CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JXST 40.7%59.3% OHIO
Projected margin
OHIO by 4.5
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
JXST 14 to OHIO 25
Win probability
OHIO 59.3%
FinalJXST 27 · OHIO 29model had +4.5, off by 2.5

Current team profiles

Jacksonville State
Ohio

When Jacksonville State has the ball

Passing

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#33
OHIO defense
#116
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.33
#116
Pass EPA

Rushing

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#85
OHIO defense
#88
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
0.08
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST offense
#38
OHIO defense
#88
Success rates
47%
#38
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#54
0.15
#106
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
14%
#56
16%
#70
Havoc

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#41
OHIO offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#91
OHIO offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
JXST defense
#87
OHIO offense
#46
Success rates
42%
#87
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#62
0.15
#69
EPA / play
1.09
#19
1.11
#124
Explosiveness
16%
#77
14%
#56
Havoc

Current key players

Jacksonville State
QBCaden Creel
1112 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
68.6177/729
WRFranklin Baret Jr.
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
86.421/2069
STy Sims
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
82.441/2969
LBWalker O'Steen
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
80.478/1796
SCaleb Nix
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
82.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
43.5
Missed tackles
3
78.878/2969
LBMac Sanders
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.4
Coverage
77.1
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.5109/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Andrew Paul · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Paul is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Franklin Baret Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Baret Jr has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Rollie Pinto · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Pinto is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Landon Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • AJ Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Justus Savage · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Savage is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Nabi Hoyt · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

JXST
OHIO
vs
Offense
68.6
#108 of 138
QB
81.9
#52 of 138
73.8
#86 of 138
RB
67.8
#130 of 138
78.1
#17 of 138
WR
70.3
#77 of 138
72.3
#50 of 138
TE
60.0
#122 of 138
67.7
#70 of 138
OL
67.7
#69 of 138
Defense
70.9
#95 of 138
DL
70.5
#98 of 138
78.7
#32 of 138
LB
80.7
#17 of 138
77.3
#13 of 138
DB
66.7
#130 of 138
Common opponents