CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
KENN 50.1%49.9% WKU
Projected margin
KENN by 0.1
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
KENN 19 to WKU 18
Win probability
KENN 50.1%

Current team profiles

Kennesaw State
Western Kentucky

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#101
WKU defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#51
WKU defense
#137
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.30
#137
Rush EPA

Drive success

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN offense
#53
WKU defense
#82
Success rates
45%
#53
42%
#82
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#87
0.18
#118
EPA / play
1.10
#126
1.43
#133
Explosiveness
14%
#60
14%
#106
Havoc

When Western Kentucky has the ball

Passing

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#107
WKU offense
#114
EPA comparison
0.28
#107
0.07
#114
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#68
WKU offense
#116
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
KENN defense
#98
WKU offense
#119
Success rates
43%
#98
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#102
0.03
#113
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.26
#54
Explosiveness
12%
#125
15%
#84
Havoc

Current key players

Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Western Kentucky
QBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.2
Coverage
71.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.2
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
31
Passer rating allowed
119.6
Missed tackles
6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

KENN
WKU
vs
Offense
79.1
#60 of 138
QB
63.6
#123 of 138
78.9
#40 of 138
RB
68.8
#125 of 138
72.9
#48 of 138
WR
69.8
#82 of 138
52.4
#136 of 138
TE
68.9
#70 of 138
59.3
#135 of 138
OL
63.7
#108 of 138
Defense
72.2
#82 of 138
DL
69.4
#114 of 138
81.1
#16 of 138
LB
70.4
#101 of 138
69.8
#102 of 138
DB
69.1
#110 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Kennesaw State
opponent
Western Kentucky
A+3.4
MOST#141
+21.0H
H-3.4
LIB#77
-11.4A
A+4.0
MTSU#150
+1.2A
A+8.7
SHSU#125
+5.9A
H+4.8
DEL#119
+2.1H
H-1.0
JXST#103
-2.8H