San José State

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

1. Week 1 · Aug 29
   atUSC

   L 26–42
   Win chance <1%Model margin -36.0Game details
2. Week 1 · Sep 4
   atEastern Michigan

   W 27–21
   Win chance 24%Model margin -9.6Game details
3. Week 2 · Sep 12
   vsCal Poly

   W 30–20
   Win chance 97%Model margin +25.9Game details
4. Week 3 · Sep 19
   vsFresno State

   L 10–26
   Win chance 38%Model margin -4.0Game details
5. Week 5 · Oct 3
   atHawai'i

   W 20–16
   Win chance 45%Model margin -1.8Game details
6. Week 6 · Oct 9
   vsWyoming

   L 13–16
   Win chance 67%Model margin +5.8Game details
7. Week 7 · Oct 17
   atUTEP
   Win chance 55%Model margin +1.6Game details
8. Week 8 · Oct 24
   atNevada
   Win chance 40%Model margin -3.6Game details
9. Week 9 · Oct 31
   vsNew Mexico
   Win chance 14%Model margin -14.4Game details
10. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsNorthern Illinois
    Win chance 76%Model margin +9.6Game details
11. Week 11 · Nov 15
    atAir Force
    Win chance 30%Model margin -7.2Game details
12. Week 12 · Nov 22
    vsUNLV
    Win chance 28%Model margin -7.9Game details
13. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsNorth Dakota State
    Win chance 22%Model margin -10.4Game details

Wk	Opponent	Win prob	Result	Model	± Exp	Game page
1	at#17USC	0%	L 26-42	-36.0✓	+20	›
1	at#131Eastern Michigan	24%	W 27-21	-9.6✗	+16	›
2	vs#173Cal Poly	97%	W 30-20	+25.9✓	-16	›
3	vs#69Fresno StateValley Cup	38%	L 10-26	-4.0✓	-12	›
5	at#135Hawai'iDick Tomey Legacy Trophy	45%	W 20-16	-1.8✗	+6	›
6	vs#126Wyoming	67%	L 13-16	+5.8✗	-9	›
7	at#170UTEP	55%	Oct 17	+1.6	—	›
8	at#109Nevada	40%	Oct 24	-3.6	—	›
9	vs#33New Mexico	14%	Oct 31	-14.4	—	›
10	vs#145Northern Illinois	76%	Nov 7	+9.6	—	›
11	at#74Air Force	30%	Nov 15	-7.2	—	›
12	vs#83UNLV	28%	Nov 22	-7.9	—	›
13	vs#61North Dakota State	22%	Nov 27	-10.4	—	›