Passing
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #114
- SHSU defense
- #26
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.01
#26
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 7 · Wed Oct 14 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WKU 65.1%34.9% SHSU
- Projected margin
- WKU by 5.9
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- WKU 24 to SHSU 13
- Win probability
- WKU 65.1%
Current team profiles
Western KentuckySam HoustonWhen Western Kentucky has the ball
Rushing
WKU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #116
- SHSU defense
- #134
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.26
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #119
- SHSU defense
- #95
Success rates
38%
#119
43%
#95
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#113
0.13
#98
EPA / play
1.26
#54
1.22
#70
Explosiveness
15%
#84
20%
#18
Havoc
When Sam Houston has the ball
Passing
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #41
- SHSU offense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.12
#98
Pass EPA
Rushing
SHSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #137
- SHSU offense
- #110
EPA comparison
0.30
#137
0.00
#110
Rush EPA
Drive success
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #82
- SHSU offense
- #96
Success rates
42%
#82
41%
#96
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#118
0.05
#107
EPA / play
1.43
#133
1.28
#41
Explosiveness
14%
#106
18%
#122
Havoc
Current key players
Western KentuckyQBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 119.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
Sam HoustonQBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.3
- Coverage
- 85.4
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 71.2
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 26
- Passer rating allowed
- 7.3
- Missed tackles
- 5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08
Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WKUWestern Kentucky
SHSUSam Houston
vs
Offense
63.6
#123 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.6
#17 of 138
68.8
#125 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.4
#71 of 138
69.8
#82 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.0
#80 of 138
68.9
#70 of 138
TE
Tight ends
63.3
#102 of 138
63.7
#108 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.6
#90 of 138
Defense
69.4
#114 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.7
#56 of 138
70.4
#101 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.7
#47 of 138
69.1
#110 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.4
#52 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Western Kentucky
opponent
Sam Houston
Hhome+21.0
MOSTMissouri State#141-7.9Aaway
Aaway-11.4
LIBLiberty#77-32.0Aaway
Aaway-21.0
NMSUNew Mexico State#120-4.8Hhome
Hhome-2.8
JXSTJacksonville State#103-16.7Aaway
Hhome-0.1
KENNKennesaw State#113-8.7Hhome
Aaway+1.2
MTSUMiddle Tennessee#150-2.0Hhome