Passing
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA offense
- #37
- USM defense
- #103
EPA comparison
0.34
#37
0.27
#103
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
USA 54.1%45.9% USM
- Projected margin
- USA by 1.7
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- USA 20 to USM 17
- Win probability
- USA 54.1%
Current team profiles
South Alabama
Southern MissWhen South Alabama has the ball
Rushing
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA offense
- #30
- USM defense
- #134
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.26
#134
Rush EPA
Drive success
USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA offense
- #69
- USM defense
- #110
Success rates
44%
#69
45%
#110
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#36
0.20
#122
EPA / play
1.33
#23
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
13%
#34
12%
#129
Havoc
When Southern Miss has the ball
Passing
USM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA defense
- #122
- USM offense
- #111
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.08
#111
Pass EPA
Rushing
USM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA defense
- #125
- USM offense
- #30
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.20
#30
Rush EPA
Drive success
USM offense
Higher-ranked profile
- USA defense
- #137
- USM offense
- #62
Success rates
51%
#137
44%
#62
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#134
0.08
#95
EPA / play
1.36
#119
1.19
#94
Explosiveness
17%
#52
15%
#73
Havoc
Current key players
South AlabamaQBBishop Davenport
450 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
73.0129/729
RBPJ Martin
328 yds · 5 TD · 4.3 YPC
79.985/1044
CBDamyrion Darby
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 42.8
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 10
- Yards allowed
- 115
- Passer rating allowed
- 56.3
- Missed tackles
- 4
76.1156/2969
SDeon Callins
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 72.2
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.6252/2969
LBXavious Anderson Jr.
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.1
- Coverage
- 75.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.4242/1796
CBJaylen Moson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 53.1
- Coverage
- 72.8
- Targets allowed
- 24
- Rec allowed
- 11
- Yards allowed
- 116
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.8
- Missed tackles
- 5
70.0446/2969
Availability reports · 4
- Brian Barnes · WRout · 2026-10-01
Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Khatori Marion · WRout · 2026-10-01
Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- Maddox Lynch · TEout · 2026-10-01
Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.
- D. White · WRQues. · 2026-10-09
White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Marshall on Tuesday, October 22nd.
Southern MissQBEthan Hampton
419 yds · 2 TD · 4 INT
69.3163/729
LBMelvin Spriggs
10 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.4
- Coverage
- 62.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
86.231/1796
WRMJ Johnson
9 rec · 120 yds · 0 TD
83.631/2069
DBKobi Albert
13 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.7
- Coverage
- 83.7
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 52
- Passer rating allowed
- 16.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.334/2969
DBJonah Martinez
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 63.5
- Coverage
- 89.8
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 25
- Passer rating allowed
- 13.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
83.136/2969
DBLaquan Robinson
20 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.5
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 79.2
- Missed tackles
- 2
80.160/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Ethan Hampton · QBout · 2026-09-25
Hampton is nursing with a hand injury, and a timetable for return has yet to be established.
- Grant Page · WRout · 2026-09-22
Page is sidelined due to a dislocated elbow, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Jaylen Himes · WRout · 2026-09-25
Himes is out of commission due to a foot injury, and he will miss an extended period.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
USASouth Alabama
USMSouthern Miss
vs
Offense
73.0
#90 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.3
#103 of 138
78.0
#47 of 138
RB
Running backs
71.1
#110 of 138
68.0
#110 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.2
#40 of 138
61.4
#109 of 138
TE
Tight ends
70.8
#58 of 138
65.6
#91 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.9
#28 of 138
Defense
65.2
#135 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.4
#100 of 138
66.2
#128 of 138
LB
Linebackers
75.7
#55 of 138
69.4
#106 of 138
DB
Secondary
76.2
#23 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
South Alabama
opponent
Southern Miss
Hhome+7.4
TROYTroy#111-21.0Aaway
Hhome+5.2
LTLouisiana Tech#87-4.5Aaway
Hhome+17.0
ULMUL Monroe#163+9.6Aaway
Aaway+7.0
ARSTArkansas State#91+2.0Hhome
Aaway-4.0
TULNTulane#85-3.0Aaway
Aaway-4.0
ULLouisiana#92-3.1Hhome