Conference USA

Western Kentucky

Hilltoppers2-47th in Conference USA

Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium · Bowling Green, KY · 22,113

TeamOvermatched · undone by bad losses

OffensePoor attackweak point: staying on schedule, 119th

DefenseBuilt to defend the pass · poorweak point: run defense, 137th

The season

Best win

W 34-13 vs #141 Missouri State

Wk 6 · Oct 8 · won as a 50% underdog

Worst loss

L 14-49 @ #109 Nevada

Wk 1 · Sep 5 · lost as a 56% favorite

Schedule

model 4/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Week 1 · Sep 5
atNevada
L 14–49
Win chance 56%Model margin +2.2Game details
Week 2 · Sep 12
atGeorgia
L 20–70
Win chance <1%Model margin -36.3Game details
Week 3 · Sep 19
atIndiana
L 0–38
Win chance <1%Model margin -43.9Game details
Week 4 · Sep 26
vsMercyhurst
W 52–7
Win chance 99%Model margin +29.5Game details
Week 5 · Oct 1
atNew Mexico State
L 13–34
Win chance 43%Model margin -2.3Game details
Week 6 · Oct 8
vsMissouri State
W 34–13
Win chance 50%Model margin -0.1Game details
Week 7 · Oct 14
atSam Houston
Win chance 67%Model margin +5.9Game details
Week 9 · Oct 27
vsDelaware
Win chance 56%Model margin +2.1Game details
Week 10 · Nov 7
atMiddle Tennessee
Win chance 54%Model margin +1.2Game details
Week 11 · Nov 14
vsJacksonville State
Win chance 42%Model margin -2.8Game details
Week 12 · Nov 21
atLiberty
Win chance 20%Model margin -11.4Game details
Week 13 · Nov 28
vsKennesaw State
Win chance 50%Model margin -0.1Game details

Wk	Opponent	Win prob	Result	Model	± Exp	Game page
1	at#109Nevada	56%	L 14-49	+2.2âœ—	-37	›
2	at#6Georgia	0%	L 20-70	-36.3âœ“	-14	›
3	at#5Indiana	0%	L 0-38	-43.9âœ“	+6	›
4	vs#239Mercyhurst	99%	W 52-7	+29.5âœ“	+16	›
5	at#120New Mexico State	43%	L 13-34	-2.3âœ“	-19	›
6	vs#141Missouri State	50%	W 34-13	-0.1âœ—	+21	›
7	at#125Sam Houston	67%	Oct 14	+5.9	—	›
9	vs#119Delaware	56%	Oct 27	+2.1	—	›
10	at#150Middle Tennessee	54%	Nov 7	+1.2	—	›
11	vs#103Jacksonville State	42%	Nov 14	-2.8	—	›
12	at#77Liberty	20%	Nov 21	-11.4	—	›
13	vs#113Kennesaw State	50%	Nov 28	-0.1	—	›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138

Offense efficiency

#104 of 138

Defense efficiency

#106 of 138

Efficiency

#1130.03

EPA / play

#1180.18

#1140.07

Pass

#410.07

#116-0.02

Rush

#1370.30

#11938%

Success

#8242%

Big plays & havoc

#541.26

Explosive

#1331.43

#8415%

Havoc

#10614%

Position groupsby overall player grade

QB123rd

RB125th

WR82nd

TE70th

OL108th

DL114th

LB101st

DB110th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade

Offense

Caleb McMickleJR

3 yds Â· 0 TD Â· 0 INT

63.6

230th QB

Kalib HicksJR

22 yds Â· 0 TD Â· 3.1 YPC

71.3

275th RB

Jonathan Stafford Jr.FR

30 rec Â· 266 yds Â· 0 TD

74.0

148th WR

Quincy BurroughsSR

8 rec Â· 133 yds Â· 1 TD

68.9

307th WR

Aiden MillerJR

â€” rec Â· â€” yds Â· â€” TD

68.9

112th TE

Defense

Joshua MensahSR

2 tkl Â· 0.0 TFL Â· 0.0 sk

77.0

140th LB

Jordan DonaldSO

11 tkl Â· 0.0 TFL Â· 0.0 sk

68.5

431st LB

Braxton MyersJR

7 tkl Â· 1 PD Â· 0 INT

73.2

265th DB

Jaylen LewisSR

40 tkl Â· 1 PD Â· 0 INT

70.1

437th DB

Justin BrownJR

22 tkl Â· 2 PD Â· 1 INT

69.2

500th DB

Injury report

5 listed

Ques.

Nigel JohnsonWR

Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

61.310-09

Ques.

Griffin ReimerTE

Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

59.810-09

Ques.

Sincere BainesRB

Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.

58.010-09

Ques.

Adrion BoydRB

Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

—10-09

Ques.

K.D. HutchinsonWR

Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

77.6202510-09

Past seasons

Year by year

-7.3 points since 2022

2022 57.62023 53.92024 54.22025 50.3

2025

8-4

D-I rank: #111
Rating: 50.3

Listed games · 12

WWLWWWLWWWLL

357 pts scored281 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs Sam HoustonW 41–24
W1 vs North AlabamaW 55–6
W2 at ToledoL 21–45
W4 vs NevadaW 31–16
W5 at Missouri StateW 27–22
W6 at DelawareW 27–24
W8 vs Florida InternationalL 6–25
W9 at Louisiana TechW 28–27
W10 vs New Mexico StateW 35–16
W12 vs Middle TennesseeW 42–26
W13 at LSUL 10–13
W14 at Jacksonville StateL 34–37

2024

8-5

D-I rank: #100
Rating: 54.2

Listed games · 13

LWWWLWWWWLLWL

332 pts scored318 allowed

Season schedule

W1 at AlabamaL 0–63
W2 vs Eastern KentuckyW 31–0
W3 at Middle TennesseeW 49–21
W4 vs ToledoW 26–21
W5 at Boston CollegeL 20–21
W7 vs UTEPW 44–17
W8 at Sam HoustonW 31–14
W10 vs Kennesaw StateW 31–14
W11 at New Mexico StateW 41–28
W12 vs Louisiana TechL 7–12
W13 at LibertyL 21–38
W14 vs Jacksonville StateW 19–17
W15 at Jacksonville StateL 12–52

2023

7-5

D-I rank: #98
Rating: 53.9

Listed games · 12

WWLLWWLLWLWW

358 pts scored338 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs South FloridaW 41–24
W2 vs Houston ChristianW 52–22
W3 at Ohio StateL 10–63
W4 at TroyL 24–27
W5 vs Middle TennesseeW 31–10
W6 at Louisiana TechW 35–28
W8 at Jacksonville StateL 17–20
W9 vs LibertyL 29–42
W10 at UTEPW 21–13
W11 vs New Mexico StateL 29–38
W12 vs Sam HoustonW 28–23
W13 at Florida InternationalW 41–28

2022

8-5

D-I rank: #82
Rating: 57.6

Listed games · 13

WWLWLLWWLWWLW

466 pts scored305 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs Austin PeayW 38–27
W1 at Hawai'iW 49–17
W3 at IndianaL 30–33
W4 vs Florida InternationalW 73–0
W5 vs TroyL 27–34
W6 at UTSAL 28–31
W7 at Middle TennesseeW 35–17
W8 vs UABW 20–17
W9 vs North TexasL 13–40
W10 at CharlotteW 59–7
W11 vs RiceW 45–10
W12 at AuburnL 17–41
W13 at Florida AtlanticW 32–31