AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Mountain West

North Dakota State

Bison1-02nd in Mountain West
Fargodome · Fargo, ND · 18,700
Rank —
81
Rating
46.6
TeamAverage roster · winning more than the play suggests
OffenseUnproven
DefenseUnproven

The season

1 games played
Best win
W 33-7 vs #89 Jacksonville State
Wk 1 · Aug 29 · model had 89%
Undefeated.

Rank by week

Not enough weekly data

Schedule

model 1/1 straight up
WkOpponentWin probResultModelGame page
1
vs#89Jacksonville State
89%
W 33-7
+16.7✓
›
1
vsFordham
100%
Sep 5
+35.2
›
2
at#98Air Force
50%
Sep 13
-0.2
›
3
at#111Sacramento State
44%
Sep 20
-1.9
›
5
vs#119Wyoming
80%
Oct 3
+11.2
›
6
at#70UNLV
31%
Oct 10
-6.6
›
7
vs#120Nevada
81%
Oct 17
+11.9
›
8
at#86New Mexico
49%
Oct 24
-0.4
›
9
vs#133UTEP
89%
Oct 31
+16.7
›
11
at#90Hawai'i
46%
Nov 15
-1.5
›
12
vs#134Northern Illinois
91%
Nov 21
+17.8
›
13
at#123San José State
74%
Nov 27
+8.6
›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#6768
Talent
#7666

Roster

Injury report

1 starters
questionable
Nate TastadOLstarter
08-25

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–6% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W11
at#90Hawai'i
1% lose5% win
±1.1
likely move
in odds
46% to win
W8
at#86New Mexico
1% lose5% win
±1.0
likely move
in odds
49% to win
W6
at#70UNLV
1% lose6% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
33% to win
W2
at#98Air Force
1% lose4% win
±0.9
likely move
in odds
50% to win
W13
at#123San José State
1% lose4% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
72% to win
W5
vs#119Wyoming
1% lose3% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
78% to win
W3
at#111Sacramento State
1% lose4% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
45% to win
W9
vs#133UTEP
0% lose3% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
87% to win