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Sun Belt

James Madison

Dukes6-01st in Sun Belt
Bridgeforth Stadium · Harrisonburg, VA · 24,877
TeamWell-rounded · outplaying the roster
OffenseGrinding · strong
DefenseStingy until it breaks · strongweak point: big plays allowed, 100th

The season

Best win
W 20-13 vs #77 Liberty
Wk 1 · Sep 5 · model had 82%
Undefeated.

Schedule

model 6/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsLiberty
    W 20–13
    Win chance 82%Model margin +12.2Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsWagner
    W 87–3
    Win chance >99%Model margin +45.0Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atSan Diego State
    W 26–13
    Win chance 62%Model margin +4.2Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atOld Dominion
    W 46–20
    Win chance 85%Model margin +14.1Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsMarshall
    W 45–17
    Win chance 97%Model margin +24.7Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 10
    atGeorgia Southern
    W 27–24
    Win chance 87%Model margin +15.1Game details
  7. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsGeorgia State
    Win chance 89%Model margin +16.5Game details
  8. Week 8 · Oct 22
    atApp State
    Win chance 83%Model margin +12.9Game details
  9. Week 9 · Oct 29
    vsTroy
    Win chance 94%Model margin +20.6Game details
  10. Week 10 · Nov 6
    atSouthern Miss
    Win chance 87%Model margin +14.9Game details
  11. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atUConn
    Win chance 77%Model margin +9.8Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsCoastal Carolina
    Win chance 96%Model margin +23.9Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
71
#29 of 138
Defense efficiency
75
#31 of 138
Efficiency
#200.29
EPA / play
#22-0.05
#220.42
Pass
#410.07
#280.21
Rush
#22-0.09
#3748%
Success
#2235%
Big plays & havoc
#651.24
Explosive
#1001.29
#1310%
Havoc
#5917%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB54th
RB107th
WR36th
TE45th
OL39th
DL39th
LB59th
DB45th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Arrington MaidenSO
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.7
63rd QB
RB
George PettawaySR
497 yds · 6 TD · 6.7 YPC
72.3
248th RB
WR
Arrion ConcepcionFR
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.0
65th WR
WR
Miles HalbertFR
1 rec · 44 yds · 1 TD
73.0
166th WR
TE
Cole KellerSR
12 rec · 153 yds · 3 TD
73.1
58th TE
Defense
LB
JT HootenSO
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
81.0
69th LB
LB
Lathan CroleyJR
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
72.6
274th LB
S
Jayon HarveyJR
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
81.2
47th DB
S
D'Kwan ThomasFR
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
75.3
184th DB
CB
Ken WillisSR
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
74.9
195th DB

Injury report

1 listed
Ques.
Za'Ron CollinsWR

Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.

52.410-11

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

Playoff chances in the published season simulation, depending on each game’s result. Games follow the remaining schedule.

  1. Week 7 · Oct 17
    vsGeorgia State
    Playoff chance if win
    47.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    22.7%
  2. Week 8 · Oct 22
    atApp State
    Playoff chance if win
    48.9%
    Playoff chance if loss
    26.1%
  3. Week 9 · Oct 29
    vsTroy
    Playoff chance if win
    46.4%
    Playoff chance if loss
    23.8%
  4. Week 10 · Nov 6
    atSouthern Miss
    Playoff chance if win
    48.2%
    Playoff chance if loss
    25.1%
  5. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atUConn
    Playoff chance if win
    48.8%
    Playoff chance if loss
    31.5%
  6. Week 13 · Nov 28
    vsCoastal Carolina
    Playoff chance if win
    46.0%
    Playoff chance if loss
    20.4%

Past seasons

Year by year
+3.1 points since 2022
405060708066.4202268.1202358.3202469.62025
2022 66.42023 68.12024 58.32025 69.6

2025

12-1
D-I rank
#33
Rating
69.6
Listed games · 13
WLWWWWWWWWWWW
485 pts scored206 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Weber StateW 45–10
  2. W2 at LouisvilleL 14–28
  3. W4 at LibertyW 31–13
  4. W5 vs Georgia SouthernW 35–10
  5. W6 at Georgia StateW 14–7
  6. W7 vs LouisianaW 24–14
  7. W8 vs Old DominionW 63–27
  8. W10 at Texas StateW 52–20
  9. W11 at MarshallW 35–23
  10. W12 vs App StateW 58–10
  11. W13 vs Washington StateW 24–20
  12. W14 at Coastal CarolinaW 59–10
  13. W15 vs TroyW 31–14

2024

8-4
D-I rank
#79
Rating
58.3
Listed games · 12
WWWWLWLWWWLL
406 pts scored249 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at CharlotteW 30–7
  2. W2 vs Gardner-WebbW 13–6
  3. W4 at North CarolinaW 70–50
  4. W5 vs Ball StateW 63–7
  5. W6 at UL MonroeL 19–21
  6. W7 vs Coastal CarolinaW 39–7
  7. W8 at Georgia SouthernL 14–28
  8. W9 vs Southern MissW 32–15
  9. W11 vs Georgia StateW 38–7
  10. W12 at Old DominionW 35–32
  11. W13 at App StateL 20–34
  12. W14 vs MarshallL 33–35

2023

11-1
D-I rank
#30
Rating
68.1
Listed games · 12
WWWWWWWWWWLW
422 pts scored222 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs BucknellW 38–3
  2. W2 at VirginiaW 36–35
  3. W3 at TroyW 16–14
  4. W4 at Utah StateW 45–38
  5. W5 vs South AlabamaW 31–23
  6. W7 vs Georgia SouthernW 41–13
  7. W8 at MarshallW 20–9
  8. W9 vs Old DominionW 30–27
  9. W10 at Georgia StateW 42–14
  10. W11 vs UConnW 44–6
  11. W12 vs App StateL 23–26
  12. W13 at Coastal CarolinaW 56–14

2022

8-3
D-I rank
#39
Rating
66.4
Listed games · 11
WWWWWLLLWWW
407 pts scored230 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Middle TennesseeW 44–7
  2. W2 vs Norfolk StateW 63–7
  3. W4 at App StateW 32–28
  4. W5 vs Texas StateW 40–13
  5. W6 at Arkansas StateW 42–20
  6. W7 at Georgia SouthernL 38–45
  7. W8 vs MarshallL 12–26
  8. W10 at LouisvilleL 10–34
  9. W11 at Old DominionW 37–3
  10. W12 vs Georgia StateW 42–40
  11. W13 vs Coastal CarolinaW 47–7