CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MRSH 7.1%92.9% JMU
Projected margin
JMU by 24.7
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
JMU 3 to JMU 45
Win probability
JMU 92.9%
FinalMRSH 17 · JMU 45model had +24.7, off by 3.3

Current team profiles

Marshall
James Madison

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#62
JMU defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#107
JMU defense
#22
EPA comparison
0.01
#107
-0.09
#22
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH offense
#64
JMU defense
#22
Success rates
44%
#64
35%
#22
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#85
-0.05
#22
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.29
#100
Explosiveness
17%
#114
17%
#59
Havoc

When James Madison has the ball

Passing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#138
JMU offense
#22
EPA comparison
0.50
#138
0.42
#22
Pass EPA

Rushing

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#112
JMU offense
#28
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.21
#28
Rush EPA

Drive success

JMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MRSH defense
#117
JMU offense
#37
Success rates
46%
#117
48%
#37
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#135
0.29
#20
EPA / play
1.31
#107
1.24
#65
Explosiveness
13%
#113
10%
#13
Havoc

Current key players

Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
James Madison
QBArrington Maiden
111 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.763/729
SJayon Harvey
34 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.1
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
98.7
Missed tackles
4
81.247/2969
LBJT Hooten
27 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
69.4
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
39
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.069/1796
WRArrion Concepcion
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
79.065/2069
SD'Kwan Thomas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.1
Coverage
68.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
75.3184/2969
CBKen Willis
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
65.1
Coverage
67.8
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
119
Passer rating allowed
65.4
Missed tackles
5
74.9195/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Za'Ron Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Collins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Panthers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MRSH
JMU
vs
Offense
72.8
#91 of 138
QB
81.7
#54 of 138
72.7
#101 of 138
RB
71.7
#107 of 138
63.4
#136 of 138
WR
74.5
#36 of 138
65.9
#87 of 138
TE
73.1
#45 of 138
65.2
#93 of 138
OL
71.7
#39 of 138
Defense
75.2
#52 of 138
DL
76.6
#39 of 138
66.2
#129 of 138
LB
75.0
#59 of 138
71.2
#79 of 138
DB
74.0
#45 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Marshall
opponent
James Madison
H-6.0
CCU#127
+23.9H
A-2.6
ODU#130
+26.0A
H0.0
GAST#81
+16.5H
H+1.8
APP#100
+12.9A
A-3.5
GASO#102
+3.0A