CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Tue Oct 13 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
FIU 38.3%61.7% JXST
Projected margin
JXST by 4.8
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
FIU 14 to JXST 23
Win probability
JXST 61.7%

Current team profiles

Florida International
Jacksonville State

When Florida International has the ball

Passing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#107
JXST defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.10
#107
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#129
JXST defense
#91
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.09
#91
Rush EPA

Drive success

JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU offense
#115
JXST defense
#87
Success rates
39%
#115
42%
#87
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#124
0.05
#62
EPA / play
1.13
#116
1.09
#19
Explosiveness
16%
#98
16%
#77
Havoc

When Jacksonville State has the ball

Passing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#14
JXST offense
#33
EPA comparison
-0.05
#14
0.36
#33
Pass EPA

Rushing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#29
JXST offense
#85
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.07
#85
Rush EPA

Drive success

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
FIU defense
#11
JXST offense
#38
Success rates
34%
#11
47%
#38
Success rate
More metrics
-0.07
#14
0.18
#54
EPA / play
1.14
#28
1.17
#100
Explosiveness
18%
#31
14%
#56
Havoc

Current key players

Florida International
QBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
76.9
Targets allowed
20
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
66.9
Missed tackles
2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
33.3
Missed tackles
2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob

  • Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo

  • Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October

Jacksonville State
QBCaden Creel
1112 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
68.6177/729
WRFranklin Baret Jr.
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
86.421/2069
STy Sims
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
75.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
82.441/2969
LBWalker O'Steen
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.0
Coverage
77.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
80.478/1796
SCaleb Nix
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
82.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
43.5
Missed tackles
3
78.878/2969
LBMac Sanders
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.4
Coverage
77.1
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
78.5109/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Andrew Paul · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Paul is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Franklin Baret Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Baret Jr has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Rollie Pinto · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Pinto is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Landon Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • AJ Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Watkins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Justus Savage · RBQues. · 2026-10-08

    Savage is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

  • Nabi Hoyt · WRQues. · 2026-10-08

    Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

FIU
JXST
vs
Offense
72.7
#92 of 138
QB
68.6
#108 of 138
74.8
#73 of 138
RB
73.8
#86 of 138
71.2
#72 of 138
WR
78.1
#17 of 138
60.0
#120 of 138
TE
72.3
#50 of 138
62.6
#118 of 138
OL
67.7
#70 of 138
Defense
76.1
#45 of 138
DL
70.9
#95 of 138
75.9
#52 of 138
LB
78.7
#32 of 138
72.6
#63 of 138
DB
77.3
#13 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Florida International
opponent
Jacksonville State
H+19.0
NMSU#120
+4.0A
A-2.1
KENN#113
+1.0A
H+9.3
MOST#141
+11.5H
H+14.5
SHSU#125
+16.7H
A+0.1
DEL#119
+2.2A
H+9.9
MTSU#150
+10.0H