Passing
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW offense
- #114
- NEV defense
- #82
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.18
#82
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
HAW 47.1%52.9% NEV
- Projected margin
- NEV by 1.1
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- HAW 17 to NEV 20
- Win probability
- NEV 52.9%
Current team profiles
Hawai'iNevadaWhen Hawai'i has the ball
Rushing
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW offense
- #116
- NEV defense
- #102
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW offense
- #115
- NEV defense
- #60
Success rates
39%
#115
39%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#118
0.12
#93
EPA / play
1.13
#118
1.18
#48
Explosiveness
17%
#112
13%
#122
Havoc
When Nevada has the ball
Passing
HAW defense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW defense
- #89
- NEV offense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.02
#122
Pass EPA
Rushing
NEV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW defense
- #128
- NEV offense
- #35
EPA comparison
0.21
#128
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- HAW defense
- #125
- NEV offense
- #87
Success rates
46%
#125
42%
#87
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#125
0.10
#87
EPA / play
1.17
#41
1.25
#57
Explosiveness
13%
#109
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
Hawai'iQBMicah Alejado
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9261/729
LBJulian Smith
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 63.5
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.266/1796
LBMatteus Ioane
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Coverage
- 81.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.082/1796
RBDeVon Rice
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3127/1044
WRTama Uiliata
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5101/2069
DBJeremiah Hughes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 73.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 64
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
74.4213/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Robert Haynes IV · WRout · 2026-09-03
Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Pofele Ashlock · WRout · 2026-10-05
Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Carson Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Tre' Griffiths · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anthony Hickman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Isaac Jaramilla-Phe · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t
- Oakie Salave'a · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
NevadaQBAJ Bianco
116 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
71.3145/729
DBTajean Stallworth
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.9
- Coverage
- 52.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
90.77/2969
TETrace Estes
1 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Penalties
- 0
89.93/1017
WRDon Henry
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
82.338/2069
LBEJ Smith
56 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.3
- Coverage
- 63.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.874/1796
RBHerschel Turner
234 yds · 3 TD · 6.0 YPC
77.1131/1044
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HAWHawai'i
NEVNevada
vs
Offense
60.9
#129 of 138
QB
Quarterback
71.3
#98 of 138
75.5
#69 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.4
#61 of 138
70.1
#78 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.2
#91 of 138
72.7
#46 of 138
TE
Tight ends
89.9
#3 of 138
58.5
#137 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.0
#94 of 138
Defense
72.8
#73 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.7
#126 of 138
78.9
#27 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.5
#65 of 138
68.5
#115 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.7
#60 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Hawai'i
opponent
Nevada
Aaway+4.1
UTEPUTEP#170+17.0Aaway
Hhome-4.0
SJSUSan José State#123+3.6Hhome
Hhome-7.9
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61-14.8Aaway
Hhome-15.0
UNLVUNLV#83-12.3Aaway
Hhome-11.9
UNMNew Mexico#33-13.4Hhome
Aaway+6.7
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+5.2Aaway