AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Conference USA

Jacksonville State

Gamecocks0-12nd in Conference USA
AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL · 24,000
Rank —
89
Rating
43.6
TeamAverage roster · better than the record
OffenseUnprovenweak point: running back, 119th
DefenseUnproven

The season

1 games played
Worst loss
L 7-33 @ #81 North Dakota State
Wk 1 · Aug 29 · model had 11%

Rank by week

Not enough weekly data

Schedule

model 1/1 straight up
WkOpponentWin probResultModelGame page
1
at#81North Dakota State
11%
L 7-33
-16.7✓
›
1
vsEastern Kentucky
96%
Sep 5
+23.6
›
2
at#101Ohio
48%
Sep 12
-0.6
›
3
vs#117Georgia Southern
73%
Sep 19
+8.4
›
4
vs#124Middle Tennessee
80%
Sep 26
+11.6
›
6
at#105Kennesaw State
62%
Oct 7
+3.9
›
7
vs#109Florida International
70%
Oct 14
+7.2
›
9
at#130New Mexico State
77%
Oct 29
+10.1
›
10
vs#137Sam Houston
91%
Nov 8
+17.8
›
11
at#75Western Kentucky
33%
Nov 14
-6.0
›
12
vs#125Missouri State
84%
Nov 21
+13.4
›
13
at#102Delaware
58%
Nov 28
+2.6
›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#4871
Talent
#7766
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB41st
RB119th
WR39th
OL45th
DL89th
LB33rd
DB41st

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named7 ratedavg 59.22025 ratings
X71.0
D. Johnson
WR · JR48th
LT65.3
J. Orr
OL · SR86th
LG48.2
N. Smith
OL · JR146th
C—
B. Witt
OL · JR
RG—
L. Johnson
OL · SO
RT—
L. Mrachkovskiy
OL · SO
TE—
D. Alpers
TE · SR
SL48.9
F. Baret
WR · SO345th
Z62.1
R. Johnson
WR · SR99th
QB68.9
C. Creel
QB · JR42nd
RB49.7
L. Farrington
RB · FR302nd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Caden CreelJR
68.9
42nd QB
RB
Lucas FarringtonFR
49.7
302nd RB
WR
Deondre JohnsonJR
71.0
48th WR
WR
Ronnel JohnsonSR
62.1
99th WR
Defense
LB
Walker O'SteenSR
73.0
118th LB
LB
Morven JosephSR
72.1
121st LB
S
Rob Billings IVJR
79.4
96th DB
CB
Tre'Quon FegansSR
74.5
158th DB
S
Caleb NixSR
71.9
193rd DB
LB
Mac SandersSO
70.6
136th LB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–5% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W13
at#102Delaware
0% lose3% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W11
at#75Western Kentucky
1% lose3% win
±0.7
likely move
in odds
34% to win
W7
vs#109Florida International
0% lose2% win
±0.6
likely move
in odds
69% to win
W6
at#105Kennesaw State
0% lose2% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
61% to win
W2
at#101Ohio
1% lose3% win
±0.5
likely move
in odds
48% to win
W3
vs#117Georgia Southern
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
72% to win
W9
at#130New Mexico State
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
75% to win
W4
vs#124Middle Tennessee
0% lose2% win
±0.4
likely move
in odds
79% to win