AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Conference USA

Liberty

Flames0-05th in Conference USA
Williams Stadium (VA) · Lynchburg, VA · 25,000
Rank —
106
Rating
37.8
TeamTalent-poor roster
OffenseUnproven
DefenseUnprovenweak point: defensive line, 126th

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
at#55James Madison
9%
Sep 517-36p›
2
vsGardner-Webb
93%
Sep 1237-17p›
3
vs#136Ball State
87%
Sep 1933-18p›
4
at#126Coastal Carolina
69%
Sep 2429-22p›
5
at#102Delaware
53%
Oct 227-26p›
6
vs#137Sam Houston
89%
Oct 835-18p›
8
at#105Kennesaw State
57%
Oct 2226-23p›
9
vs#109Florida International
66%
Oct 3128-23p›
10
at#130New Mexico State
74%
Nov 730-21p›
11
vs#124Middle Tennessee
77%
Nov 1430-20p›
12
vs#75Western Kentucky
43%
Nov 2125-27p›
13
at#125Missouri State
70%
Nov 2829-22p›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#12559
Talent
#11655
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB79th
RB98th
WR92nd
TE72nd
OL47th
DL126th
LB115th
DB103rd

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named9 ratedavg 52.32025 ratings
X52.6
M. Jackson
WR · SR243rd
LT78.7
A. Birchmeier
OL · JR44th
LG53.0
C. Williams
OL · SR128th
C28.7
V. Erickson
OL · SR235th
RG—
A. Fenimore
OL · JR
RT—
D. Geth
OL · JR
TE52.0
L. Johnson
TE · SR115th
SL47.8
B. Randolph
WR · FR382nd
Z48.9
J. Monteiro
WR · SO347th
QB56.0
E. Vasko
QB · SR88th
RB53.4
K. Davis
RB · SO192nd

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Ethan VaskoSR
56.0
88th QB
RB
Kam DavisSO
53.4
192nd RB
WR
Makai JacksonSR
52.6
243rd WR
WR
Jon MonteiroSO
48.9
347th WR
TE
LaKelsey Johnson Jr.SR
52.0
115th TE
Defense
LB
Kyle FermSO
60.4
278th LB
LB
Derrell FarrarJR
54.5
396th LB
S
Izaiah GuyJR
76.4
134th DB
CB
Jamal MilesJR
56.7
571st DB
S
Ashton WhitnerFR
51.1
740th DB

Injury report

2 out · 1 starters
out
Erwil Anthony Jr.OL
08-21
out
Aaron HesterDLstarter
08-24
questionable
Bo BurklowTE
08-20
questionable
Austin AndersonOL
08-21

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%–3% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W8
at#105Kennesaw State
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W12
vs#75Western Kentucky
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
44% to win
W5
at#102Delaware
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
52% to win
W13
at#125Missouri State
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
69% to win
W11
vs#124Middle Tennessee
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
76% to win
W9
vs#109Florida International
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
66% to win
W10
at#130New Mexico State
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
72% to win
W1
at#55James Madison
0% lose3% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
10% to win