AVRCFB Model
All rankings
Sun Belt

Troy

Trojans0-06th in Sun Belt
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) · Troy, AL · 30,000
Rank
95
Rating
41.7
TeamDefense-leaning roster
OffenseUnprovenweak point: tight end, 116th
DefenseUnprovenweak point: defensive line, 124th

The season ahead

12 games scheduled

Schedule

12 games
WkOpponentWin probDateProjectedGame page
1
93%
Sep 536-16p
2
vsAlabama State
93%
Sep 1238-18p
3
5%
Sep 1917-39p
4
42%
Sep 2628-31p
6
58%
Oct 729-27p
7
37%
Oct 1725-30p
8
vs#132UL Monroe
86%
Oct 2434-20p
9
21%
Oct 2921-32p
10
57%
Nov 727-25p
11
at#100South AlabamaThe Belt
41%
Nov 1426-29p
12
68%
Nov 2132-26p
13
48%
Nov 2827-28p

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Personnel
#11462
Talent
#4771
Position groups2025 player ratings
QB124th
RB129th
WR123rd
TE116th
OL92nd
DL124th
LB79th
DB45th

Starting eleven

11 personnel
11 of 11 named6 ratedavg 42.62025 ratings
X51.9
T. Lott
WR · SR264th
LT33.0
P. Screws
OL · SR210th
LG
D. Rivers
OL · SR
C
E. Prather
OL · SR
RG
J. Jones
OL · SR
RT
L. Petit
OL · SR
TE38.1
J. Worley
TE · SR232nd
SL
H. Kinchen
WR · SR
Z37.0
M. Dortch
WR · SR685th
QB45.3
T. Kilcrease
QB · SR215th
RB50.3
J. Lovett
RB · SR278th

Roster

Core lineup

2025 ratings
Offense
QB
Tucker KilcreaseSR
45.3
215th QB
RB
Jordan LovettSR
50.3
278th RB
WR
TJ LottSR
51.9
264th WR
WR
Mojo DortchSR
37.0
685th WR
TE
Jackson WorleySR
38.1
232nd TE
Defense
LB
TJ ThompsonSR
68.5
169th LB
LB
Luke HodgeSR
61.8
257th LB
CB
Jonathan PennixSR
83.7
58th DB
DB
Donnie SmithSR
78.9
102nd DB
S
Marcus Goree Jr.JR
67.5
292nd DB

Ahead

From the full-season Monte Carlo

Playoff impact

0%1% playoff odds, on these results

Ranked by how far the result is likely to move their playoff odds. A close game against a good team moves more than a near-certain win, even when losing that one would hurt more.

W9
0% lose1% win
±0.3
likely move
in odds
23% to win
W7
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
39% to win
W6
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W11
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
41% to win
W4
0% lose1% win
±0.2
likely move
in odds
42% to win
W10
0% lose1% win
±0.1
likely move
in odds
57% to win
W13
0% lose1% win
±0.1
likely move
in odds
48% to win