CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Tue Oct 20 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USA 51.2%48.8% MRSH
Projected margin
USA by 0.6
Projected total
61
80% outcome range
USA 19 to MRSH 18
Win probability
USA 51.2%

Current team profiles

South Alabama
Marshall

When South Alabama has the ball

Passing

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA offense
#37
MRSH defense
#138
EPA comparison
0.34
#37
0.50
#138
Pass EPA

Rushing

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA offense
#30
MRSH defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

USA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA offense
#69
MRSH defense
#117
Success rates
44%
#69
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#36
0.31
#135
EPA / play
1.33
#23
1.31
#107
Explosiveness
13%
#34
13%
#113
Havoc

When Marshall has the ball

Passing

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA defense
#122
MRSH offense
#62
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA defense
#125
MRSH offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

MRSH offense
Higher-ranked profile
USA defense
#137
MRSH offense
#64
Success rates
51%
#137
44%
#64
Success rate
More metrics
0.27
#134
0.11
#85
EPA / play
1.36
#119
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
17%
#52
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

South Alabama
QBBishop Davenport
450 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
73.0129/729
RBPJ Martin
328 yds · 5 TD · 4.3 YPC
79.985/1044
CBDamyrion Darby
8 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
42.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
115
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
4
76.1156/2969
SDeon Callins
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
6
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
73.6252/2969
LBXavious Anderson Jr.
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
75.4
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
73.4242/1796
CBJaylen Moson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
53.1
Coverage
72.8
Targets allowed
24
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
116
Passer rating allowed
70.8
Missed tackles
5
70.0446/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Brian Barnes · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Barnes has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Khatori Marion · WRout · 2026-10-01

    Marion has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • Maddox Lynch · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Lynch has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and it is anticipated that he will miss the remainder of the season.

  • D. White · WRQues. · 2026-10-09

    White is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Marshall on Tuesday, October 22nd.

Marshall
QBCarlos Del Rio-Wilson
977 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
72.8131/729
SKendell Anderson
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.4
Coverage
81.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
-4
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
81.744/2969
RBTJ Lester
107 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
76.3145/1044
LBBrysen Davies
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4281/1796
SPete Schuh
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
61.8
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1371/2969
STerrente Hinton
24 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
56.0
Coverage
67.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
82.5
Missed tackles
4
70.2430/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

USA
MRSH
vs
Offense
73.0
#90 of 138
QB
72.8
#91 of 138
78.0
#47 of 138
RB
72.7
#101 of 138
68.0
#110 of 138
WR
63.4
#136 of 138
61.4
#109 of 138
TE
65.9
#87 of 138
65.6
#91 of 138
OL
65.2
#93 of 138
Defense
65.2
#135 of 138
DL
75.2
#52 of 138
66.2
#128 of 138
LB
66.2
#129 of 138
69.4
#106 of 138
DB
71.2
#79 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

South Alabama
opponent
Marshall
H+17.0
ULM#163
+10.7A
H+5.1
APP#100
+1.8H