Mountain West

Nevada

Wolf Pack2-35th in Mountain West

Mackay Stadium · Reno, NV · 27,000

TeamShort on both sides · undone by bad losses

OffenseRunning attack · weakweak point: passing game, 122nd

DefenseWeak defenseweak point: generating pressure, 122nd

The season

Best win

W 49-14 vs #122 Western Kentucky

Wk 1 · Sep 5 · won as a 44% underdog

Worst loss

L 20-27 @ #150 Middle Tennessee

Wk 3 · Sep 19 · lost as a 65% favorite

Schedule

model 1/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Week 1 · Sep 5
vsWestern Kentucky
W 49–14
Win chance 44%Model margin -2.2Game details
Week 2 · Sep 12
vsMontana State
L 7–20
Win chance 67%Model margin +5.8Game details
Week 3 · Sep 19
atMiddle Tennessee
L 20–27
Win chance 65%Model margin +5.0Game details
Week 4 · Sep 26
vsAir Force
L 33–36
Win chance 71%Model margin +7.5Game details
Week 6 · Oct 10
atUTEP
W 30–13
Win chance 68%Model margin +6.5Game details
Week 7 · Oct 17
atNorth Dakota State
Win chance 14%Model margin -14.8Game details
Week 8 · Oct 24
vsSan JosÃ© State
Win chance 61%Model margin +3.6Game details
Week 9 · Oct 31
atUCLA
Win chance 5%Model margin -21.7Game details
Week 10 · Nov 7
vsNew Mexico
Win chance 16%Model margin -13.4Game details
Week 11 · Nov 14
atNorthern Illinois
Win chance 65%Model margin +5.2Game details
Week 12 · Nov 21
vsHawai'i
Win chance 53%Model margin +1.1Game details
Week 13 · Nov 29
atUNLV
Win chance 18%Model margin -12.3Game details

Wk	Opponent	Win prob	Result	Model	± Exp	Game page
1	vs#122Western Kentucky	44%	W 49-14	-2.2âœ—	+37	›
2	vs#78Montana State	67%	L 7-20	+5.8âœ—	-19	›
3	at#150Middle Tennessee	65%	L 20-27	+5.0âœ—	-12	›
4	vs#74Air Force	71%	L 33-36	+7.5âœ—	-11	›
6	at#170UTEP	68%	W 30-13	+6.5âœ“	+11	›
7	at#61North Dakota State	14%	Oct 17	-14.8	—	›
8	vs#123San JosÃ© State	61%	Oct 24	+3.6	—	›
9	at#24UCLA	5%	Oct 31	-21.7	—	›
10	vs#33New Mexico	16%	Nov 7	-13.4	—	›
11	at#145Northern Illinois	65%	Nov 14	+5.2	—	›
12	vs#135Hawai'i	53%	Nov 21	+1.1	—	›
13	at#83UNLVFremont Cannon	18%	Nov 29	-12.3	—	›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138

Offense efficiency

#84 of 138

Defense efficiency

#99 of 138

Efficiency

#870.10

EPA / play

#930.12

#1220.02

Pass

#820.18

#350.19

Rush

#1020.13

#8742%

Success

#6039%

Big plays & havoc

#571.25

Explosive

#481.18

#4514%

Havoc

#12213%

Position groupsby overall player grade

QB98th

RB61st

WR91st

TE3rd

OL94th

DL126th

LB65th

DB60th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade

Offense

AJ BiancoSR

116 yds Â· 1 TD Â· 1 INT

71.3

145th QB

Herschel TurnerJR

234 yds Â· 3 TD Â· 6.0 YPC

77.1

131st RB

Don HenryJR

1 rec Â· 28 yds Â· 0 TD

82.3

38th WR

Donnie CheersJR

6 rec Â· 121 yds Â· 1 TD

64.4

497th WR

Trace EstesSO

1 rec Â· 37 yds Â· 0 TD

89.9

3rd TE

Defense

EJ SmithSR

56 tkl Â· 3.5 TFL Â· 1.5 sk

80.8

74th LB

Alosio MaluiaSO

7 tkl Â· 0.0 TFL Â· 0.0 sk

75.8

162nd LB

Tajean StallworthFR

2 tkl Â· 0 PD Â· 0 INT

90.7

7th DB

Bryson SnellingJR

9 tkl Â· 1 PD Â· 1 INT

71.5

353rd DB

Justin Wyatt Jr.FR

3 tkl Â· 0 PD Â· 0 INT

69.5

477th DB

Past seasons

Year by year

+5.5 points since 2022

2022 42.72023 42.12024 52.42025 48.2

2025

3-9

D-I rank: #130
Rating: 48.2

Listed games · 12

LWLLLLLLLWWL

211 pts scored330 allowed

Season schedule

W1 at Penn StateL 11–46
W2 vs Sacramento StateW 20–17
W3 vs Middle TennesseeL 13–14
W4 at Western KentuckyL 16–31
W6 at Fresno StateL 17–20
W7 vs San Diego StateL 10–44
W8 at New MexicoL 22–24
W9 vs Boise StateL 3–24
W11 at Utah StateL 14–51
W13 at WyomingW 13–7
W14 vs UNLVL 17–42

2024

3-10

D-I rank: #110
Rating: 52.4

Listed games · 13

LWLLWLWLLLLLL

300 pts scored374 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs SMUL 24–29
W1 at TroyW 28–26
W2 vs Georgia SouthernL 17–20
W3 at MinnesotaL 0–27
W4 vs Eastern WashingtonW 49–16
W7 vs Oregon StateW 42–37
W8 vs Fresno StateL 21–24
W9 at Hawai'iL 13–34
W10 vs Colorado StateL 21–38
W11 at Boise StateL 21–28
W13 vs Air ForceL 19–22
W14 at UNLVL 14–38

2023

2-10

D-I rank: #175
Rating: 42.1

Listed games · 12

LLLLLLWWLLLL

208 pts scored401 allowed

Season schedule

W1 at USCL 14–66
W2 vs IdahoL 6–33
W3 vs KansasL 24–31
W4 at Texas StateL 24–35
W5 at Fresno StateL 9–27
W7 vs UNLVL 27–45
W8 at San Diego StateW 6–0
W9 vs New MexicoW 34–24
W10 vs Hawai'iL 14–27
W11 at Utah StateL 24–41
W12 at Colorado StateL 20–30
W13 vs WyomingL 6–42

2022

2-10

D-I rank: #165
Rating: 42.7

Listed games · 12

WWLLLLLLLLLL

226 pts scored371 allowed

Season schedule

W1 at New Mexico StateW 23–12
W1 vs Texas StateW 38–14
W2 vs Incarnate WordL 41–55
W3 at IowaL 0–27
W4 at Air ForceL 20–48
W6 vs Colorado StateL 14–17
W7 at Hawai'iL 16–31
W8 vs San Diego StateL 7–23
W11 vs Boise StateL 3–41
W12 vs Fresno StateL 14–41
W13 at UNLVL 22–27