AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 0 · Sat Aug 29 · 5:30 PM
#89Away
Jacksonville State
0-1 · AVR 43.6
7
#81Home
North Dakota State
1-0 · AVR 46.6
33
JXST 12%88% NDSU
Spread
NDSU -16.7
Total
47
Moneyline
JXST+703NDSU-703
Against the market
NDSU +10.2line NDSU -6.5
FinalJXST 7 · NDSU 33model had +16.7, off by 9.3

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Jacksonville State
SRob Billings IV
79.496/1427
CBTre'Quon Fegans
74.5158/1427
LBWalker O'Steen
73.0118/878
LBMorven Joseph
72.1121/878
SCaleb Nix
71.9193/1427
WRDeondre Johnson
71.048/777

Projected margin

80% between -3 and 36
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKNDSU +16.7MKTActual margin: NDSU +26ACTUAL95% interval: -13 to 4680% interval: -3 to 36-3+36JXST wins 12%NDSU wins 88%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ NDSU 32–18 JXSTNDSU 28–42 JXST neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesNDSU 32–39 JXST neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesNDSU 35–35 JXST neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesNDSU 39–32 JXST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNDSU 42–28 JXST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNDSU 46–25 JXST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesNDSU 49–21 JXST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesNDSU 53–18 JXST neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNDSU 56–14 JXST neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesNDSU 25–39 JXST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNDSU 28–35 JXST neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesNDSU 32–32 JXST neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesNDSU 35–28 JXST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesNDSU 39–25 JXST neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesNDSU 42–21 JXST neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesNDSU 46–18 JXST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNDSU 49–14 JXST neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesNDSU 53–11 JXST neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesNDSU 21–35 JXST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNDSU 25–32 JXST neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesNDSU 28–28 JXST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNDSU 32–25 JXST neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesNDSU 35–21 JXST neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesNDSU 39–18 JXST neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesNDSU 42–14 JXST neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesNDSU 46–11 JXST neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesNDSU 49–7 JXST neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesNDSU 18–32 JXST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNDSU 21–28 JXST neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNDSU 25–25 JXST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNDSU 28–21 JXST neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesNDSU 32–18 JXST neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesNDSU 35–14 JXST neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesNDSU 39–11 JXST neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesNDSU 42–7 JXST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesNDSU 46–4 JXST neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesNDSU 14–28 JXST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNDSU 18–25 JXST neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesNDSU 21–21 JXST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesNDSU 25–18 JXST neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesNDSU 28–14 JXST neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesNDSU 32–11 JXST neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesNDSU 35–7 JXST neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesNDSU 39–4 JXST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesNDSU 42–0 JXST neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesNDSU 11–25 JXST neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesNDSU 14–21 JXST neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesNDSU 18–18 JXST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesNDSU 21–14 JXST neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesNDSU 25–11 JXST neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesNDSU 28–7 JXST neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesNDSU 32–4 JXST neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesNDSU 35–0 JXST neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)NDSU 7–21 JXST neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesNDSU 11–18 JXST neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesNDSU 14–14 JXST neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesNDSU 18–11 JXST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesNDSU 21–7 JXST neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesNDSU 25–4 JXST neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesNDSU 28–0 JXST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalActual: NDSU 33–7 JXSTACTUALJXST +14PKNDSU +14NDSU +28NDSU +42margin →