CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 3:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
DEL 47.9%52.1% NMSU
Projected margin
NMSU by 0.9
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
DEL 18 to NMSU 20
Win probability
NMSU 52.1%

Current team profiles

Delaware
New Mexico State

When Delaware has the ball

Passing

NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL offense
#101
NMSU defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL offense
#110
NMSU defense
#84
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
0.07
#84
Rush EPA

Drive success

NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL offense
#124
NMSU defense
#67
Success rates
38%
#124
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#123
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.26
#48
1.16
#36
Explosiveness
21%
#136
14%
#97
Havoc

When New Mexico State has the ball

Passing

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL defense
#89
NMSU offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL defense
#68
NMSU offense
#88
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.06
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL defense
#67
NMSU offense
#99
Success rates
40%
#67
41%
#99
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.02
#115
EPA / play
1.28
#97
1.38
#12
Explosiveness
18%
#36
17%
#119
Havoc

Current key players

Delaware
QBNick Minicucci
838 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
66.4200/729
LBJalen Bell
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
76.7
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.971/1796
WRSean Wilson
21 rec · 304 yds · 3 TD
76.4104/2069
RBKaderris Roberts
86 yds · 1 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.8155/1044
SNoah Jefferson
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
69.9
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
1
73.0277/2969
LBBlake Matthews
29 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
61.8
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
54
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
71.4311/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Nick Minicucci · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Minicucci is hampered by a leg injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against Liberty on Friday, October 2nd.

  • Greg Spiller · RBout · 2026-09-13

    Spiller is managing with an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Brandon Rehmann · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Rehmann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

  • Ty Salazer · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Salazer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

New Mexico State
QBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.2
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.8
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
125
Passer rating allowed
51.3
Missed tackles
7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.9
Coverage
77.0
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
144
Passer rating allowed
60.0
Missed tackles
1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.

  • Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2

  • Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2

Position units

Position-unit comparison

DEL
NMSU
vs
Offense
66.4
#115 of 138
QB
90.9
#13 of 138
72.7
#102 of 138
RB
77.6
#50 of 138
72.1
#58 of 138
WR
72.3
#55 of 138
68.8
#72 of 138
TE
75.9
#34 of 138
64.3
#101 of 138
OL
65.9
#88 of 138
Defense
67.8
#125 of 138
DL
74.3
#61 of 138
74.4
#66 of 138
LB
70.9
#98 of 138
69.8
#103 of 138
DB
76.8
#18 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Delaware
opponent
New Mexico State
A-2.1
WKU#122
+21.0H
H-0.1
FIU#99
-19.0A
H-16.0
LIB#77
-7.2H
H+6.6
MOST#141
-0.5A
H-2.2
JXST#103
-4.0H
A+1.8
MTSU#150
+0.1A