Passing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNM offense
- #101
- NMSU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Rio Grande Rivalry
Forecast win probability
UNM 84.9%15.1% NMSU
- Projected margin
- UNM by 14.8
- Projected total
- 49
- 80% outcome range
- UNM 34 to NMSU 4
- Win probability
- UNM 84.9%
FinalUNM 42 · NMSU 18model had -14.8, off by 9.2
Current team profiles
New MexicoNew Mexico StateWhen New Mexico has the ball
Rushing
UNM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNM offense
- #12
- NMSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNM offense
- #73
- NMSU defense
- #67
Success rates
43%
#73
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.19
#52
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.26
#52
1.16
#36
Explosiveness
12%
#24
14%
#97
Havoc
When New Mexico State has the ball
Passing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNM defense
- #13
- NMSU offense
- #108
EPA comparison
-0.06
#13
0.09
#108
Pass EPA
Rushing
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNM defense
- #18
- NMSU offense
- #88
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.06
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
UNM defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UNM defense
- #1
- NMSU offense
- #99
Success rates
31%
#1
41%
#99
Success rate
More metrics
-0.18
#2
0.02
#115
EPA / play
1.46
#136
1.38
#12
Explosiveness
26%
#1
17%
#119
Havoc
Current key players
New MexicoQBJames Laubstein
0 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
91.29/729
CBJoshua Barnes
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 93.4
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
91.64/2969
RBKiefer Sibley
205 yds · 2 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.082/1044
LBMercury Swaim
25 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.0
- Coverage
- 66.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.1136/1796
LBJaxton Eck
25 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 76.1
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 17
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.1138/1796
CBJahmir Torres
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.4
- Coverage
- 77.2
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 22
- Passer rating allowed
- 2.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.8133/2969
Availability reports · 8
- Massiah Mingo · WRout · 2026-09-26
Mingo is nursing with a foot injury, and he is not projected to face against the Aggies on Saturday.
- Tripp Walsh · TEout · 2026-10-01
Walsh is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Troy Omeire · WRout · 2026-10-02
Omeire is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Joey Olsen · TEout · 2026-08-11
Olsen is battling with a knee ACL injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jack Layne · QBout · 2026-08-27
Layne is laid up with an elbow injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Abraham Williams · WRout · 2026-09-20
Williams is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Shawn Miller · WRout · 2026-10-01
Miller is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for recovery.
- Darrion Bowers · RBQues. · 2026-09-20
Bowers is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against New Mexico State on Saturday.
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UNMNew Mexico
NMSUNew Mexico State
vs
Offense
91.2
#8 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.9
#13 of 138
78.9
#41 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.6
#50 of 138
66.9
#123 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.3
#55 of 138
71.3
#55 of 138
TE
Tight ends
75.9
#34 of 138
72.8
#29 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.9
#88 of 138
Defense
75.9
#48 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.3
#61 of 138
74.8
#60 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.9
#98 of 138
78.8
#6 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#18 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
New Mexico
opponent
New Mexico State
Hhome+63.0
MERCMercyhurst#239+37.0Hhome
Aaway+11.9
HAWHawai'i#135-10.0Aaway