AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Conference USA

Western Kentucky

Hilltoppers0-01st in Conference USA
Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY · 22,113
Rank —
75
Rating
47.8
TeamAverage roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: offensive line, 118th
DefenseExperienced secondaryweak point: linebacker, 137th

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
at#120Nevada
50%
Sep 527-27p›
2
at#3Georgia
1%
Sep 1212-43p›
3
at#7Indiana
4%
Sep 1916-40p›
4
vsMercyhurst
97%
Sep 2641-16p›
5
at#130New Mexico State
84%
Oct 234-20p›
6
vs#125Missouri State
90%
Oct 836-19p›
7
at#137Sam Houston
89%
Oct 1536-20p›
9
vs#102Delaware
80%
Oct 2734-23p›
10
at#124Middle Tennessee
77%
Nov 732-22p›
11
vs#89Jacksonville State
67%
Nov 1431-25p›
12
at#106Liberty
57%
Nov 2127-25p›
13
vs#105Kennesaw State
82%
Nov 2833-20p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#6068
Talent
#6767
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB58th
RB104th
WR88th
TE52nd
OL118th
DL101st
LB137th
DB36th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named8 ratedavg 45.32025 ratings
X57.8
K. Hutchinson
WR · SR136th
LT23.2
A. Johnson
OL · SR256th
LG10.1
R. Larson
OL · SR293rd
C—
K. Upchurch
OL · SR
RG—
N. Omezi
OL · SR
RT—
Z. Clayton
OL · JR
TE58.1
G. Reimer
TE · SO68th
SL45.6
C. Flowers
WR · SO448th
Z48.0
Z. Taylor
WR · JR374th
QB62.9
R. Tisdale
QB · SO61st
RB56.8
A. Allen
RB · SR144th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Rodney Tisdale Jr.SO
62.9
61st QB
RB
Ajay AllenSR
56.8
144th RB
WR
K.D. HutchinsonSR
57.8
136th WR
WR
Zion TaylorJR
48.0
374th WR
TE
Griffin ReimerSO
58.1
68th TE
Defense
LB
Joshua MensahSR
58.1
332nd LB
LB
Jordan DonaldSO
41.5
648th LB
DB
Jaylen LewisSR
87.0
28th DB
DB
Dave HerardSR
82.6
66th DB
DB
Xavion GriffinSO
71.8
196th DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

1%–14% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W12
at#106Liberty
2% lose7% win
±1.6
likely move
in odds
56% to win
W11
vs#89Jacksonville State
2% lose7% win
±1.5
likely move
in odds
66% to win
W1
at#120Nevada
2% lose8% win
±1.4
likely move
in odds
49% to win
W9
vs#102Delaware
1% lose6% win
±1.1
likely move
in odds
77% to win
W10
at#124Middle Tennessee
2% lose6% win
±1.0
likely move
in odds
75% to win
W5
at#130New Mexico State
1% lose6% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
82% to win
W13
vs#105Kennesaw State
2% lose6% win
±0.8
likely move
in odds
80% to win
W7
at#137Sam Houston
1% lose6% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
87% to win