Scroggs
OL · SR103rd
LG14.8
B. Tolo
OL · JR282nd
C—
A. Boyd
OL · SR
RG—
J. Brown
OL · JR
RT—
W. Thomas
OL · SR
TE58.4
M. Byrnes
TE · SR66th
SL48.3
T. Reddicks
WR · JR365th
Z51.2
T. Lyons
WR · JR277th
QB56.8
J. Arnold
QB · SR83rd
RB79.8
J. Thomas
RB · SR23rd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Jackson ArnoldSR
56.8
83rd QB
RB
Jai'Den ThomasSR
79.8
23rd RB
WR
Kayden McGeeSO
53.6
202nd WR
WR
Taeshaun LyonsJR
51.2
277th WR
TE
Matt ByrnesSR
58.4
66th TE
Defense
LB
Mark IheanachorFR
54.5
400th LB
LB
Blesyng Alualu-TuiolemotuJR
46.3
558th LB
DB
Quandarius KeyesSR
68.9
264th DB
DB
Tre FultonSO
61.6
439th DB
DB
Tony-Louis NkubaSO
56.2
586th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Cohen FullerDL
08-28

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

3%–20% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W7
at#98Air Force
4% lose15% win
±3.6
likely move
in odds
60% to win
W11
at#86New Mexico
4% lose14% win
±3.0
likely move
in odds
60% to win
W1
at#90Hawai'i
6% lose20% win
±3.0
likely move
in odds
30% to win
W6
vs#81North Dakota State
4% lose14% win
±2.8
likely move
in odds
67% to win
W12
at#123San José State
3% lose12% win
±1.7
likely move
in odds
81% to win
W2
at#80North Texas
6% lose14% win
±1.5
likely move
in odds
52% to win
W1
vs#90Hawai'i
5% lose13% win
±1.2
likely move
in odds
71% to win
W10
vs#119Wyoming
3% lose12% win
±1.2
likely move
in odds
85% to win