Passing
JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JXST offense
- #33
- NMSU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.36
#33
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Wed Oct 28 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JXST 60.1%39.9% NMSU
- Projected margin
- JXST by 4.0
- Projected total
- 54
- 80% outcome range
- JXST 23 to NMSU 15
- Win probability
- JXST 60.1%
Current team profiles
Jacksonville State
New Mexico StateWhen Jacksonville State has the ball
Rushing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JXST offense
- #85
- NMSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.07
#85
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
JXST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JXST offense
- #38
- NMSU defense
- #67
Success rates
47%
#38
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#54
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.17
#100
1.16
#36
Explosiveness
14%
#56
14%
#97
Havoc
When New Mexico State has the ball
Passing
JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JXST defense
- #41
- NMSU offense
- #108
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.09
#108
Pass EPA
Rushing
NMSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JXST defense
- #91
- NMSU offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.06
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
JXST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JXST defense
- #87
- NMSU offense
- #99
Success rates
42%
#87
41%
#99
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#62
0.02
#115
EPA / play
1.09
#19
1.38
#12
Explosiveness
16%
#77
17%
#119
Havoc
Current key players
Jacksonville StateQBCaden Creel
1112 yds · 9 TD · 4 INT
68.6177/729
WRFranklin Baret Jr.
1 rec · 18 yds · 0 TD
86.421/2069
STy Sims
— tkl · — PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 75.5
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 0.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
82.441/2969
LBWalker O'Steen
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.0
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Pressures
- 6
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
80.478/1796
SCaleb Nix
30 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.0
- Coverage
- 82.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 43.5
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.878/2969
LBMac Sanders
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.4
- Coverage
- 77.1
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
78.5109/1796
Availability reports · 7
- Andrew Paul · RBout · 2026-10-07
Paul is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Franklin Baret Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Baret Jr has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Rollie Pinto · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Pinto is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Landon Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Watkins is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- AJ Watkins · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Watkins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Justus Savage · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Savage is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
- Nabi Hoyt · WRQues. · 2026-10-08
Hoyt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against FIU on Tuesday, October 13th.
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Position units
Position-unit comparison
JXSTJacksonville State
NMSUNew Mexico State
vs
Offense
68.6
#108 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.9
#13 of 138
73.8
#86 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.6
#50 of 138
78.1
#17 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.3
#55 of 138
72.3
#50 of 138
TE
Tight ends
75.9
#34 of 138
67.7
#70 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.9
#88 of 138
Defense
70.9
#95 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.3
#61 of 138
78.7
#32 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.9
#98 of 138
77.3
#13 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#18 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Jacksonville State
opponent
New Mexico State
Hhome+4.8
FIUFlorida International#99-19.0Aaway
Aaway+2.8
WKUWestern Kentucky#122+21.0Hhome
Hhome+11.5
MOSTMissouri State#141-0.5Aaway
Hhome+16.7
SHSUSam Houston#125+4.8Aaway
Hhome+10.0
MTSUMiddle Tennessee#150+0.1Aaway
Aaway+2.2
DELDelaware#119+0.9Hhome