Passing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #122
- NDSU defense
- #2
EPA comparison
0.02
#122
-0.15
#2
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NEV 17.4%82.6% NDSU
- Projected margin
- NDSU by 14.8
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- NEV 4 to NDSU 33
- Win probability
- NDSU 82.6%
Current team profiles
NevadaNorth Dakota StateWhen Nevada has the ball
Rushing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #35
- NDSU defense
- #10
EPA comparison
0.19
#35
-0.15
#10
Rush EPA
Drive success
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV offense
- #87
- NDSU defense
- #46
Success rates
42%
#87
38%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
-0.15
#4
EPA / play
1.25
#57
0.99
#3
Explosiveness
14%
#45
17%
#45
Havoc
When North Dakota State has the ball
Passing
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #82
- NDSU offense
- #47
EPA comparison
0.18
#82
0.28
#47
Pass EPA
Rushing
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #102
- NDSU offense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.04
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NEV defense
- #60
- NDSU offense
- #91
Success rates
39%
#60
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#93
0.12
#81
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.28
#39
Explosiveness
13%
#122
14%
#59
Havoc
Current key players
NevadaQBAJ Bianco
116 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
71.3145/729
DBTajean Stallworth
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.9
- Coverage
- 52.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
90.77/2969
TETrace Estes
1 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Penalties
- 0
89.93/1017
WRDon Henry
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
82.338/2069
LBEJ Smith
56 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.3
- Coverage
- 63.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.874/1796
RBHerschel Turner
234 yds · 3 TD · 6.0 YPC
77.1131/1044
North Dakota StateQBNathan Hayes
995 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
86.932/729
SWalker Braaten
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 92.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
93.41/2969
LBDonovan Woolen
33 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.5
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.220/1796
WRJackson Williams
22 rec · 358 yds · 1 TD
85.823/2069
WRJordan McCants
2 rec · 79 yds · 1 TD
78.171/2069
CBMarion Moore
8 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.6
- Coverage
- 76.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.1121/2969
Availability reports · 9
- Braylon Toliver · RBout · 2026-10-09
Toliver is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Cash Danner · TEout · 2026-10-09
Danner is out of commission due to and undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Drake Schlosser · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlosser is out of commission due to an undisclosed injury and, he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kye Schlichting · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlichting is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- N. Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Brandon Walton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Cortez LeGrant · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
LeGrant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Henry Nelson · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Jonathan Harvey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NEVNevada
NDSUNorth Dakota State
vs
Offense
71.3
#98 of 138
QB
Quarterback
86.9
#30 of 138
76.4
#61 of 138
RB
Running backs
73.8
#87 of 138
69.2
#91 of 138
WR
Receivers
79.1
#14 of 138
89.9
#3 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.4
#49 of 138
65.0
#94 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.9
#35 of 138
Defense
67.7
#126 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.3
#32 of 138
74.5
#65 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.4
#42 of 138
72.7
#60 of 138
DB
Secondary
79.5
#3 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Nevada
opponent
North Dakota State
Aaway+5.2
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+22.6Hhome
Hhome-3.0
AFAir Force#74+6.0Aaway
Hhome+3.6
SJSUSan José State#123+10.4Aaway
Hhome+1.1
HAWHawai'i#135+7.9Aaway
Hhome-13.4
UNMNew Mexico#33-6.7Aaway
Aaway-12.3
UNLVUNLV#83-6.0Aaway
Aaway+17.0
UTEPUTEP#170+20.0Hhome