CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Wed Oct 7 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JXST 46.6%53.4% KENN
Projected margin
KENN by 1.0
Projected total
49
80% outcome range
JXST 19 to KENN 21
Win probability
KENN 53.4%
FinalJXST 27 · KENN 26model had +1.0, off by 2.0

Current team profiles

Jacksonville State
Kennesaw State

When Jacksonville State has the ball

Passing

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#33
KENN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.28
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN defense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#85
KENN defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#38
KENN defense
#98
Success rates
47%
#38
43%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#54
0.14
#102
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
14%
#56
12%
#125
Havoc

When Kennesaw State has the ball

Passing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#41
KENN offense
#101
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#91
KENN offense
#51
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

KENN offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#87
KENN offense
#53
Success rates
42%
#87
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#62
0.10
#87
EPA / play
1.09
#19
1.10
#126
Explosiveness
16%
#77
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

Jacksonville State
QBCaden Creel
1112 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
68.6177/729
WRFranklin Baret Jr.
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
86.421/2069
STy Sims
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
82.441/2969
LBWalker O'Steen
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
80.478/1796
SCaleb Nix
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
82.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
43.5
Missed tackles
3
78.878/2969
LBMac Sanders
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.4
Coverage
77.1
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.5109/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Andrew Paul · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Paul is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Franklin Baret Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Baret Jr has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Rollie Pinto · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Pinto is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Landon Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • AJ Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Justus Savage · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Savage is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Nabi Hoyt · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

Kennesaw State
QBRickie Collins
734 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
79.176/729
LBCorey Kelly
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
87.922/1796
RBLatrelle Murrell
154 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
81.559/1044
LBZay Wilson
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1119/1796
WRJavon Rogers
9 rec · 194 yds · 0 TD
74.4136/2069
WRKeon Davis
3 rec · 23 yds · 0 TD
74.1144/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Zion Booker · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Booker is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be in the lineup against Missouri St. on Wednesday, Octo

  • Gerard Bullock Jr. · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Bullock Jr. is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Missouri St. on Wednesday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

JXST
KENN
vs
Offense
68.6
#108 of 138
QB
79.1
#60 of 138
73.8
#86 of 138
RB
78.9
#40 of 138
78.1
#17 of 138
WR
72.9
#48 of 138
72.3
#50 of 138
TE
52.4
#136 of 138
67.7
#70 of 138
OL
59.3
#135 of 138
Defense
70.9
#95 of 138
DL
72.2
#82 of 138
78.7
#32 of 138
LB
81.1
#16 of 138
77.3
#13 of 138
DB
69.8
#102 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Jacksonville State
opponent
Kennesaw State
H+11.5
MOST#141
+3.4A
H+16.7
SHSU#125
+8.7A
H+10.0
MTSU#150
+4.0A
H+4.8
FIU#99
+2.1H
A+2.8
WKU#122
+0.1A
A+2.2
DEL#119
+4.8H