CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CLT 4.9%95.1% APP
Projected margin
APP by 24.8
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
APP 3 to APP 45
Win probability
APP 95.1%
FinalCLT 21 · APP 26model had +24.8, off by 19.8

Current team profiles

Charlotte
App State

When Charlotte has the ball

Passing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#128
APP defense
#41
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
0.07
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#129
APP defense
#56
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.02
#56
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#132
APP defense
#72
Success rates
34%
#132
40%
#72
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#134
0.02
#52
EPA / play
1.16
#104
1.06
#12
Explosiveness
20%
#134
19%
#28
Havoc

When App State has the ball

Passing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
APP offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#119
APP offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.01
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

APP offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
APP offense
#83
Success rates
49%
#132
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#128
0.12
#84
EPA / play
1.21
#67
1.26
#52
Explosiveness
11%
#133
15%
#87
Havoc

Current key players

Charlotte
QBCole Gonzales
802 yds · 3 TD · 7 INT
59.4308/729
LBGavin Willis
42 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
67.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.7147/1796
RBChance Williams
116 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
74.7181/1044
DBDy'Lon Womack
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
123
Passer rating allowed
111.7
Missed tackles
3
73.3260/2969
TELane Wadle
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
1
70.977/1017
DBDevon St. Clair
2 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Coverage
70.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
66.0758/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Hoffman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Owls on Saturday, October 17th.

App State
QBMalachi Singleton
1206 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
91.28/729
RBKanye Roberts
31 yds · 0 TD · 7.8 YPC
81.361/1044
LBCarson Sloan
15 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.5
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.6107/1796
WRJackson Grier
5 rec · 48 yds · 1 TD
77.976/2069
WRSam Pickett III
20 rec · 326 yds · 3 TD
76.795/2069
DBDre Walker
8 tkl · 0 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
39.2
Coverage
83.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
97
Passer rating allowed
34.6
Missed tackles
3
75.2187/2969
Position units

Position-unit comparison

CLT
APP
vs
Offense
59.4
#135 of 138
QB
91.2
#9 of 138
73.7
#89 of 138
RB
77.7
#49 of 138
63.8
#135 of 138
WR
76.6
#28 of 138
70.9
#56 of 138
TE
67.0
#83 of 138
63.5
#111 of 138
OL
62.7
#116 of 138
Defense
70.0
#107 of 138
DL
76.3
#41 of 138
65.9
#131 of 138
LB
74.1
#68 of 138
66.8
#127 of 138
DB
67.2
#124 of 138
Common opponents