Passing
NMSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB offense
- #47
- NMSU defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.07
#41
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 5:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LIB 68.1%31.9% NMSU
- Projected margin
- LIB by 7.2
- Projected total
- 51
- 80% outcome range
- LIB 26 to NMSU 11
- Win probability
- LIB 68.1%
Current team profiles
LibertyNew Mexico StateWhen Liberty has the ball
Rushing
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB offense
- #55
- NMSU defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB offense
- #30
- NMSU defense
- #67
Success rates
48%
#30
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#63
0.05
#60
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.16
#36
Explosiveness
14%
#56
14%
#97
Havoc
When New Mexico State has the ball
Passing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB defense
- #15
- NMSU offense
- #108
EPA comparison
-0.04
#15
0.09
#108
Pass EPA
Rushing
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB defense
- #73
- NMSU offense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.06
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
LIB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- LIB defense
- #13
- NMSU offense
- #99
Success rates
34%
#13
41%
#99
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#28
0.02
#115
EPA / play
1.34
#115
1.38
#12
Explosiveness
19%
#24
17%
#119
Havoc
Current key players
LibertyQBDeshawn Purdie
936 yds · 7 TD · 0 INT
75.9106/729
RBKam Davis
457 yds · 3 TD · 7.1 YPC
85.138/1044
WRMakai Jackson
19 rec · 469 yds · 5 TD
80.848/2069
SIzaiah Guy
8 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 85.3
- Coverage
- 69.2
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 16
- Passer rating allowed
- 48.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.779/2969
CBElijah Hopkins
8 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.4
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 58.9
- Missed tackles
- 3
75.6170/2969
SJayden Davis
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 54.2
- Coverage
- 76.3
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 18.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
71.9330/2969
Availability reports · 4
- J. Marshall · RBout · 2026-10-08
Marshall is hampered by leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Bo Burklow · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Burklow is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will play against the Kennesaw State on Thursday, Octo
- Caleb Ryan · TEQues. · 2026-10-09
Ryan is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
- Cam Wood · RBQues. · 2026-10-09
Wood is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will face the Kennesaw State on Thursday, October 22nd.
New Mexico StateQBAdam Damante
345 yds · 2 TD · 1 INT
90.913/729
CBTwan Wilson
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 62.2
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.931/2969
LBDrake Williams
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.984/1796
SNick Session
38 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.8
- Coverage
- 81.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 14
- Yards allowed
- 125
- Passer rating allowed
- 51.3
- Missed tackles
- 7
79.767/2969
RBJalen Brown
68 yds · 0 TD · 13.6 YPC
78.2105/1044
CBDe'Marcus Peters
18 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.9
- Coverage
- 77.0
- Targets allowed
- 19
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 144
- Passer rating allowed
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
77.4112/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ilya Uvaydov · KQues. · 2026-10-08
Uvaydov is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 21th.
- Ray Lotten · TEQues. · 2026-10-08
Lotten is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
- Roscoe Burton · RBQues. · 2026-10-08
Burton is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Sam Houston on Wednesday, October 2
Position units
Position-unit comparison
LIBLiberty
NMSUNew Mexico State
vs
Offense
75.9
#79 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.9
#13 of 138
81.0
#31 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.6
#50 of 138
69.8
#84 of 138
WR
Receivers
72.3
#55 of 138
69.8
#67 of 138
TE
Tight ends
75.9
#34 of 138
72.2
#32 of 138
OL
Offensive line
65.9
#88 of 138
Defense
70.0
#106 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.3
#61 of 138
66.2
#130 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.9
#98 of 138
73.2
#54 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.8
#18 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Liberty
opponent
New Mexico State
Hhome+32.0
SHSUSam Houston#125+4.8Aaway
Hhome+8.1
FIUFlorida International#99-19.0Aaway
Hhome+15.3
MTSUMiddle Tennessee#150+0.1Aaway
Aaway+16.0
DELDelaware#119+0.9Hhome
Aaway+9.4
MOSTMissouri State#141-0.5Aaway
Hhome+11.4
WKUWestern Kentucky#122+21.0Hhome