CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Tue Oct 13 · 7:00 PM ET
Away
Delaware
2-3
27p
Home
Middle Tennessee
2-3
24p
Forecast win probability
DEL 54.7%45.3% MTSU
Projected margin
DEL by 1.8
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
DEL 20 to MTSU 17
Win probability
DEL 54.7%

Current team profiles

Delaware
Middle Tennessee

When Delaware has the ball

Passing

MTSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL offense
#101
MTSU defense
#84
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.19
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

DEL offense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL offense
#110
MTSU defense
#132
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
0.24
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

DEL offense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL offense
#124
MTSU defense
#135
Success rates
38%
#124
51%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#123
0.21
#124
EPA / play
1.26
#48
1.12
#27
Explosiveness
21%
#136
10%
#138
Havoc

When Middle Tennessee has the ball

Passing

MTSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL defense
#89
MTSU offense
#88
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.14
#88
Pass EPA

Rushing

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL defense
#68
MTSU offense
#85
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.07
#85
Rush EPA

Drive success

DEL defense
Higher-ranked profile
DEL defense
#67
MTSU offense
#118
Success rates
40%
#67
39%
#118
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#84
0.10
#90
EPA / play
1.28
#97
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
18%
#36
14%
#67
Havoc

Current key players

Delaware
QBNick Minicucci
838 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
66.4200/729
LBJalen Bell
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
76.7
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.971/1796
WRSean Wilson
21 rec · 304 yds · 3 TD
76.4104/2069
RBKaderris Roberts
86 yds · 1 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.8155/1044
SNoah Jefferson
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
69.9
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
1
73.0277/2969
LBBlake Matthews
29 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
61.8
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
54
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
71.4311/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Nick Minicucci · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Minicucci is hampered by a leg injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against Liberty on Friday, October 2nd.

  • Greg Spiller · RBout · 2026-09-13

    Spiller is managing with an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Brandon Rehmann · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Rehmann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

  • Ty Salazer · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Salazer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

Middle Tennessee
QBRoman Gagliano
913 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
63.0241/729
WRCam'ron Lacy
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
82.635/2069
CBRicky Lee
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
79.0
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
40
Passer rating allowed
106.3
Missed tackles
0
76.7138/2969
CBJackson Lowe
31 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.9
Coverage
68.3
Targets allowed
24
Rec allowed
18
Yards allowed
203
Passer rating allowed
127.6
Missed tackles
6
73.7247/2969
CBJason Hardy
11 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.3
Coverage
73.0
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
84
Passer rating allowed
35.4
Missed tackles
2
69.7464/2969
WRZiyon Butler
3 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD
67.8351/2069
Position units

Position-unit comparison

DEL
MTSU
vs
Offense
66.4
#115 of 138
QB
63.0
#125 of 138
72.7
#102 of 138
RB
64.2
#136 of 138
72.1
#58 of 138
WR
70.9
#74 of 138
68.8
#72 of 138
TE
58.2
#131 of 138
64.3
#101 of 138
OL
63.6
#109 of 138
Defense
67.8
#125 of 138
DL
70.4
#101 of 138
74.4
#66 of 138
LB
63.6
#136 of 138
69.8
#103 of 138
DB
71.4
#76 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Delaware
opponent
Middle Tennessee
H-0.1
FIU#99
-9.9A
H-2.2
JXST#103
-10.0A
A-2.1
WKU#122
-1.2H
A-0.9
NMSU#120
-0.1H
A-4.8
KENN#113
-4.0H
H-16.0
LIB#77
-15.3A