Passing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #101
- UNM defense
- #13
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
-0.06
#13
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UNLV 28.0%72.0% UNM
- Projected margin
- UNM by 9.2
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- UNLV 9 to UNM 28
- Win probability
- UNM 72.0%
Current team profiles
UNLVNew MexicoWhen UNLV has the ball
Rushing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #88
- UNM defense
- #18
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV offense
- #126
- UNM defense
- #1
Success rates
37%
#126
31%
#1
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#104
-0.18
#2
EPA / play
1.26
#49
1.46
#136
Explosiveness
16%
#88
26%
#1
Havoc
When New Mexico has the ball
Passing
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #38
- UNM offense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.11
#101
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #68
- UNM offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNLV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNLV defense
- #50
- UNM offense
- #73
Success rates
38%
#50
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#50
0.19
#52
EPA / play
1.24
#80
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
17%
#49
12%
#24
Havoc
Current key players
UNLVQBJackson Arnold
1068 yds · 8 TD · 0 INT
78.978/729
DBDenver Harris
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.6
- Coverage
- 79.9
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 158
- Passer rating allowed
- 104.5
- Missed tackles
- 4
78.094/2969
TEJae Beasley II
2 rec · 31 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 75.7
- Run blocking
- 78.5
- Penalties
- 1
75.544/1017
DBAvery Helm
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.3
- Coverage
- 71.5
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 35
- Passer rating allowed
- 87.5
- Missed tackles
- 0
72.1319/2969
WRTaz Reddicks
14 rec · 272 yds · 2 TD
71.8200/2069
RBKamran Williams
15 yds · 0 TD · 5.0 YPC
71.0287/1044
Availability reports · 2
- Taeshaun Lyons · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Lyons is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
- DeAngelo Irvin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Irvin Jr. is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Falcons on Sunday, October 17th.
New MexicoQBJames Laubstein
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
91.29/729
CBJoshua Barnes
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 93.4
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.64/2969
RBKiefer Sibley
205 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.082/1044
LBMercury Swaim
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.0
- Coverage
- 66.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.1136/1796
LBJaxton Eck
25 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1138/1796
CBJahmir Torres
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.4
- Coverage
- 77.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 22
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.8133/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Massiah Mingo · WRout · 2026-09-26
Mingo is nursing with a foot injury, and he is not projected to face against the Aggies on Saturday.
- Tripp Walsh · TEout · 2026-10-01
Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Troy Omeire · WRout · 2026-10-02
Omeire is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Joey Olsen · TEout · 2026-08-11
Olsen is battling with a knee ACL injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jack Layne · QBout · 2026-08-27
Layne is laid up with an elbow injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Abraham Williams · WRout · 2026-09-20
Williams is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Shawn Miller · WRout · 2026-10-01
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Darrion Bowers · RBQues. · 2026-09-20
Bowers is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against New Mexico State on Saturday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UNLVUNLV
UNMNew Mexico
vs
Offense
78.9
#61 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.2
#8 of 138
70.9
#112 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.9
#41 of 138
68.3
#101 of 138
WR
Receivers
66.9
#123 of 138
75.5
#35 of 138
TE
Tight ends
71.3
#55 of 138
61.0
#128 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.8
#29 of 138
Defense
70.2
#105 of 138
DL
Defensive line
75.9
#48 of 138
64.2
#135 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.8
#60 of 138
70.0
#98 of 138
DB
Secondary
78.8
#6 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
UNLV
opponent
New Mexico
Aaway+3.3
AFAir Force#74+15.1Hhome
Aaway+7.9
SJSUSan José State#123+14.4Aaway
Aaway+15.0
HAWHawai'i#135+11.9Aaway
Hhome+12.8
WYOWyoming#126+14.0Aaway
Hhome+12.3
NEVNevada#109+13.4Aaway
Hhome+6.0
NDSUNorth Dakota State#61+6.7Hhome