Passing
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MTSU offense
- #88
- FIU defense
- #14
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
-0.05
#14
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Tue Oct 20 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MTSU 26.1%73.9% FIU
- Projected margin
- FIU by 9.9
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- MTSU 9 to FIU 28
- Win probability
- FIU 73.9%
Current team profiles
Middle TennesseeFlorida InternationalWhen Middle Tennessee has the ball
Rushing
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MTSU offense
- #85
- FIU defense
- #29
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MTSU offense
- #118
- FIU defense
- #11
Success rates
39%
#118
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#90
-0.07
#14
EPA / play
1.20
#91
1.14
#28
Explosiveness
14%
#67
18%
#31
Havoc
When Florida International has the ball
Passing
MTSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MTSU defense
- #84
- FIU offense
- #107
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.10
#107
Pass EPA
Rushing
FIU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MTSU defense
- #132
- FIU offense
- #129
EPA comparison
0.24
#132
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA
Drive success
FIU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MTSU defense
- #135
- FIU offense
- #115
Success rates
51%
#135
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#124
-0.01
#124
EPA / play
1.12
#27
1.13
#116
Explosiveness
10%
#138
16%
#98
Havoc
Current key players
Middle TennesseeQBRoman Gagliano
913 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
63.0241/729
WRCam'ron Lacy
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
82.635/2069
CBRicky Lee
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.0
- Coverage
- 79.0
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 106.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.7138/2969
CBJackson Lowe
31 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.9
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 18
- Yards allowed
- 203
- Passer rating allowed
- 127.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
73.7247/2969
CBJason Hardy
11 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 84
- Passer rating allowed
- 35.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
69.7464/2969
WRZiyon Butler
3 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD
67.8351/2069
Florida InternationalQBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.7
- Coverage
- 76.9
- Targets allowed
- 20
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 66.9
- Missed tackles
- 2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 83.8
- Coverage
- 73.1
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 33.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob
- Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo
- Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MTSUMiddle Tennessee
FIUFlorida International
vs
Offense
63.0
#125 of 138
QB
Quarterback
72.7
#92 of 138
64.2
#136 of 138
RB
Running backs
74.8
#73 of 138
70.9
#74 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.2
#72 of 138
58.2
#131 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.0
#120 of 138
63.6
#109 of 138
OL
Offensive line
62.6
#118 of 138
Defense
70.4
#101 of 138
DL
Defensive line
76.1
#45 of 138
63.6
#136 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.9
#52 of 138
71.4
#76 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.6
#63 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Middle Tennessee
opponent
Florida International
Hhome-0.1
NMSUNew Mexico State#120+19.0Hhome
Aaway+2.0
SHSUSam Houston#125+14.5Hhome
Aaway-15.3
LIBLiberty#77-8.1Aaway
Aaway-10.0
JXSTJacksonville State#103-4.8Aaway
Hhome-1.8
DELDelaware#119+0.1Aaway
Hhome-4.0
KENNKennesaw State#113-2.1Aaway