CFB
Model
All rankings
Sun Belt

South Alabama

Jaguars4-26th in Sun Belt
Hancock Whitney Stadium · Mobile, AL · 25,450
TeamCarried by the offense
OffenseBig-play · solid
DefensePorous · poorweak point: getting off the field, 137th

The season

Best win
W 56-49 @ #91 Arkansas State
Wk 6 · Oct 8 · won as a 44% underdog
Worst loss
L 24-28 @ #85 Tulane
Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 46%

Schedule

model 5/6 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

  1. Week 1 · Sep 5
    vsSE Louisiana
    W 39–14
    Win chance 88%Model margin +15.6Game details
  2. Week 2 · Sep 12
    atTulane
    L 24–28
    Win chance 46%Model margin -1.3Game details
  3. Week 3 · Sep 19
    vsOhio
    W 41–36
    Win chance 66%Model margin +5.7Game details
  4. Week 4 · Sep 26
    atKentucky
    L 21–45
    Win chance 13%Model margin -15.3Game details
  5. Week 5 · Oct 3
    vsUL Monroe
    W 52–35
    Win chance 96%Model margin +23.9Game details
  6. Week 6 · Oct 8
    atArkansas State
    W 56–49
    Win chance 44%Model margin -2.1Game details
  7. Week 8 · Oct 20
    atMarshall
    Win chance 52%Model margin +0.6Game details
  8. Week 9 · Oct 31
    vsLouisiana Tech
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.2Game details
  9. Week 10 · Nov 7
    atLouisiana
    Win chance 38%Model margin -4.0Game details
  10. Week 11 · Nov 14
    vsTroy
    Win chance 71%Model margin +7.4Game details
  11. Week 12 · Nov 21
    atSouthern Miss
    Win chance 55%Model margin +1.7Game details
  12. Week 13 · Nov 27
    vsApp State
    Win chance 65%Model margin +5.1Game details

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138
Offense efficiency
69
#33 of 138
Defense efficiency
22
#112 of 138
Efficiency
#360.23
EPA / play
#1340.27
#370.34
Pass
#1220.36
#300.20
Rush
#1250.20
#6944%
Success
#13751%
Big plays & havoc
#231.33
Explosive
#1191.36
#3413%
Havoc
#5217%
Position groupsby overall player grade
QB90th
RB47th
WR110th
TE109th
OL91st
DL135th
LB128th
DB106th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade
Offense
QB
Bishop DavenportSR
450 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
73.0
129th QB
RB
PJ MartinSR
328 yds · 5 TD · 4.3 YPC
79.9
85th RB
WR
Brendan JenkinsSR
20 rec · 319 yds · 3 TD
69.2
291st WR
WR
Jeremiah Jones-ThomasSO
21 rec · 252 yds · 1 TD
68.8
317th WR
TE
Nate ForystekSR
— rec · — yds · — TD
61.4
216th TE
Defense
LB
Xavious Anderson Jr.FR
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
73.4
242nd LB
LB
Tre'Mon HenrySR
14 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
62.9
721st LB
CB
Damyrion DarbyJR
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
76.1
156th DB
S
Deon CallinsFR
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
73.6
252nd DB
CB
Jaylen MosonSR
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
70.0
446th DB

Injury report

3 out
out
Brian BarnesWR

Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

—10-01
out
Khatori MarionWR

Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

—10-01
out
Maddox LynchTE

Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

—10-01
Ques.
D. WhiteWR

White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Marshall on Tuesday, October 22nd.

59.810-09

Past seasons

Year by year
-10.9 points since 2022
304355688060.5202263.6202358.6202449.62025
2022 60.52023 63.62024 58.62025 49.6

2025

4-8
D-I rank
#119
Rating
49.6
Listed games · 12
WLLLLLLWLWWL
318 pts scored365 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs Morgan StateW 38–21
  2. W2 vs TulaneL 31–33
  3. W3 at AuburnL 15–31
  4. W4 vs Coastal CarolinaL 20–38
  5. W5 at North TexasL 22–36
  6. W6 at TroyL 24–31
  7. W8 vs Arkansas StateL 14–15
  8. W9 at Georgia StateW 38–31
  9. W10 vs LouisianaL 22–31
  10. W12 at UL MonroeW 26–14
  11. W13 vs Southern MissW 42–35
  12. W14 at Texas StateL 26–49

2024

6-6
D-I rank
#76
Rating
58.6
Listed games · 12
LLWWLLWWLWWL
417 pts scored304 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs North TexasL 38–52
  2. W2 at OhioL 20–27
  3. W3 vs Northwestern StateW 87–10
  4. W4 at App StateW 48–14
  5. W5 at LSUL 10–42
  6. W6 at Arkansas StateL 16–18
  7. W8 vs TroyW 25–9
  8. W9 vs UL MonroeW 46–17
  9. W10 vs Georgia SouthernL 30–34
  10. W12 at LouisianaW 24–22
  11. W13 at Southern MissW 35–14
  12. W14 vs Texas StateL 38–45

2023

6-6
D-I rank
#50
Rating
63.6
Listed games · 12
LWWLLWWLLWWL
371 pts scored263 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 at TulaneL 17–37
  2. W2 vs SE LouisianaW 35–17
  3. W3 at Oklahoma StateW 33–7
  4. W4 vs Central MichiganL 30–34
  5. W5 at James MadisonL 23–31
  6. W6 at UL MonroeW 55–7
  7. W8 vs Southern MissW 55–3
  8. W9 vs LouisianaL 20–33
  9. W10 at TroyL 10–28
  10. W11 vs Arkansas StateW 21–14
  11. W12 vs MarshallW 28–0
  12. W13 at Texas StateL 44–52

2022

10-2
D-I rank
#73
Rating
60.5
Listed games · 12
WWLWWWLWWWWW
383 pts scored233 allowed
Season schedule
  1. W1 vs NichollsW 48–7
  2. W2 at Central MichiganW 38–24
  3. W3 at UCLAL 31–32
  4. W4 vs Louisiana TechW 38–14
  5. W5 at LouisianaW 20–17
  6. W7 vs UL MonroeW 41–34
  7. W8 vs TroyL 6–10
  8. W9 at Arkansas StateW 31–3
  9. W10 at Georgia SouthernW 38–31
  10. W11 vs Texas StateW 38–21
  11. W12 at Southern MissW 27–20
  12. W13 vs Old DominionW 27–20