CFB
Model
All rankings
Sun Belt

Troy

Trojans3-29th in Sun Belt
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL) · Troy, AL · 30,000
TeamShort on both sides
OffenseRunning attack · averageweak point: avoiding disruption, 114th
DefenseAverage defenseweak point: big plays allowed, 116th

The season

Best win
W 24-21 vs #125 Sam Houston
Wk 1 · Sep 5 · model had 80%
Worst loss
L 10-21 @ #97 Utah State
Wk 4 · Sep 26 · model had 45%

Schedule

model 5/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsSam Houston
    W 24–21
    Win chance 80%Model margin +11.1Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    vsAlabama State
    W 34–17
    Win chance 91%Model margin +17.7Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    atMissouri
    L 17–27
    Win chance 5%Model margin -21.6Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atUtah State
    L 10–21
    Win chance 45%Model margin -1.7Game details
  5. Week 6 · Oct 6
    vsSouthern Miss
    W 55–34
    Win chance 67%Model margin +6.0Game details
  6. Week 7 · Oct 17
    atLouisiana
    Win chance 26%Model margin -8.8Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 24
    vsUL Monroe
    Win chance 86%Model margin +14.5Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 29
    atJames Madison
    Win chance 6%Model margin -20.6Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    vsLouisiana Tech
    Win chance 51%Model margin +0.4Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    atSouth Alabama
    Win chance 29%Model margin -7.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    vsGeorgia Southern
    Win chance 51%Model margin +0.4Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 28
    atArkansas State
    Win chance 39%Model margin -3.7Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
51
#67 of 138
Defense efficiency
53
#61 of 138
Efficiency
#780.13
EPA / play
#730.07
#1010.11
Pass
#710.15
#450.16
Rush
#560.02
#7943%
Success
#6440%
Big plays & havoc
#471.26
Explosive
#1161.35
#11417%
Havoc
#5917%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB130th
RB59th
WR121st
TE68th
OL123rd
DL138th
LB112th
DB71st

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Goose CrowderSR
822 yds · 7 TD · 4 INT
60.7
263rd QB
RB
Gavin GriffinJR
259 yds · 0 TD · 4.8 YPC
77.6
124th RB
WR
Howard KinchenSR
11 rec · 138 yds · 2 TD
70.9
228th WR
WR
Noreel WhiteJR
10 rec · 122 yds · 0 TD
67.5
356th WR
TE
Fabian RogoschSR
4 rec · 45 yds · 1 TD
69.3
105th TE
Defense
LB
TJ ThompsonSR
20 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
72.3
282nd LB
LB
Bryce SteeleSR
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
69.0
409th LB
S
Justin PoweSR
26 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
80.9
52nd DB
DB
Donnie SmithSR
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
73.3
262nd DB
S
Jamarion KeyesJR
17 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
72.9
285th DB

Injury report

1 out
out
Jackson WorleyTE

Worley has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

62.110-03
Ques.
Fabian RogoschTE

Rogosch is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Louisiana on Saturday, October 17th.

69.310-06

Past seasons

Year by year
-13.6 points since 2022
405060708064.2202268.0202350.8202450.62025
2022 64.22023 68.02024 50.82025 50.6

2025

8-5
D-I rank
#108
Rating
50.6
Listed games · 13
WLLWWWWWLLWWL
316 pts scored318 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs NichollsW 38–20
  2. W2 at ClemsonL 16–27
  3. W3 vs MemphisL 7–28
  4. W4 at BuffaloW 21–17
  5. W6 vs South AlabamaW 31–24
  6. W7 at Texas StateW 48–41
  7. W8 at UL MonroeW 37–14
  8. W9 vs LouisianaW 35–23
  9. W10 vs Arkansas StateL 10–23
  10. W12 at Old DominionL 0–33
  11. W13 vs Georgia StateW 31–19
  12. W14 at Southern MissW 28–18
  13. W15 at James MadisonL 14–31

2024

4-8
D-I rank
#117
Rating
50.8
Listed games · 12
LLLWLLLLWWLW
312 pts scored341 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs NevadaL 26–28
  2. W2 at MemphisL 17–38
  3. W3 at IowaL 21–38
  4. W4 vs Florida A&MW 34–12
  5. W5 vs UL MonroeL 9–13
  6. W6 vs Texas StateL 17–38
  7. W8 at South AlabamaL 9–25
  8. W9 at Arkansas StateL 31–34
  9. W10 vs Coastal CarolinaW 38–24
  10. W12 at Georgia SouthernW 28–20
  11. W13 at LouisianaL 30–51
  12. W14 vs Southern MissW 52–20

2023

11-2
D-I rank
#31
Rating
68.0
Listed games · 13
WLLWWWWWWWWWW
405 pts scored223 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Stephen F. AustinW 48–30
  2. W2 at Kansas StateL 13–42
  3. W3 vs James MadisonL 14–16
  4. W4 vs Western KentuckyW 27–24
  5. W5 at Georgia StateW 28–7
  6. W6 vs Arkansas StateW 37–3
  7. W7 at ArmyW 19–0
  8. W9 at Texas StateW 31–13
  9. W10 vs South AlabamaW 28–10
  10. W11 at UL MonroeW 45–14
  11. W12 vs LouisianaW 31–24
  12. W13 at Southern MissW 35–17
  13. W14 vs App StateW 49–23

2022

11-2
D-I rank
#52
Rating
64.2
Listed games · 13
LWLWWWWWWWWWW
340 pts scored228 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at Ole MissL 10–28
  2. W2 vs Alabama A&MW 38–17
  3. W3 at App StateL 28–32
  4. W4 vs MarshallW 16–7
  5. W5 at Western KentuckyW 34–27
  6. W6 vs Southern MissW 27–10
  7. W7 vs Texas StateW 17–14
  8. W8 at South AlabamaW 10–6
  9. W10 at LouisianaW 23–17
  10. W11 vs ArmyW 10–9
  11. W12 vs UL MonroeW 34–16
  12. W13 at Arkansas StateW 48–19
  13. W14 vs Coastal CarolinaW 45–26