CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JXST 56.9%43.1% WKU
Projected margin
JXST by 2.8
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
JXST 21 to WKU 16
Win probability
JXST 56.9%

Current team profiles

Jacksonville State
Western Kentucky

When Jacksonville State has the ball

Passing

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#33
WKU defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#85
WKU defense
#137
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
0.30
#137
Rush EPA

Drive success

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#38
WKU defense
#82
Success rates
47%
#38
42%
#82
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#54
0.18
#118
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.43
#133
Explosiveness
14%
#56
14%
#106
Havoc

When Western Kentucky has the ball

Passing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#41
WKU offense
#114
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.07
#114
Pass EPA

Rushing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#91
WKU offense
#116
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#87
WKU offense
#119
Success rates
42%
#87
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#62
0.03
#113
EPA / play
1.09
#19
1.26
#54
Explosiveness
16%
#77
15%
#84
Havoc

Current key players

Jacksonville State
QBCaden Creel
1112 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
68.6177/729
WRFranklin Baret Jr.
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
86.421/2069
STy Sims
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
82.441/2969
LBWalker O'Steen
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
80.478/1796
SCaleb Nix
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
82.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
43.5
Missed tackles
3
78.878/2969
LBMac Sanders
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.4
Coverage
77.1
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.5109/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Andrew Paul · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Paul is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Franklin Baret Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Baret Jr has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Rollie Pinto · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Pinto is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Landon Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • AJ Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Justus Savage · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Savage is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Nabi Hoyt · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

Western Kentucky
QBCaleb McMickle
3 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
63.6230/729
LBJoshua Mensah
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.2
Coverage
71.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.0140/1796
WRJonathan Stafford Jr.
30 rec · 266 yds · 0 TD
74.0148/2069
DBBraxton Myers
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.2
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
24
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.2265/2969
RBKalib Hicks
22 yds · 0 TD · 3.1 YPC
71.3275/1044
DBJaylen Lewis
40 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
72.7
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
31
Passer rating allowed
119.6
Missed tackles
6
70.1437/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Nigel Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Johnson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Griffin Reimer · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Reimer is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Sincere Baines · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Baines is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • Adrion Boyd · RBQues. · 2026-10-09

    Boyd is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

  • K.D. Hutchinson · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    Hutchinson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

JXST
WKU
vs
Offense
68.6
#108 of 138
QB
63.6
#123 of 138
73.8
#86 of 138
RB
68.8
#125 of 138
78.1
#17 of 138
WR
69.8
#82 of 138
72.3
#50 of 138
TE
68.9
#70 of 138
67.7
#70 of 138
OL
63.7
#108 of 138
Defense
70.9
#95 of 138
DL
69.4
#114 of 138
78.7
#32 of 138
LB
70.4
#101 of 138
77.3
#13 of 138
DB
69.1
#110 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Jacksonville State
opponent
Western Kentucky
A+4.0
NMSU#120
-21.0A
H+16.7
SHSU#125
+5.9A
H+11.5
MOST#141
+21.0H
H+10.0
MTSU#150
+1.2A
A+1.0
KENN#113
-0.1H
A+2.2
DEL#119
+2.1H