CFB
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Conference USA

Middle Tennessee

Blue Raiders2-310th in Conference USA
Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium · Murfreesboro, TN · 30,788
TeamOvermatched
OffenseWeak attackweak point: staying on schedule, 118th
DefenseBend-don't-break · poor · built to defend the passweak point: generating pressure, 138th

The season

Best win
W 27-20 vs #109 Nevada
Wk 3 · Sep 19 · won as a 36% underdog
Worst loss
L 26-28 @ #124 Marshall
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 42%

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsMurray State
    W 38–14
    Win chance 97%Model margin +25.1Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atMarshall
    L 26–28
    Win chance 42%Model margin -2.8Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsNevada
    W 27–20
    Win chance 36%Model margin -5.0Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atJacksonville State
    L 13–23
    Win chance 32%Model margin -6.2Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    atKansas
    L 0–55
    Win chance 15%Model margin -13.9Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 13
    vsDelaware
    Win chance 45%Model margin -1.8Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 20
    atFlorida International
    Win chance 23%Model margin -9.9Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 28
    vsKennesaw State
    Win chance 38%Model margin -4.0Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsWestern Kentucky
    Win chance 46%Model margin -1.2Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atLiberty
    Win chance 13%Model margin -15.3Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atSam Houston
    Win chance 56%Model margin +2.0Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsNew Mexico State
    Win chance 50%Model margin -0.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
28
#110 of 138
Defense efficiency
5
#135 of 138
Efficiency
#900.10
EPA / play
#1240.21
#880.14
Pass
#840.19
#850.07
Rush
#1320.24
#11839%
Success
#13551%
Big plays & havoc
#911.20
Explosive
#271.12
#6714%
Havoc
#13810%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB125th
RB136th
WR74th
TE131st
OL109th
DL101st
LB136th
DB76th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Roman GaglianoSO
913 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
63.0
241st QB
RB
Antonio MartinSR
385 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
66.5
413th RB
WR
Cam'ron LacyJR
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
82.6
35th WR
WR
Ziyon ButlerFR
3 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD
67.8
351st WR
TE
Koraun PerdueFR
4 rec · 43 yds · 1 TD
58.2
345th TE
Defense
LB
Reggie JohnsonSR
11 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
67.0
503rd LB
LB
La'Garrius SimsJR
2 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
62.1
759th LB
CB
Ricky LeeJR
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
76.7
138th DB
CB
Jackson LoweSO
31 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
73.7
247th DB
CB
Jason HardySR
11 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
69.7
464th DB

Past seasons

Year by year
-4.9 points since 2022
304050607050.4202250.5202340.7202445.52025
2022 50.42023 50.52024 40.72025 45.5

2025

3-9
D-I rank
#147
Rating
45.5
Listed games · 12
LLWLLLLLLLWW
269 pts scored371 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Austin PeayL 14–34
  2. W2 at WisconsinL 10–42
  3. W3 at NevadaW 14–13
  4. W4 vs MarshallL 28–42
  5. W5 at Kennesaw StateL 16–24
  6. W7 vs Missouri StateL 20–22
  7. W9 at DelawareL 28–31
  8. W10 vs Jacksonville StateL 21–24
  9. W11 vs Florida InternationalL 30–56
  10. W12 at Western KentuckyL 26–42
  11. W13 vs Sam HoustonW 31–17
  12. W14 at New Mexico StateW 31–24

2024

3-9
D-I rank
#180
Rating
40.7
Listed games · 12
WLLLLLWLWLLL
217 pts scored411 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Tennessee TechW 32–25
  2. W2 at Ole MissL 3–52
  3. W3 vs Western KentuckyL 21–49
  4. W4 vs DukeL 17–45
  5. W5 at MemphisL 7–24
  6. W7 at Louisiana TechL 21–48
  7. W8 vs Kennesaw StateW 14–5
  8. W9 at Jacksonville StateL 20–42
  9. W10 at UTEPW 20–13
  10. W11 vs LibertyL 17–37
  11. W13 vs New Mexico StateL 21–36
  12. W14 vs Florida InternationalL 24–35

2023

4-8
D-I rank
#118
Rating
50.5
Listed games · 12
LLWLLLWLLWWL
291 pts scored337 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at AlabamaL 7–56
  2. W2 at MissouriL 19–23
  3. W3 vs Murray StateW 35–14
  4. W4 vs Colorado StateL 23–31
  5. W5 at Western KentuckyL 10–31
  6. W6 vs Jacksonville StateL 30–45
  7. W7 vs Louisiana TechW 31–23
  8. W8 at LibertyL 35–42
  9. W10 at New Mexico StateL 7–13
  10. W11 vs Florida InternationalW 40–6
  11. W12 vs UTEPW 34–30
  12. W13 at Sam HoustonL 20–23

2022

7-5
D-I rank
#124
Rating
50.4
Listed games · 12
LWWWLLLWLWWW
350 pts scored337 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at James MadisonL 7–44
  2. W2 at Colorado StateW 34–19
  3. W3 vs Tennessee StateW 49–6
  4. W4 at MiamiW 45–31
  5. W5 vs UTSAL 30–45
  6. W6 at UABL 14–41
  7. W7 vs Western KentuckyL 17–35
  8. W9 at UTEPW 24–13
  9. W10 at Louisiana TechL 24–40
  10. W11 vs CharlotteW 24–14
  11. W12 vs Florida AtlanticW 49–21
  12. W13 at Florida InternationalW 33–28