CFB
Model
All rankings
Mountain West

Hawai'i

Rainbow Warriors1-58th in Mountain West
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex · Honolulu, HI · 15,194
TeamOvermatched · undone by bad losses
OffenseStuck in the mud · poorweak point: run game, 116th
DefenseBend-don't-break · poor · built to defend the passweak point: run defense, 128th

The season

Best win
W 29-19 vs #120 New Mexico State
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 60%
Worst loss
L 10-27 @ #126 Wyoming
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · lost as a 55% favorite

Schedule

model 3/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Aug 29
    atStanford
    L 27–37
    Win chance 34%Model margin -5.8Game details
  2. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsUNLV
    L 6–21
    Win chance 56%Model margin +2.2Game details
  3. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsNew Mexico State
    W 29–19
    Win chance 60%Model margin +3.4Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atWyoming
    L 10–27
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.6Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsSan José State
    L 16–20
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.8Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atArizona State
    L 12–30
    Win chance 10%Model margin -17.5Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsNew Mexico
    Win chance 19%Model margin -11.9Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 24
    atNorthern Illinois
    Win chance 69%Model margin +6.7Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atUTEP
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.1Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 15
    vsNorth Dakota State
    Win chance 28%Model margin -7.9Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atNevada
    Win chance 47%Model margin -1.1Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 29
    vsSacramento State
    Win chance 83%Model margin +12.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
16
#128 of 138
Defense efficiency
14
#121 of 138
Efficiency
#1180.02
EPA / play
#1250.22
#1140.07
Pass
#890.20
#116-0.02
Rush
#1280.21
#11539%
Success
#12546%
Big plays & havoc
#1181.13
Explosive
#411.17
#11217%
Havoc
#10913%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB129th
RB69th
WR78th
TE46th
OL137th
DL73rd
LB27th
DB115th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Micah AlejadoSO
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9
261st QB
RB
DeVon RiceSO
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3
127th RB
WR
Tama UiliataSO
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5
101st WR
WR
Titan LacadenFR
9 rec · 54 yds · 0 TD
70.0
269th WR
TE
Frank AbreuFR
5 rec · 31 yds · 1 TD
72.7
60th TE
Defense
LB
Julian SmithJR
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
81.2
66th LB
LB
Matteus IoaneSO
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
80.0
82nd LB
DB
Jeremiah HughesJR
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
74.4
213th DB
DB
Joenel FigueroaSR
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
70.8
393rd DB
DB
Matagi ThompsonSR
31 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
70.2
427th DB

Injury report

2 out
out
Robert Haynes IVWR

Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

—09-03
out
Pofele AshlockWR

Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.

62.8202510-05
Ques.
Carson BrownWR

Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

51.810-11
Ques.
Tre' GriffithsWR

Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

47.510-11
Ques.
Anthony HickmanTE

Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11
Ques.
Isaac Jaramilla-PheQB

Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t

—10-11
Ques.
Oakie Salave'aTE

Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.

—10-11

Past seasons

Year by year
+16.4 points since 2022
304050607040.1202244.6202350.9202456.52025
2022 40.12023 44.62024 50.92025 56.5

2025

8-4
D-I rank
#85
Rating
56.5
Listed games · 12
WLWWLWWWLWLW
342 pts scored282 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs StanfordW 23–20
  2. W1 at ArizonaL 6–40
  3. W2 vs Sam HoustonW 37–20
  4. W3 vs Portland StateW 23–3
  5. W4 vs Fresno StateL 21–23
  6. W5 at Air ForceW 44–35
  7. W7 vs Utah StateW 44–26
  8. W8 at Colorado StateW 31–19
  9. W10 at San José StateL 38–45
  10. W11 vs San Diego StateW 38–6
  11. W13 at UNLVL 10–38
  12. W14 vs WyomingW 27–7

2024

5-7
D-I rank
#115
Rating
50.9
Listed games · 12
WLLWLLLWWLLW
268 pts scored312 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Delaware StateW 35–14
  2. W1 vs UCLAL 13–16
  3. W3 at Sam HoustonL 13–31
  4. W4 vs Northern IowaW 36–7
  5. W6 at San Diego StateL 24–27
  6. W7 vs Boise StateL 7–28
  7. W8 at Washington StateL 10–42
  8. W9 vs NevadaW 34–13
  9. W10 at Fresno StateW 21–20
  10. W11 vs UNLVL 27–29
  11. W12 at Utah StateL 10–55
  12. W14 vs New MexicoW 38–30

2023

5-8
D-I rank
#161
Rating
44.6
Listed games · 13
LLWLWLLLLWWLW
278 pts scored419 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at VanderbiltL 28–35
  2. W1 vs StanfordL 24–37
  3. W2 vs UAlbanyW 31–20
  4. W3 at OregonL 10–55
  5. W4 vs New Mexico StateW 20–17
  6. W5 at UNLVL 20–44
  7. W7 vs San Diego StateL 34–41
  8. W8 at New MexicoL 21–42
  9. W9 vs San José StateL 0–35
  10. W10 at NevadaW 27–14
  11. W11 vs Air ForceW 27–13
  12. W12 at WyomingL 9–42
  13. W13 vs Colorado StateW 27–24

2022

3-10
D-I rank
#180
Rating
40.1
Listed games · 13
LLLWLLWLLLLWL
257 pts scored451 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs VanderbiltL 10–63
  2. W1 vs Western KentuckyL 17–49
  3. W2 at MichiganL 10–56
  4. W3 vs DuquesneW 24–14
  5. W4 at New Mexico StateL 26–45
  6. W6 at San Diego StateL 14–16
  7. W7 vs NevadaW 31–16
  8. W8 at Colorado StateL 13–17
  9. W9 vs WyomingL 20–27
  10. W10 at Fresno StateL 13–55
  11. W11 vs Utah StateL 34–41
  12. W12 vs UNLVW 31–25
  13. W13 at San José StateL 14–27