Passing
MTSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #114
- MTSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WKU 53.3%46.7% MTSU
- Projected margin
- WKU by 1.2
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- WKU 20 to MTSU 17
- Win probability
- WKU 53.3%
Current team profiles
Western KentuckyMiddle TennesseeWhen Western Kentucky has the ball
Rushing
WKU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #116
- MTSU defense
- #132
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.24
#132
Rush EPA
Drive success
WKU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #119
- MTSU defense
- #135
Success rates
38%
#119
51%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#113
0.21
#124
EPA / play
1.26
#54
1.12
#27
Explosiveness
15%
#84
10%
#138
Havoc
When Middle Tennessee has the ball
Passing
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #41
- MTSU offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.14
#88
Pass EPA
Rushing
MTSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #137
- MTSU offense
- #85
EPA comparison
0.30
#137
0.07
#85
Rush EPA
Drive success
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #82
- MTSU offense
- #118
Success rates
42%
#82
39%
#118
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#118
0.10
#90
EPA / play
1.43
#133
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
14%
#106
14%
#67
Havoc
Current key players
Western KentuckyQBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 119.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
Middle TennesseeQBRoman Gagliano
913 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
63.0241/729
WRCam'ron Lacy
31 rec · 335 yds · 4 TD
82.635/2069
CBRicky Lee
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 56.0
- Coverage
- 79.0
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 40
- Passer rating allowed
- 106.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
76.7138/2969
CBJackson Lowe
31 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.9
- Coverage
- 68.3
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 18
- Yards allowed
- 203
- Passer rating allowed
- 127.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
73.7247/2969
CBJason Hardy
11 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 57.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 84
- Passer rating allowed
- 35.4
- Missed tackles
- 2
69.7464/2969
WRZiyon Butler
3 rec · 59 yds · 0 TD
67.8351/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WKUWestern Kentucky
MTSUMiddle Tennessee
vs
Offense
63.6
#123 of 138
QB
Quarterback
63.0
#125 of 138
68.8
#125 of 138
RB
Running backs
64.2
#136 of 138
69.8
#82 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.9
#74 of 138
68.9
#70 of 138
TE
Tight ends
58.2
#131 of 138
63.7
#108 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.6
#109 of 138
Defense
69.4
#114 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.4
#101 of 138
70.4
#101 of 138
LB
Linebackers
63.6
#136 of 138
69.1
#110 of 138
DB
Secondary
71.4
#76 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Western Kentucky
opponent
Middle Tennessee
Aaway-35.0
NEVNevada#109+7.0Hhome
Aaway-21.0
NMSUNew Mexico State#120-0.1Hhome
Hhome-2.8
JXSTJacksonville State#103-10.0Aaway
Aaway+5.9
SHSUSam Houston#125+2.0Aaway
Hhome+2.1
DELDelaware#119-1.8Hhome
Aaway-11.4
LIBLiberty#77-15.3Aaway
Hhome-0.1
KENNKennesaw State#113-4.0Hhome