CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
LT 37.5%62.5% USA
Projected margin
USA by 5.2
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
LT 13 to USA 24
Win probability
USA 62.5%

Current team profiles

Louisiana Tech
South Alabama

When Louisiana Tech has the ball

Passing

LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
LT offense
#47
USA defense
#122
EPA comparison
0.28
#47
0.36
#122
Pass EPA

Rushing

LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
LT offense
#105
USA defense
#125
EPA comparison
0.02
#105
0.20
#125
Rush EPA

Drive success

LT offense
Higher-ranked profile
LT offense
#100
USA defense
#137
Success rates
41%
#100
51%
#137
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#83
0.27
#134
EPA / play
1.40
#6
1.36
#119
Explosiveness
16%
#88
17%
#52
Havoc

When South Alabama has the ball

Passing

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
LT defense
#41
USA offense
#37
EPA comparison
0.07
#41
0.34
#37
Pass EPA

Rushing

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
LT defense
#93
USA offense
#30
EPA comparison
0.10
#93
0.20
#30
Rush EPA

Drive success

LT defense
Higher-ranked profile
LT defense
#45
USA offense
#69
Success rates
38%
#45
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#63
0.23
#36
EPA / play
1.38
#123
1.33
#23
Explosiveness
21%
#9
13%
#34
Havoc

Current key players

Louisiana Tech
QBTrey Kukuk
468 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
79.475/729
TEJoshua Brantley
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
60.0
Penalties
0
83.516/1017
RBDylone Brooks
169 yds · 2 TD · 10.6 YPC
81.065/1044
LBKolbe Fields
30 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
1
81.067/1796
LBZander Hayes
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.689/1796
DBDamien Richard II
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.3
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.373/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Dane Benedix · WRout · 2026-10-08

    Benedix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Trey Kukuk · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kukuk is battling with an ankle injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaden Miller · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Warhawks on Saturday, October 17th.

South Alabama
QBBishop Davenport
450 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
73.0129/729
RBPJ Martin
328 yds · 5 TD · 4.3 YPC
79.985/1044
CBDamyrion Darby
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
42.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
115
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
4
76.1156/2969
SDeon Callins
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
73.6252/2969
LBXavious Anderson Jr.
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
73.4242/1796
CBJaylen Moson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
53.1
Coverage
72.8
Targets allowed
24
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
116
Passer rating allowed
70.8
Missed tackles
5
70.0446/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Brian Barnes · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Khatori Marion · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Maddox Lynch · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • D. White · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Marshall on Tuesday, October 22nd.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LT
USA
vs
Offense
79.4
#59 of 138
QB
73.0
#90 of 138
73.7
#88 of 138
RB
78.0
#47 of 138
70.4
#76 of 138
WR
68.0
#110 of 138
83.5
#16 of 138
TE
61.4
#109 of 138
62.4
#120 of 138
OL
65.6
#91 of 138
Defense
67.6
#128 of 138
DL
65.2
#135 of 138
78.9
#26 of 138
LB
66.2
#128 of 138
72.6
#64 of 138
DB
69.4
#106 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Louisiana Tech
opponent
South Alabama
A-0.4
TROY#111
+7.4H
A+11.4
ULM#163
+17.0H
H+1.0
UL#92
-4.0A
H+3.9
ARST#91
+7.0A
H+4.5
USM#139
+1.7A