CFB
Model
All rankings
Conference USA

New Mexico State

Aggies2-46th in Conference USA
Aggie Memorial Stadium · Las Cruces, NM · 28,853
TeamShort on both sides · outplaying the roster
OffenseBoom-or-bust running attack · poorweak point: avoiding disruption, 119th
DefenseBuilt to defend the pass · averageweak point: generating pressure, 97th

The season

Best win
W 34-13 vs #122 Western Kentucky
Wk 5 · Oct 1 · model had 57%
Worst loss
L 19-29 @ #135 Hawai'i
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 40%

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Aug 29
    L 17–34
    Win chance 1%Model margin -31.9Game details
  2. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsMercyhurst
    W 51–14
    Win chance 93%Model margin +19.7Game details
  3. Week 2 · Sep 12
    L 19–29
    Win chance 40%Model margin -3.4Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    L 18–42
    Win chance 14%Model margin -14.8Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 1
    W 34–13
    Win chance 57%Model margin +2.3Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 7
    Win chance 39%Model margin -3.7Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 22
    Win chance 64%Model margin +4.8Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 29
    Win chance 39%Model margin -4.0Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    Win chance 30%Model margin -7.2Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    Win chance 49%Model margin -0.5Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    Win chance 53%Model margin +0.9Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    Win chance 50%Model margin +0.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
46
#81 of 138
Defense efficiency
46
#72 of 138
Efficiency
#1150.02
EPA / play
#600.05
#1080.09
Pass
#410.07
#880.06
Rush
#840.07
#9941%
Success
#6740%
Big plays & havoc
#121.38
Explosive
#361.16
#11917%
Havoc
#9714%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB13th
RB50th
WR55th
TE34th
OL88th
DL61st
LB98th
DB18th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Adam DamanteJR
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.9
13th QB
RB
Jalen BrownJR
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2
105th RB
WR
Terrione GravesJR
2 rec · 98 yds · 1 TD
74.9
126th WR
WR
Jaylen StokesFR
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
71.7
205th WR
TE
Josiah ThomasSO
14 rec · 192 yds · 0 TD
75.9
42nd TE
Defense
LB
Drake WilliamsFR
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
79.9
84th LB
LB
Tory GethersSR
31 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
66.7
519th LB
CB
Twan WilsonSO
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
83.9
31st DB
S
Nick SessionSR
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
79.7
67th DB
CB
De'Marcus PetersSR
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
77.4
112th DB

Injury report

3 listed
Ques.
Ilya UvaydovK

Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.

64.010-08
Ques.
Ray LottenTE

Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2

—10-08
Ques.
Roscoe BurtonRB

Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2

—10-08

Past seasons

Year by year
-2.8 points since 2022
203345587047.5202252.8202339.2202444.72025
2022 47.52023 52.82024 39.22025 44.7

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#156
Rating
44.7
Listed games · 12
WWLLWLLLLLWL
259 pts scored331 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs BryantW 19–3
  2. W2 vs TulsaW 21–14
  3. W3 at Louisiana TechL 14–49
  4. W5 at New MexicoL 20–38
  5. W6 vs Sam HoustonW 37–10
  6. W8 at LibertyL 27–30
  7. W9 vs Missouri StateL 17–24
  8. W10 at Western KentuckyL 16–35
  9. W11 vs Kennesaw StateL 21–24
  10. W12 at TennesseeL 9–42
  11. W13 at UTEPW 34–31
  12. W14 vs Middle TennesseeL 24–31

2024

3-9
D-I rank
#189
Rating
39.2
Listed games · 12
WLLLLLWLLLWL
259 pts scored435 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Southeast Missouri StateW 23–16
  2. W2 vs LibertyL 24–30
  3. W3 at Fresno StateL 0–48
  4. W4 at Sam HoustonL 11–31
  5. W5 vs New MexicoL 40–50
  6. W7 at Jacksonville StateL 13–54
  7. W8 vs Louisiana TechW 33–30
  8. W10 vs Florida InternationalL 13–34
  9. W11 vs Western KentuckyL 28–41
  10. W12 at Texas A&ML 3–38
  11. W13 at Middle TennesseeW 36–21
  12. W14 vs UTEPL 35–42

2023

10-4
D-I rank
#105
Rating
52.8
Listed games · 14
LWLWLWWWWWWWWL
402 pts scored305 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs MassachusettsL 30–41
  2. W1 vs Western IllinoisW 58–21
  3. W2 at LibertyL 17–33
  4. W3 at New MexicoW 27–17
  5. W4 at Hawai'iL 17–20
  6. W6 vs Florida InternationalW 34–17
  7. W7 vs Sam HoustonW 27–13
  8. W8 at UTEPW 28–7
  9. W9 at Louisiana TechW 27–24
  10. W10 vs Middle TennesseeW 13–7
  11. W11 at Western KentuckyW 38–29
  12. W12 at AuburnW 31–10
  13. W13 vs Jacksonville StateW 20–17
  14. W14 at LibertyL 35–49

2022

6-6
D-I rank
#141
Rating
47.5
Listed games · 12
LLLLWLWWWLWW
307 pts scored292 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs NevadaL 12–23
  2. W1 at MinnesotaL 0–38
  3. W2 at UTEPL 13–20
  4. W3 at WisconsinL 7–66
  5. W4 vs Hawai'iW 45–26
  6. W5 vs Florida InternationalL 7–21
  7. W7 vs New MexicoW 21–9
  8. W9 at MassachusettsW 23–13
  9. W11 vs LamarW 51–14
  10. W12 at MissouriL 14–45
  11. W13 at LibertyW 49–14
  12. W14 vs ValparaisoW 65–3