Sun Belt

App State

Mountaineers3-27th in Sun Belt

Kidd Brewer Stadium · Boone, NC · 30,000

TeamMiddle of the pack

OffenseBoom-or-bust passing attack · weakweak point: run game, 107th

DefenseHavoc-driven · solid

The season

Best win

W 27-24 @ #94 East Carolina

Wk 2 · Sep 12 · model had 53%

Worst loss

L 3-10 vs #130 Old Dominion

Wk 6 · Oct 10 · lost as a 80% favorite

Schedule

model 4/5 straight up

Opponent ranks use the selected season's current or final board.

Week 1 · Sep 5
vsMaine
W 55–3
Win chance 96%Model margin +24.1Game details
Week 2 · Sep 12
atEast Carolina
W 27–24
Win chance 53%Model margin +0.8Game details
Week 3 · Sep 19
vsCharlotte
W 26–21
Win chance 97%Model margin +24.8Game details
Week 4 · Sep 26
atNC State
L 31–41
Win chance 28%Model margin -7.9Game details
Week 6 · Oct 10
vsOld Dominion
L 3–10
Win chance 80%Model margin +11.1Game details
Week 7 · Oct 16
atCoastal Carolina
Win chance 59%Model margin +3.0Game details
Week 8 · Oct 22
vsJames Madison
Win chance 17%Model margin -12.9Game details
Week 9 · Oct 31
atGeorgia Southern
Win chance 42%Model margin -2.6Game details
Week 10 · Nov 7
vsGeorgia State
Win chance 53%Model margin +0.8Game details
Week 11 · Nov 14
atMarshall
Win chance 45%Model margin -1.8Game details
Week 12 · Nov 21
vsUL Monroe
Win chance 89%Model margin +16.8Game details
Week 13 · Nov 27
atSouth Alabama
Win chance 35%Model margin -5.1Game details

Wk	Opponent	Win prob	Result	Model	± Exp	Game page
1	vs#225Maine	96%	W 55-3	+24.1âœ“	+28	›
2	at#94East Carolina	53%	W 27-24	+0.8âœ“	+2	›
3	vs#184Charlotte	97%	W 26-21	+24.8âœ“	-20	›
4	at#63NC State	28%	L 31-41	-7.9âœ“	-2	›
6	vs#130Old Dominion	80%	L 3-10	+11.1âœ—	-18	›
7	at#127Coastal Carolina	59%	Oct 16	+3.0	—	›
8	vs#51James Madison	17%	Oct 22	-12.9	—	›
9	at#102Georgia Southern	42%	Oct 31	-2.6	—	›
10	vs#81Georgia State	53%	Nov 7	+0.8	—	›
11	at#124Marshall	45%	Nov 14	-1.8	—	›
12	vs#163UL Monroe	89%	Nov 21	+16.8	—	›
13	at#96South Alabama	35%	Nov 27	-5.1	—	›

Profile

Team DNA

rank of 138

Offense efficiency

#79 of 138

Defense efficiency

#49 of 138

Efficiency

#840.12

EPA / play

#520.02

#470.28

Pass

#410.07

#1070.01

Rush

#560.02

#8342%

Success

#7240%

Big plays & havoc

#521.26

Explosive

#121.06

#8715%

Havoc

#2819%

Position groupsby overall player grade

QB9th

RB49th

WR28th

TE83rd

OL116th

DL41st

LB68th

DB124th

Roster

Core lineup

overall grade

Offense

Malachi SingletonSR

1206 yds Â· 7 TD Â· 1 INT

91.2

8th QB

Kanye RobertsSR

31 yds Â· 0 TD Â· 7.8 YPC

81.3

61st RB

Jackson GrierSR

5 rec Â· 48 yds Â· 1 TD

77.9

76th WR

Sam Pickett IIISO

20 rec Â· 326 yds Â· 3 TD

76.7

95th WR

Jamel HowseFR

7 rec Â· 106 yds Â· 0 TD

67.0

134th TE

Defense

Carson SloanJR

15 tkl Â· 3.0 TFL Â· 1.0 sk

78.6

107th LB

Alex MitchellSR

22 tkl Â· 1.5 TFL Â· 0.0 sk

74.2

208th LB

Dre WalkerSR

8 tkl Â· 0 PD Â· 2 INT

75.2

187th DB

Eric AdamsSR

3 tkl Â· 2 PD Â· 0 INT

67.0

675th DB

Kaleb PurdySR

19 tkl Â· 0 PD Â· 0 INT

65.6

792nd DB

Past seasons

Year by year

-13.8 points since 2022

2022 61.32023 58.32024 57.42025 47.5

2025

5-7

D-I rank: #137
Rating: 47.5

Listed games · 12

WWLLWWLLLLWL

304 pts scored358 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs CharlotteW 34–11
W2 vs LindenwoodW 20–13
W3 at Southern MissL 22–38
W5 at Boise StateL 14–47
W6 vs Oregon StateW 27–23
W7 at Georgia StateW 41–20
W8 vs Coastal CarolinaL 37–45
W9 at Old DominionL 21–24
W11 vs Georgia SouthernL 23–25
W12 at James MadisonL 10–58
W13 vs MarshallW 26–24
W14 vs Arkansas StateL 29–30

2024

5-6

D-I rank: #85
Rating: 57.4

Listed games · 11

WLWLLLWWLWL

293 pts scored362 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs East Tennessee StateW 38–10
W2 at ClemsonL 20–66
W3 at East CarolinaW 21–19
W4 vs South AlabamaL 14–48
W6 at MarshallL 37–52
W7 at LouisianaL 24–34
W9 vs Georgia StateW 33–26
W10 vs Old DominionW 28–20
W11 at Coastal CarolinaL 24–38
W13 vs James MadisonW 34–20
W14 at Georgia SouthernL 20–29

2023

8-5

D-I rank: #72
Rating: 58.3

Listed games · 13

WLWLWLLWWWWWL

452 pts scored369 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs Gardner-WebbW 45–24
W2 at North CarolinaL 34–40
W3 vs East CarolinaW 43–28
W4 at WyomingL 19–22
W5 at UL MonroeW 41–40
W7 vs Coastal CarolinaL 24–27
W8 at Old DominionL 21–28
W9 vs Southern MissW 48–38
W10 vs MarshallW 31–9
W11 at Georgia StateW 42–14
W12 at James MadisonW 26–23
W13 vs Georgia SouthernW 55–27
W14 at TroyL 23–49

2022

6-6

D-I rank: #67
Rating: 61.3

Listed games · 12

LWWLWLWWLLWL

419 pts scored321 allowed

Season schedule

W1 vs North CarolinaL 61–63
W2 at Texas A&MW 17–14
W3 vs TroyW 32–28
W4 vs James MadisonL 28–32
W5 vs The CitadelW 49–0
W6 at Texas StateL 24–36
W8 vs Georgia StateW 42–17
W9 vs Robert MorrisW 42–3
W10 at Coastal CarolinaL 28–35
W11 at MarshallL 21–28
W12 vs Old DominionW 27–14
W13 at Georgia SouthernL 48–51