CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WAG 0.1%99.9% JMU
Projected margin
JMU by 45.0
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
JMU 24 to JMU 66
Win probability
JMU 99.9%
FinalWAG 3 · JMU 87model had +45.0, off by 39.0

Current team profiles

Wagner
James Madison

When Wagner has the ball

Passing

No comparison
WAG offense
—
JMU defense
#41
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
WAG offense
—
JMU defense
#22
EPA comparison
—
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
WAG offense
#124
JMU defense
#22
Success rates
37%
#124
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
-0.09
#124
-0.05
#22
EPA / play
0.17
#123
1.29
#100
Explosiveness
—
17%
#59
Havoc

When James Madison has the ball

Passing

No comparison
WAG defense
—
JMU offense
#22
EPA comparison
—
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
WAG defense
—
JMU offense
#28
EPA comparison
—
0.21
#28
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
WAG defense
#74
JMU offense
#37
Success rates
45%
#74
48%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#78
0.29
#20
EPA / play
0.23
#104
1.24
#65
Explosiveness
—
10%
#13
Havoc

Current key players

Wagner
QBTrip Maxwell
68 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
69.6111/370
LBRyan Sissel
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.4
Coverage
79.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
87.65/1054
DBJulio Tatis
13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
31
Rec allowed
21
Yards allowed
178
Passer rating allowed
55.6
Missed tackles
5
80.340/1765
DBErnest Blackshire Jr.
11 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.9
Coverage
74.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
78.078/1765
DLEthan Appolon
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
55.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.5195/1549
DLKahmari Valentine
10 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
88
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
71.9228/1549
James Madison
QBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.1
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
98.7
Missed tackles
4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
69.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
39
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.1
Coverage
68.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.1
Coverage
67.8
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
119
Passer rating allowed
65.4
Missed tackles
5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WAG
JMU
vs
Offense
69.6
#75 of 125
QB
81.7
#54 of 138
59.4
#125 of 126
RB
71.7
#107 of 138
64.7
#105 of 126
WR
74.5
#36 of 138
56.2
#114 of 124
TE
73.1
#45 of 138
56.0
#124 of 125
OL
71.7
#39 of 138
Defense
70.8
#62 of 126
DL
76.6
#39 of 138
73.7
#41 of 126
LB
75.0
#59 of 138
71.4
#64 of 126
DB
74.0
#45 of 138
Common opponents