AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Mountain West

New Mexico

Lobos0-03rd in Mountain West
University Stadium (NM) · Albuquerque, NM · 39,224
Rank
86
Rating
44.7
TeamSolid roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: receiver, 117th
DefenseStrong front seven

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
95%
Sep 535-13p
2
vsMercyhurst
94%
Sep 1239-18p
3
3%
Sep 1913-39p
4
at#130New Mexico StateRio Grande Rivalry
75%
Sep 2632-23p
5
vs#133UTEP
86%
Oct 334-20p
7
at#90Hawai'i
39%
Oct 1726-29p
8
51%
Oct 2428-28p
9
69%
Oct 3131-25p
10
at#120Nevada
64%
Nov 729-24p
11
vs#70UNLV
39%
Nov 1528-32p
12
at#119Wyoming
62%
Nov 2228-24p
13
58%
Nov 2832-29p

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#4971
Talent
#4371
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB33rd
RB81st
WR117th
TE53rd
DL43rd
LB27th
DB74th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named6 ratedavg 53.92025 ratings
X49.6
T. Omeire
WR · SR319th
LT
C. Millward
OL · SR
LG
J. Tasi
OL · SO
C
K. Robnett
OL · SR
RG
M. Aliane
OL · SR
RT
T. Lawrence
OL · SR
TE58.0
C. Keith
TE · JR70th
SL42.5
S. Miller
WR · SR541st
Z43.8
Z. Smith
WR · SO499th
QB72.4
J. Layne
QB · SR33rd
RB56.9
K. Sibley
RB · JR143rd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Jack LayneSR
72.4
33rd QB
RB
Kiefer SibleyJR
56.9
143rd RB
WR
Troy OmeireSR
49.6
319th WR
WR
Zhaiel SmithSO
43.8
499th WR
TE
Cade KeithJR
58.0
70th TE
Defense
LB
Jaxton EckSR
83.1
33rd LB
LB
Mercury SwaimSR
77.8
84th LB
S
Austin BrawleySR
78.7
104th DB
S
Drew SpeechSR
63.2
403rd DB
CB
Frankie Edwards IIIJR
60.4
472nd DB

Injury report

2 out · 2 starters
out
J. OlsenTE
08-11
out
J. LayneQB
08-27
questionable
A. WilliamsWR
08-11
questionable
Nick WheelerLB
08-25
probable
Austin BrawleySstarter
08-25
probable
Jaxton EckLBstarter
08-25

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%2% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W8
0% lose1% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
51% to win
W7
at#90Hawai'i
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
40% to win
W11
vs#70UNLV
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
40% to win
W9
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
67% to win
W12
at#119Wyoming
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
61% to win
W13
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W10
at#120Nevada
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
62% to win
W4
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
73% to win