Passing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #47
- UNM defense
- #13
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
-0.06
#13
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 10:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NDSU 33.2%66.8% UNM
- Projected margin
- UNM by 6.7
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- NDSU 12 to UNM 25
- Win probability
- UNM 66.8%
Current team profiles
North Dakota StateNew MexicoWhen North Dakota State has the ball
Rushing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #93
- UNM defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.04
#93
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU offense
- #91
- UNM defense
- #1
Success rates
42%
#91
31%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#81
-0.18
#2
EPA / play
1.28
#39
1.46
#136
Explosiveness
14%
#59
26%
#1
Havoc
When New Mexico has the ball
Passing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #2
- UNM offense
- #101
EPA comparison
-0.15
#2
0.11
#101
Pass EPA
Rushing
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #10
- UNM offense
- #12
EPA comparison
-0.15
#10
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
NDSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NDSU defense
- #46
- UNM offense
- #73
Success rates
38%
#46
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#4
0.19
#52
EPA / play
0.99
#3
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
17%
#45
12%
#24
Havoc
Current key players
North Dakota StateQBNathan Hayes
995 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
86.932/729
SWalker Braaten
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 92.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
93.41/2969
LBDonovan Woolen
33 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.5
- Coverage
- 74.6
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 23
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
88.220/1796
WRJackson Williams
22 rec · 358 yds · 1 TD
85.823/2069
WRJordan McCants
2 rec · 79 yds · 1 TD
78.171/2069
CBMarion Moore
8 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.6
- Coverage
- 76.2
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 8
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.1121/2969
Availability reports · 9
- Braylon Toliver · RBout · 2026-10-09
Toliver is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Cash Danner · TEout · 2026-10-09
Danner is out of commission due to and undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Drake Schlosser · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlosser is out of commission due to an undisclosed injury and, he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Kye Schlichting · WRout · 2026-10-09
Schlichting is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- N. Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Brandon Walton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Walton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Cortez LeGrant · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
LeGrant is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Henry Nelson · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Nelson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
- Jonathan Harvey · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established if he will face the Wolf Pack on Saturday, October 17th .
New MexicoQBJames Laubstein
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
91.29/729
CBJoshua Barnes
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 93.4
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.64/2969
RBKiefer Sibley
205 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.082/1044
LBMercury Swaim
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.0
- Coverage
- 66.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.1136/1796
LBJaxton Eck
25 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1138/1796
CBJahmir Torres
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.4
- Coverage
- 77.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 22
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.8133/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Massiah Mingo · WRout · 2026-09-26
Mingo is nursing with a foot injury, and he is not projected to face against the Aggies on Saturday.
- Tripp Walsh · TEout · 2026-10-01
Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Troy Omeire · WRout · 2026-10-02
Omeire is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Joey Olsen · TEout · 2026-08-11
Olsen is battling with a knee ACL injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jack Layne · QBout · 2026-08-27
Layne is laid up with an elbow injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Abraham Williams · WRout · 2026-09-20
Williams is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Shawn Miller · WRout · 2026-10-01
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Darrion Bowers · RBQues. · 2026-09-20
Bowers is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against New Mexico State on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NDSUNorth Dakota State
UNMNew Mexico
vs
Offense
86.9
#30 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.2
#8 of 138
73.8
#87 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.9
#41 of 138
79.1
#14 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.9
#123 of 138
72.4
#49 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.3
#55 of 138
71.9
#35 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.8
#29 of 138
Defense
77.3
#32 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.9
#48 of 138
77.4
#42 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#60 of 138
79.5
#3 of 138
DB
Secondary
78.8
#6 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
North Dakota State
opponent
New Mexico
Hhome+20.0
UTEPUTEP#170+54.0Hhome
Aaway-6.0
UNLVUNLV#83+9.2Hhome
Hhome+28.0
WYOWyoming#126+14.0Aaway
Aaway+6.0
AFAir Force#74+15.1Hhome
Aaway+7.9
HAWHawai'i#135+11.9Aaway
Aaway+10.4
SJSUSan José State#123+14.4Aaway
Hhome+14.8
NEVNevada#109+13.4Aaway