CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Fri Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WYO 35.3%64.7% SJSU
Projected margin
SJSU by 5.8
Projected total
41
80% outcome range
WYO 13 to SJSU 26
Win probability
SJSU 64.7%
FinalWYO 16 · SJSU 13model had +5.8, off by 8.8

Current team profiles

Wyoming
San José State

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

SJSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#128
SJSU defense
#52
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
0.09
#52
Pass EPA

Rushing

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#55
SJSU defense
#98
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#69
SJSU defense
#107
Success rates
44%
#69
44%
#107
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#100
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.02
#137
1.05
#9
Explosiveness
16%
#94
15%
#84
Havoc

When San José State has the ball

Passing

SJSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#89
SJSU offense
#62
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#107
SJSU offense
#113
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
-0.01
#113
Rush EPA

Drive success

SJSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#121
SJSU offense
#102
Success rates
46%
#121
40%
#102
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#101
0.10
#89
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.14
#113
Explosiveness
15%
#93
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

San José State
QBLuke Weaver
1278 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
65.7207/729
SPierce Walker
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.8
Coverage
80.0
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
10
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
0
77.999/2969
RBJabari Bates
487 yds · 0 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.8116/1044
SCharles Cox III
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
73.3263/2969
STuli Tagovailoa-Amosa
23 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.1
Coverage
71.0
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
54
Passer rating allowed
55.6
Missed tackles
5
73.1273/2969
WRCooper Hoch
19 rec · 285 yds · 3 TD
72.5181/2069
Availability reports · 1
  • Cooper Hoch · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoch is hampered by a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Miners on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WYO
SJSU
vs
Offense
67.9
#111 of 138
QB
65.7
#117 of 138
73.8
#85 of 138
RB
71.3
#108 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
WR
68.2
#105 of 138
68.9
#71 of 138
TE
51.2
#138 of 138
66.6
#82 of 138
OL
61.4
#125 of 138
Defense
74.6
#57 of 138
DL
82.7
#6 of 138
68.5
#117 of 138
LB
67.2
#124 of 138
74.0
#46 of 138
DB
73.0
#56 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Wyoming
opponent
San José State
A-28.0
NDSU#61
-10.4H
H+17.0
HAW#135
+4.0A
H-1.5
AF#74
-7.2A
A-12.8
UNLV#83
-7.9H
A+2.1
UTEP#170
+1.6A
H+10.0
NIU#145
+9.6H
H-14.0
UNM#33
-14.4H