Passing
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #22
- USM defense
- #103
EPA comparison
0.42
#22
0.27
#103
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Thu Nov 5 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
JMU 83.0%17.0% USM
- Projected margin
- JMU by 14.9
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- JMU 33 to USM 4
- Win probability
- JMU 83.0%
Current team profiles
James Madison
Southern MissWhen James Madison has the ball
Rushing
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #28
- USM defense
- #134
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
0.26
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU offense
- #37
- USM defense
- #110
Success rates
48%
#37
45%
#110
Success rate
More metrics
0.29
#20
0.20
#122
EPA / play
1.24
#65
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
10%
#13
12%
#129
Havoc
When Southern Miss has the ball
Passing
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #41
- USM offense
- #111
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.08
#111
Pass EPA
Rushing
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #22
- USM offense
- #30
EPA comparison
-0.09
#22
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- JMU defense
- #22
- USM offense
- #62
Success rates
35%
#22
44%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#22
0.08
#95
EPA / play
1.29
#100
1.19
#94
Explosiveness
17%
#59
15%
#73
Havoc
Current key players
James MadisonQBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.1
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 11
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 55
- Passer rating allowed
- 98.7
- Missed tackles
- 4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.6
- Coverage
- 69.4
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 39
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.1
- Coverage
- 68.0
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 83.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.1
- Coverage
- 67.8
- Targets allowed
- 21
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 119
- Passer rating allowed
- 65.4
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
- Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.
Southern MissQBEthan Hampton
419 yds · 2 TD · 4 INT
69.3163/729
LBMelvin Spriggs
10 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.4
- Coverage
- 62.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
86.231/1796
WRMJ Johnson
9 rec · 120 yds · 0 TD
83.631/2069
DBKobi Albert
13 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 52
- Passer rating allowed
- 16.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.334/2969
DBJonah Martinez
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.5
- Coverage
- 89.8
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 25
- Passer rating allowed
- 13.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
83.136/2969
DBLaquan Robinson
20 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.5
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.160/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ethan Hampton · QBout · 2026-09-25
Hampton is nursing with a hand injury, and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Grant Page · WRout · 2026-09-22
Page is sidelined due to a dislocated elbow, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jaylen Himes · WRout · 2026-09-25
Himes is out of commission due to a foot injury, and he will miss an extended period.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
JMUJames Madison
USMSouthern Miss
vs
Offense
81.7
#54 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.3
#103 of 138
71.7
#107 of 138
RB
Running backs
71.1
#110 of 138
74.5
#36 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.2
#40 of 138
73.1
#45 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#58 of 138
71.7
#39 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.9
#28 of 138
Defense
76.6
#39 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.4
#100 of 138
75.0
#59 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#55 of 138
74.0
#45 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.2
#23 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
James Madison
opponent
Southern Miss
Hhome+20.6
TROYTroy#111-21.0Aaway
Aaway+9.8
CONNUConn#95-28.0Hhome
Aaway+26.0
ODUOld Dominion#130-3.7Aaway