Passing
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #47
- HAW defense
- #89
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.20
#89
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 11:59 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NDSU 68.8%31.3% HAW
- Projected margin
- NDSU by 7.9
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- NDSU 26 to HAW 11
- Win probability
- NDSU 68.8%
Current team profiles
North Dakota State
Hawai'iWhen North Dakota State has the ball
Rushing
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #93
- HAW defense
- #128
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
0.21
#128
Rush EPA
Drive success
NDSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #91
- HAW defense
- #125
Success rates
42%
#91
46%
#125
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#81
0.22
#125
EPA / play
1.28
#39
1.17
#41
Explosiveness
14%
#59
13%
#109
Havoc
When Hawai'i has the ball
Passing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #2
- HAW offense
- #114
EPA comparison
-0.15
#2
0.07
#114
Pass EPA
Rushing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #10
- HAW offense
- #116
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #46
- HAW offense
- #115
Success rates
38%
#46
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#4
0.02
#118
EPA / play
0.99
#3
1.13
#118
Explosiveness
17%
#45
17%
#112
Havoc
Current key players
North Dakota StateQBNathan Hayes
995 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
86.932/729
SWalker Braaten
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 92.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
93.41/2969
LBDonovan Woolen
33 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.5
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.220/1796
WRJackson Williams
22 rec · 358 yds · 1 TD
85.823/2069
WRJordan McCants
2 rec · 79 yds · 1 TD
78.171/2069
CBMarion Moore
8 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.6
- Coverage
- 76.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.1121/2969
Availability reports · 9
- Braylon Toliver · RBout · 2026-10-09
Toliver is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Cash Danner · TEout · 2026-10-09
Danner is out of commission due to and undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Drake Schlosser · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlosser is out of commission due to an undisclosed injury and, he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kye Schlichting · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlichting is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- N. Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Brandon Walton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Cortez LeGrant · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
LeGrant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Henry Nelson · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Jonathan Harvey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
Hawai'iQBMicah Alejado
1361 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
60.9261/729
LBJulian Smith
5 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.1
- Coverage
- 63.5
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.266/1796
LBMatteus Ioane
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.7
- Coverage
- 81.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 5
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.082/1796
RBDeVon Rice
276 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
77.3127/1044
WRTama Uiliata
27 rec · 245 yds · 1 TD
76.5101/2069
DBJeremiah Hughes
11 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 73.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 64
- Passer rating allowed
- 71.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
74.4213/2969
Availability reports · 7
- Robert Haynes IV · WRout · 2026-09-03
Haynes IV is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Pofele Ashlock · WRout · 2026-10-05
Ashlock is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Carson Brown · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Brown is dealing with a shoulder injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Tre' Griffiths · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Griffiths is dealing with an undisclosed injury and it is unclear if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Anthony Hickman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Hickman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
- Isaac Jaramilla-Phe · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Jaramilla-Phe is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against Lobos on Saturday, October 17t
- Oakie Salave'a · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Salave'a is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will kit up against Lobos on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NDSUNorth Dakota State
HAWHawai'i
vs
Offense
86.9
#30 of 138
QB
Quarterback
60.9
#129 of 138
73.8
#87 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.5
#69 of 138
79.1
#14 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.1
#78 of 138
72.4
#49 of 138
TE
Tight ends
72.7
#46 of 138
71.9
#35 of 138
OL
Offensive line
58.5
#137 of 138
Defense
77.3
#32 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#73 of 138
77.4
#42 of 138
LB
Linebackers
78.9
#27 of 138
79.5
#3 of 138
DB
Secondary
68.5
#115 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
North Dakota State
opponent
Hawai'i
Hhome+28.0
WYOWyoming#126-17.0Aaway
Hhome+22.6
NIUNorthern Illinois#145+6.7Aaway
Hhome+14.8
NEVNevada#109-1.1Aaway
Hhome+20.0
UTEPUTEP#170+4.1Aaway
Aaway+10.4
SJSUSan José State#123-4.0Hhome
Aaway-6.0
UNLVUNLV#83-15.0Hhome
Aaway+21.0
SACSacramento State#187+12.7Hhome
Aaway-6.7
UNMNew Mexico#33-11.9Hhome