Passing
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #114
- NEV defense
- #82
EPA comparison
0.07
#114
0.18
#82
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WKU 55.5%44.5% NEV
- Projected margin
- WKU by 2.2
- Projected total
- 50
- 80% outcome range
- WKU 23 to NEV 18
- Win probability
- WKU 55.5%
FinalWKU 14 · NEV 49model had -2.2, off by 37.2
Current team profiles
Western KentuckyNevadaWhen Western Kentucky has the ball
Rushing
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #116
- NEV defense
- #102
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
NEV defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU offense
- #119
- NEV defense
- #60
Success rates
38%
#119
39%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#113
0.12
#93
EPA / play
1.26
#54
1.18
#48
Explosiveness
15%
#84
13%
#122
Havoc
When Nevada has the ball
Passing
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #41
- NEV offense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.02
#122
Pass EPA
Rushing
NEV offense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #137
- NEV offense
- #35
EPA comparison
0.30
#137
0.19
#35
Rush EPA
Drive success
WKU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- WKU defense
- #82
- NEV offense
- #87
Success rates
42%
#82
42%
#87
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#118
0.10
#87
EPA / play
1.43
#133
1.25
#57
Explosiveness
14%
#106
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
Western KentuckyQBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 73.4
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 24
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.7
- Coverage
- 72.7
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 31
- Passer rating allowed
- 119.6
- Missed tackles
- 6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
- K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.
NevadaQBAJ Bianco
116 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
71.3145/729
DBTajean Stallworth
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 49.9
- Coverage
- 52.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 1
90.77/2969
TETrace Estes
1 rec · 37 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Penalties
- 0
89.93/1017
WRDon Henry
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
82.338/2069
LBEJ Smith
56 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 87.3
- Coverage
- 63.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.874/1796
RBHerschel Turner
234 yds · 3 TD · 6.0 YPC
77.1131/1044
Position units
Position-unit comparison
WKUWestern Kentucky
NEVNevada
vs
Offense
63.6
#123 of 138
QB
Quarterback
71.3
#98 of 138
68.8
#125 of 138
RB
Running backs
76.4
#61 of 138
69.8
#82 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.2
#91 of 138
68.9
#70 of 138
TE
Tight ends
89.9
#3 of 138
63.7
#108 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.0
#94 of 138
Defense
69.4
#114 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.7
#126 of 138
70.4
#101 of 138
LB
Linebackers
74.5
#65 of 138
69.1
#110 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.7
#60 of 138